ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Nov 7, 2026 · 16:15 · UTC Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre Not Started

Auxerre
vs
Paris FC.

Quick answer

Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?

10 of 10 AI models expect a draw (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 44% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Auxerre form Paris FC form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Auxerre and Paris FC stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Auxerre win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 100%

10 / 10 models

Paris FC win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
36%
Auxerre’s home advantage and consistent scoring offset Paris FC’s stronger defensive record and 4-2-2 start. Recent meetings were tight, making a low-scoring 1-1 draw the best estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Draw
1–1
33%
Recent H2H trends toward low-scoring draws; Paris FC are defensively solid (3 clean sheets) while Auxerre's attack is inconsistent despite home venue.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Recent head-to-head encounters have been tightly contested draws, and Paris FC's solid defense balances Auxerre's strong home scoring run.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
46%
Auxerre have scored in every Ligue 1 game but concede freely; Paris FC are stronger overall yet blanked three times. Recent H2H were 0-0 and 1-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Auxerre's leaky defense concedes 18 goals, but they score consistently; Paris FC solid yet inconsistent. Recent H2H shows two draws, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
H2H shows low-scoring draws (0-0, 1-1); Auxerre always score but Paris FC's solid defense and Sinayoko's form suggest they respond. Tight, cagey affair.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Tight H2H history with recent draws; Auxerre's leaky defense vs Paris FC's balanced attack suggests parity.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Paris FC have the better record and Sinayoko in form, but Auxerre score consistently at home and recent H2H meetings finished 0-0 and 1-1; a tight, low-scoring draw fits best.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
52%
Auxerre's shaky home form meets Paris FC's tighter defense; recent H2H meetings were low-scoring (0-0, 1-1), and Auxerre always scores, so 1-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Paris FC's stronger season and Sinayoko form are offset by Auxerre's home edge and both teams scoring consistently; H2H shows two recent draws, and 1-1 fits this tight matchup.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.70 / 3.60 / 1.90
Auxerre Market 25% · AI 0%
Draw Market 26% · AI 100%
Paris FC Market 49% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Auxerre vs Paris FC

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Auxerre

3-4-2-1 · XI v Le Mans, 25 Oct
W. Still
9 C. Archer
9 Archer
10 D. Namaso
10 Namaso
21 R. Faivre
21 Faivre
22 F. Oppegård
22 Oppegård
5 K. Danois
5 Danois
8 N. Ahamada
8 Ahamada
27 L. Sy
27 Sy
92 C. Akpa
92 Akpa
4 A. Tuanzebe
4 Tuanzebe
15 C. Makosso
15 Makosso
1 P. Nardi
1 Nardi

Paris FC

4-2-3-1 · XI v Lens, 24 Oct
L. Rosenior
9 L. Sinayoko
9 Sinayoko
15 L. Koleosho
15 Koleosho
7 P. Pagis
7 Pagis
10 I. Kebbal
10 Kebbal
33 P. Lees-Melou
33 Lees-Melou
20 M. Lopez
20 Lopez
6 Otávio
6 Otávio
5 M. Mbow
5 Mbow
42 D. Coppola
42 Coppola
17 A. Camara
17 Camara
16 O. Nkambadio
16 Nkambadio

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-1-4
Goals
12-18
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-2-2
Goals
13-9
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Auxerre

  • C. Archer 5 G · 0 A · 6 apps
  • D. Namaso 3 G · 2 A · 8 apps
  • R. Faivre 1 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Key players · Paris FC

  • L. Sinayoko 6 G · 4 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  3. 3 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  4. 4 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
  5. 5 C. Tengstedt Toulouse 5
Venue Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
New at Auxerre Y. Khoudda (Auxerre), C. Archer (Southampton), A. Tuanzebe (Burnley)
New at Paris FC A. Kvirikadze (Dinamo Tbilisi), L. Sinayoko (Auxerre), E. Mbemba (Paris Saint Germain)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

100% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Auxerre Paris FC Expected total Lean
Corners 5.4 3.7 9.1 Under 9.5 57% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.3 2.0 3.3 Under 3.5 58% Ask AI
Shots 12.4 11.0 23.4 Under 23.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.8 3.7 8.6 Under 8.5 52% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Auxerre
#12 · 10 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
D W L W W
11 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Le Mans 1-1 D
  • Le Havre 1-3 W
  • Rennes 4-1 L
  • Clermont Foot 4-3 W
  • Stade Brestois 29 2-1 W
Team news
T. Bair — Suspended A. Diousse — Knee Injury S. Fofana — Groin Injury R. Labeau Lascary — Loan agreement B. Okoh — Knee Injury M. Senaya — Injury F. Sierralta — Injury T. Siwe — Thigh Injury Wei Xiangxin — Inactive C. Makosso — Red Card F. Oppegard — Illness A. Tuanzebe — Lacking Match Fitness
Paris FC
#6 · 14 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
L W L W D
7 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Lens 2-1 L
  • Rennes 4-3 W
  • Lorient 1-0 L
  • Strasbourg 2-1 W
  • Lyon 0-0 D
Team news
J. Ikone — Hamstring Injury E. Mbemba — Inactive N. Sangui — Injury L. Koleosho — Injury Otavio — Injury T. De Smet — Inactive V. Marchetti — Inactive A. Camara — Hamstring Injury S. Chergui — Injury H. Traore — Injury K. Trapp — Illness
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AUX 2 · D 2 · PAR 1

AUX VS PAR
0-0
DRAW
Feb 8, 2026
PAR VS AUX
1-1
DRAW
Nov 29, 2025
AUX VS PAR
2-0
HOME WIN
May 4, 2024
PAR VS AUX
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 7, 2023
AUX VS PAR
1-2
AWAY WIN
Feb 1, 2022

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Auxerre, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 100% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Auxerre
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~100%
implied lean
Paris FC
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Auxerre is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Auxerre vs Paris FC in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.