MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54% MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54%
Major League Soccer · Round of 16 Gillette Stadium Not Started

New England Revolution
vs
Philadelphia Union.

Quick answer

Who will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

9 of 10 AI models pick New England Revolution to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 51% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → New England Revolution form Philadelphia Union form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward New England Revolution (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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Major League Soccer table Where New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New England Revolution win 90%

9 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Philadelphia Union win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6.1 Sol
New England Revolution win
2–1
53%
New England have won three of their last five and beat Philadelphia twice this season, including at Gillette Stadium. Philadelphia's 66 goals and Iloski's scoring threat make a close, competitive match likely.
02
Claude Opus 5.5
New England Revolution win
2–1
42%
New England has the better season record (18W) and has won the last two H2H meetings. Philadelphia's attack (66 goals, Iloski 19) should score, but its form is poor, so a narrow home win fits best.
03
Gemini 4 Argon
New England Revolution win
2–1
48%
New England beat Philadelphia 2-1 both home and away in 2026. With home advantage in the playoffs and Philadelphia winning just one in five, Revolution should edge another tight encounter.
04
Grok 4.7
New England Revolution win
2–1
54%
Revolution’s stronger record, Gillette, and both 2026 meetings going their way outweigh a late form dip; Union’s attack, led by Iloski, still likely scores once.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New England Revolution win
2–1
52%
New England's stronger season record and home venue edge, plus two recent H2H wins, support a narrow home victory despite Philadelphia's scoring threat.
06
Tencent Hy4
Draw
1–1
48%
Both sides score regularly but also concede; New England's better record is offset by mixed recent form and Philadelphia's stronger goal output. H2H is split, so a low draw at Gillette Stadium fits.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
New England Revolution win
2–1
52%
New England swept both 2026 meetings 2-1 and has stronger record and form WWWLL vs DLDLW at Gillette.
08
NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Ultra
New England Revolution win
2–1
55%
New England's strong home form and late-goal proficiency edge a tight Round of 16 clash against inconsistent Philadelphia.
09
GLM 5.3
New England Revolution win
2–1
55%
New England won both 2026 meetings and bring stronger form (WWWLL vs DLDLW) at home; Union score often but leak goals, so 2-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New England Revolution win
2–1
52%
New England's stronger season record and Gillette home edge meet a Philadelphia side winless in four of five; two straight home wins over Union support a narrow home win despite Iloski's threat.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    9 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

New England Revolution

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
18-4-12
Goals
55-47
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
8
Best win run
4
Penalties
7/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
W-D-L
14-8-12
Goals
66-52
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
7
Best win run
8
Penalties
9/10
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · New England Revolution

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Philadelphia Union

  • M. Iloski 19 G · 2 A · 31 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 26
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 S. Surridge Nashville SC 21
  4. 4 B. White Vancouver Whitecaps 20
  5. 5 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
Venue Gillette Stadium
New at New England Revolution J. Wynder (Benfica), D. Gazdag (Columbus Crew), T. Smith (QPR)
New at Philadelphia Union M. Anderson (Brooklyn), K. Wagner (Birmingham), Neil Pierre (Lyngby)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New England Revolution

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric New England Revolution Philadelphia Union Expected total Lean
Corners 4.2 6.2 10.4 Under 10.5 54% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.6 1.9 3.4 Under 3.5 55% Ask AI
Shots 11.7 13.3 25.0 Under 25.5 55% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.4 5.4 9.8 Over 9.5 52% Ask AI

Sample: 3 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 461 graded matches, cards 57% of 462. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

New England Revolution
#3 · 58 PTS · GD +8
Last 5
L L W W W
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Orlando City SC 1-0 L
  • Inter Miami 1-2 L
  • New York Red Bulls 3-2 W
  • Philadelphia Union 1-2 W
  • Chicago Fire 1-0 W
Team news
M. Fofana — Inactive P. Miller — Calf Injury E. Kohler — Head Injury L. Campana — Lower-Body Injury A. Farrell — Hip Injury M. Polster — Injury B. Ceballos — Injury J. Yueill — Injury I. Feingold — Lower-Body Injury L. Langoni — Lower-Body Injury J. Da — Injury B. Raines — Yellow Cards
Philadelphia Union
#6 · 50 PTS · GD +14
Last 5
W L D L D
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Toronto FC 4-1 W
  • FC Cincinnati 1-0 L
  • Nashville SC 0-0 D
  • New England Revolution 1-2 L
  • Charlotte 2-2 D
Team news
B. Bender — Groin Injury E. Davis III — Thigh Injury Q. Sullivan — Leg Injury E. Alladoh — Red Card O. Makhanya — Red Card A. Anello — Muscle Injury D. Jean Jacques — Knee Injury S. Olivas — Ankle Injury J. Bueno — Leg Injury P. Ndinga — Hamstring Injury J. Sery Larsen — Injury A. Blake — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

NEW 1 · D 0 · PHI 4

NEW VS PHI
2-1
HOME WIN
May 9, 2026
PHI VS NEW
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 20, 2025
NEW VS PHI
0-2
AWAY WIN
Mar 9, 2025
PHI VS NEW
5-1
HOME WIN
Jul 17, 2024
NEW VS PHI
0-3
AWAY WIN
May 18, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 90% of models side with New England Revolution, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

New England Revolution
~90%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Philadelphia Union
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When New England Revolution is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: New England Revolution win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New England Revolution win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.