ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Premier League · Regular Season - 9 Nov 7, 2026 · 15:00 · UTC Craven Cottage, London Not Started

Fulham
vs
Newcastle.

Quick answer

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

4 of 10 AI models pick Fulham to win (40%). A draw is in play: 5 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 44% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Fulham form Newcastle form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premier League table Where Fulham and Newcastle stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Fulham win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 50%

5 / 10 models

Newcastle win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
29%
Fulham's home advantage and recent DDLWW improvement counter Newcastle's stronger scoring record, while both have conceded regularly. Recent meetings favor competitive, close games, making a 1-1 draw the most balanced exact-score estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Newcastle win
1–2
45%
Newcastle's recent form includes a win and better scoring rate; Fulham inconsistent (DDLWW) and leaked 10 goals, though home venue keeps it close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
50%
Fulham has tightened up with three clean sheets, while Newcastle regularly scores but concedes freely. Both sides show mixed form, making a balanced 1-1 draw the most likely outcome at Craven Cottage.
04
Grok 4.6
Fulham win
1–0
42%
Fulham’s Cottage H2H (2-0 last) and DDLWW lift vs Newcastle’s LWLLW; both leaky but a tight, low-scoring home edge fits eight-game form.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Fulham win
1–0
38%
Fulham's 3 clean sheets and Newcastle's 2 in 8 games suggest a tight match; Fulham won the last meeting 2-0 at home and have better recent form (DDLWW).
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Fulham win
1–0
42%
Fulham unbeaten in five with three clean sheets; Newcastle poor away form (LWLLW). Low-scoring home edge supported by Fulham's 1 goal/game average and recent 2-0 H2H at Craven Cottage.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Mixed form, both score and concede; H2H tight, venue slight home edge but Newcastle's attack balanced by Fulham's home resilience.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Fulham's recent DDLWW upturn and home edge meet Newcastle's erratic LWLLW; H2H splits evenly. Both concede regularly, so a tight 1-1 fits mixed signals.
09
GLM 5.3
Fulham win
2–1
48%
Evenly matched sides with similar goal records; Fulham's home edge and recent unbeaten run (DDLWW) plus their 2-0 home win in the last H2H tip a narrow Craven Cottage victory.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides inconsistent: Fulham 2W2D4L, Newcastle 3W2D3L with leaky 12-14 goals. Craven Cottage edge is modest; H2H splits both ways, so a tight score draw fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    5 models
  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 1–2
    1 model
  • 2–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.15 / 3.60 / 3.10
Fulham Market 44% · AI 40%
Draw Market 26% · AI 50%
Newcastle Market 30% · AI 10%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Fulham vs Newcastle

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Fulham

4-2-3-1 · XI v Crystal Palace, 28 Oct
Álvaro Arbeloa
9 Rodrigo Muniz
9 Muniz
17 A. Iwobi
17 Iwobi
8 César Palacios
8 Palacios
14 Oscar Bobb
14 Bobb
15 H. Larsson
15 Larsson
16 S. Berge
16 Berge
33 A. Robinson
33 Robinson
3 C. Bassey
3 Bassey
5 J. Andersen
5 Andersen
2 K. Tete
2 Tete
23 B. Lecomte
23 Lecomte

Newcastle

4-2-3-1 · XI v Everton, 29 Oct
M. Jaissle
10 W. Osula
10 Osula
11 H. Barnes
11 Barnes
28 J. Willock
28 Willock
23 J. Murphy
23 Murphy
41 J. Ramsey
41 Ramsey
6 Nico González
6 González
3 L. Hall
3 Hall
33 D. Burn
33 Burn
5 F. Schär
5 Schär
37 A. Dedić
37 Dedić
21 L. Horníček
21 Horníček

Season data

Premier League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Fulham

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-4
Goals
8-10
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-3
Goals
12-14
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Fulham

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Newcastle

  • H. Barnes 2 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Premier League

  1. 1 E. Haaland Manchester City 9
  2. 2 A. Isak Liverpool 6
  3. 3 João Pedro Chelsea 5
  4. 4 M. Tavernier Bournemouth 5
  5. 5 R. Cherki Manchester City 4
Venue Craven Cottage, London
New at Fulham Manuel Ángel (Real Madrid), D. Affengruber (Elche), H. Larsson (Eintracht Frankfurt)
New at Newcastle M. Fernandez-Pardo (Lille), Nico González (Manchester City), A. Dedić (Benfica)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

50% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Fulham Newcastle Expected total Lean
Corners 5.9 4.3 10.3 Under 10.5 55% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.1 2.1 4.2 Under 4.5 58% Ask AI
Shots 15.8 11.6 27.4 Under 27.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.0 4.1 9.1 Under 9.5 57% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Fulham
#15 · 8 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L W W L D
4 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Crystal Palace 0-1 L
  • Coventry 0-1 W
  • Hull City 1-0 W
  • Ipswich 2-1 L
  • Manchester United 1-1 D
Team news
J. Andersen — Red Card T. Cairney — Knee Injury L. De Fougerolles — Injury K. Tete — Concussion A. Robinson — Ankle Injury R. Sessegnon — Red Card D. Affengruber — Injury E. Smith Rowe — Injury H. Larsson — Groin Injury
Newcastle
#8 · 11 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L W L L W
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Everton 3-1 L
  • Crystal Palace 0-2 W
  • Aston Villa 0-1 L
  • Coventry 4-1 L
  • Hull City 2-1 W
Team news
Joelinton — Injury V. Livramento — Hamstring Injury D. Burn — Ankle Injury W. Osula — Injury A. Elanga — Knee Injury E. Jaouen — Ankle Injury A. Dedic — Muscle Injury Nico — Injury J. Ramsey — Thigh Injury M. Fernandez-Pardo — Illness L. Miley — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FUL 3 · D 0 · NEW 2

FUL VS NEW
2-0
HOME WIN
May 24, 2026
NEW VS FUL
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 25, 2025
NEW VS FUL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Feb 1, 2025
FUL VS NEW
3-1
HOME WIN
Sep 21, 2024
FUL VS NEW
0-1
AWAY WIN
Apr 6, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with Fulham, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 50% — tight Premier League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Fulham
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~50%
implied lean
Newcastle
~10%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Fulham is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Fulham win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Fulham vs Newcastle in Premier League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Fulham win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 50% / 10% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Fulham vs Newcastle, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.