ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Premier League · Regular Season - 9 Oct 25, 2026 · 14:00 · UTC Selhurst Park, London Match Finished · 90'

Crystal Palace
vs
Newcastle.

Quick answer

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Final score: Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle. Before kickoff, 3 of 10 AI models pick Crystal Palace to win (30%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Crystal Palace form Newcastle form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premier League table Where Crystal Palace and Newcastle stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Crystal Palace win 30%

3 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Newcastle win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
29%
Both sides have conceded heavily this season, but Palace’s home advantage offsets Newcastle’s slightly stronger attacking record. Recent form is inconsistent for both, making a narrow, balanced scoreline more likely than a clear winner.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Crystal Palace win
2–1
42%
Both sides inconsistent and leaky defensively; Palace won last H2H at Selhurst and host narrow edge, but Newcastle's poor recent form keeps this close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Both sides have had inconsistent starts, conceding heavily this season. Newcastle's rotated frontline and Palace's defensive injuries point to an even, tightly contested score draw.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
38%
Both mid-table and leaky after seven games; Palace 9-17, Newcastle 10-14. Selhurst edge vs Magpies' away wobble points to a tight 1-1 rather than a clear winner.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
46%
Both sides have poor recent form and leaky defenses; Palace's home edge is offset by Newcastle's stronger head-to-head record. A cautious, low-scoring draw fits the matchup.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Newcastle win
1–2
38%
Palace's leaky defense (17 conceded in 7) favors Newcastle's attack; both sides in poor form but Newcastle slightly more reliable going forward.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Mixed form, both teams scoring and conceding; Palace home edge offset by Newcastle's resilience in recent H2H.
08
Kimi K3
Crystal Palace win
2–1
52%
Newcastle field a heavily rotated side with backup keeper Horníček and fringe attackers; Palace's core (Wharton, Kamada, Mateta) plus strong recent home H2H (2-1, 2-0) edges a leaky-defenses game.
09
GLM 5.3
Crystal Palace win
2–1
48%
Both sides are in mediocre form, but Newcastle field backup striker Osula with Elanga doubtful, weakening their attack. Palace won this fixture 2-1 last season and have home edge at Selhurst Park.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
38%
Both sides sit near each other with leaky defenses (Palace 9-17, Newcastle 10-14) and mixed form; Selhurst Park helps Palace, but Newcastle's attack with Osula and Barnes keeps this level.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 2–1
    3 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Crystal Palace
0–2
Newcastle
William Osula 47'
Harvey Barnes 58'
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.75 / 3.60 / 2.45
Crystal Palace Market 35% · AI 33%
Draw Market 26% · AI 58%
Newcastle Market 39% · AI 8%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
P. Sage
14 J. Mateta
14 Mateta
10 Yeremy Pino
10 Pino
11 D. McNeil
11 McNeil
3 T. Mitchell
3 Mitchell
18 D. Kamada
18 Kamada
20 A. Wharton
20 Wharton
25 A. Khalaili
25 Khalaili
6 J. Canvot
6 Canvot
5 A. Disasi
5 Disasi
26 C. Richards
26 Richards
44 W. Benítez
44 Benítez

Bench: D. Osorio, C. Doucouré, W. Hughes, Óscar Mingueza, J. Lerma, B. Chilwell, R. Matthews, E. Guessand, E. Nketiah

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
M. Jaissle
10 W. Osula
10 Osula
11 H. Barnes
11 Barnes
28 J. Willock
28 Willock
23 J. Murphy
23 Murphy
7 Joelinton
7 Joelinton
6 Nico González
6 González
3 L. Hall
3 Hall
33 D. Burn
33 Burn
5 F. Schär
5 Schär
37 A. Dedić
37 Dedić
21 L. Horníček
21 Horníček

Bench: A. Elanga, N. Pope, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, A. Bamba, Sean Steur, B. Touré, J. Ramsey, Y. Wissa

Season data

Premier League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-1-5
Goals
9-19
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-3
Goals
12-14
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Crystal Palace

  • D. Kamada 1 G · 3 A · 8 apps

Key players · Newcastle

  • H. Barnes 2 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Premier League

  1. 1 E. Haaland Manchester City 9
  2. 2 A. Isak Liverpool 6
  3. 3 João Pedro Chelsea 5
  4. 4 M. Tavernier Bournemouth 5
  5. 5 R. Cherki Manchester City 4
Venue Selhurst Park, London
Referee Paul Tierney
New at Crystal Palace B. Chilwell (Strasbourg), D. Osorio (FC Midtjylland), Q. Timber (Marseille)
New at Newcastle M. Fernandez-Pardo (Lille), Nico González (Manchester City), A. Dedić (Benfica)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.30 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Crystal Palace Newcastle Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.0 5.2 10.2 Under 10.5 56% 11 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.6 2.1 3.7 Over 3.5 51% 6 hit Ask AI
Shots 13.0 12.5 25.5 Under 25.5 52% 27 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 3.9 4.4 8.2 Under 8.5 56% 6 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Newcastle win · AI Crystal Palace win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Crystal Palace
#17 · 7 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
W L D L L
5 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Fulham 0-1 W
  • Newcastle 0-2 L
  • Beşiktaş 2-2 D
  • Brighton 5-0 L
  • Lyon 3-2 L
Team news
C. Riad — Knee Injury T. Tomiyasu — Calf Injury D. Henderson — Foot Injury J. Larsen — Injury Q. Timber — Injury
Newcastle
#8 · 11 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L W L L W
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Everton 3-1 L
  • Crystal Palace 0-2 W
  • Aston Villa 0-1 L
  • Coventry 4-1 L
  • Hull City 2-1 W
Team news
E. Jaouen — Muscle Injury V. Livramento — Knee Injury A. Elanga — Knee Injury J. Ramsey — Thigh Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CRY 1 · D 1 · NEW 3

CRY VS NEW
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 25, 2026
CRY VS NEW
2-1
HOME WIN
Apr 12, 2026
NEW VS CRY
2-0
HOME WIN
Jan 4, 2026
NEW VS CRY
5-0
HOME WIN
Apr 16, 2025
CRY VS NEW
1-1
DRAW
Nov 30, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 30% of models side with Crystal Palace, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Premier League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Crystal Palace
~30%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Newcastle
~10%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Crystal Palace is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Crystal Palace win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Crystal Palace vs Newcastle in Premier League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Crystal Palace win, with vote shares roughly 30% / 60% / 10% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.