Results
Baseball results Saturday 26 September 2026: AI predictions review
AI models called 9 of 15 baseball results correctly on Saturday 26 September 2026. Full review of the hits, misses and model standings.
Saturday's baseball slate produced 15 completed games across MLB and NPB, and the consensus of 10 frontier AI models finished with 9 correct calls. The headline record flatters a day that included six unanimous picks, four of which landed and two of which did not.
The biggest surprise came in Philadelphia, where every model backed the Phillies and the Tampa Bay Rays won 12-1. That result alone accounted for the widest margin of error on a day when confidence rarely dropped below 50%.
Where the AI got it right
The Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers prediction was the most confident call of the day: all 10 models picked Minnesota, with an average confidence of 62% and a most common score of 5-3. The Twins won 10-2, turning a modest projected margin into a rout.
In Oakland, the Athletics vs Houston Astros prediction went to the Athletics with 70% of models and an average confidence of 58%. The most common score was 5-4, and the final was 6-5 — a one-run game that matched the tightness the models expected.
The San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction was unanimous for Los Angeles at 69% average confidence, the highest of any correct call. The Dodgers won 2-0, a lower-scoring game than the 6-7 most common score suggested, but the right winner.
Washington's visit to New York produced another clean hit: the Washington Nationals vs New York Mets prediction was unanimous for the Mets at 60% average confidence, and New York won 7-1.
The second Giants-Dodgers game of the day, the San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction, was also unanimous for Los Angeles at 68% average confidence. The Dodgers edged it 4-3, again below the 6-7 most common score but correct on the winner.
Where it got it wrong
San Diego was the first unanimous miss. All 10 models backed the Padres at 58% average confidence, with a most common score of 5-3. Arizona won 11-4, a result that overturned both the winner and the margin.
Seattle was the second. The Mariners drew 100% of model support at 61% average confidence, with a most common score of 4-2. The Los Angeles Angels won 7-5.
Toronto was the third unanimous miss. The Blue Jays were picked by every model at 59% average confidence, most commonly 6-4. Cincinnati won 5-1.
Chicago's game against Colorado was the fourth. The White Sox were unanimous at 57% average confidence, most commonly 6-4. The Rockies won 9-6.
Philadelphia was the fifth and most emphatic. The Phillies took 100% of model support at 58% average confidence, most commonly 5-3. Tampa Bay won 12-1.
Two split calls also went astray. Kansas City was backed by 70% of models at 57% average confidence, most commonly 4-3; Cleveland won 11-5. The Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction was correct — Detroit won 4-3 — but the 80% consensus masked a close game that could easily have gone the other way.
Models of the day
GPT-5.6 Luna led the field with 10 of 15 correct, one clear of the pack. Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3 all finished on 9 of 15. MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.8 Flash each recorded 8 of 15, while Qwen 3.8 Max brought up the rear on 7 of 15.
Full results
- MLB: Minnesota Twins 10-2 Texas Rangers — consensus Minnesota Twins win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Athletics 6-5 Houston Astros — consensus Athletics win (70%) RIGHT
- MLB: San Diego Padres 4-11 Arizona Diamondbacks — consensus San Diego Padres win (100%) WRONG
- MLB: Seattle Mariners 5-7 Los Angeles Angels — consensus Seattle Mariners win (100%) WRONG
- MLB: San Francisco Giants 0-2 Los Angeles Dodgers — consensus Los Angeles Dodgers win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Washington Nationals 1-7 New York Mets — consensus New York Mets win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Detroit Tigers 4-3 Pittsburgh Pirates — consensus Detroit Tigers win (80%) RIGHT
- MLB: Toronto Blue Jays 1-5 Cincinnati Reds — consensus Toronto Blue Jays win (100%) WRONG
- MLB: San Francisco Giants 3-4 Los Angeles Dodgers — consensus Los Angeles Dodgers win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Miami Marlins 3-8 Atlanta Braves — consensus Atlanta Braves win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 St.Louis Cardinals — consensus Milwaukee Brewers win (100%) RIGHT
- MLB: Chicago White Sox 6-9 Colorado Rockies — consensus Chicago White Sox win (100%) WRONG
- MLB: Kansas City Royals 5-11 Cleveland Guardians — consensus Kansas City Royals win (70%) WRONG
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies 1-12 Tampa Bay Rays — consensus Philadelphia Phillies win (100%) WRONG
- NPB: Yokohama BayStars 3-8 Hanshin Tigers — consensus Hanshin Tigers win (80%) RIGHT
Sunday's slate is already loaded into the model pipeline. The full set of predictions for today's games is available at TuringStats today's baseball predictions.
Next up: today's baseball predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
