Results
Football results Tuesday 13 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI models called 4 of 9 correctly on Tuesday 13 October 2026, with upsets in the Champions League. Full review and model standings.
Tuesday's Champions League slate delivered a jolt to the models: only 4 of 9 matches went the way the consensus expected. The headline record flatters the difficulty of a night that included a 4-3 thriller, a 3-3 draw, and a 2-0 away defeat for the group's unanimous pick.
The biggest surprise came in Sabah, where all 10 models backed Slavia Praha to win, only for the hosts to run out 2-0 victors. That single result alone accounted for a perfect sweep of wrong calls, and it set the tone for an evening that punished certainty.
A night of upsets in the Champions League.
Where the AI got it right
Arsenal 3-0 Lille — The models were unanimous on an Arsenal win, and the Gunners delivered with a comfortable clean sheet. The most common scoreline predicted was 2-0, with an average confidence of 50%, so the extra goal was a minor bonus rather than a shock. Arsenal vs Lille prediction.
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester United — 80% of models backed Atletico, and Diego Simeone's side made it count with a two-goal margin. The consensus had leaned toward a 1-0 home win at 42% average confidence, so the second goal added a touch of gloss. Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction.
Galatasaray 1-4 Barcelona — A 90% consensus for Barcelona was rewarded with a resounding away performance. The models had expected a 1-2 win at 45% confidence, but the visitors found two extra goals to turn a predicted narrow victory into a rout. Galatasaray vs Barcelona prediction.
RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven — Every model picked Leipzig, and a single goal settled it. The most common prediction was 2-1 at 45% confidence, so the actual scoreline was tighter than expected, but the outcome was never in doubt for the consensus. RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction.
Where it got it wrong
Lens 0-2 Sporting CP — 70% of models saw a draw, with 1-1 the most common scoreline at 38% average confidence. Sporting's two unanswered goals made a mockery of that forecast.
Sabah FA 2-0 Slavia Praha — The day's biggest miss: all 10 models backed Slavia to win, with 0-2 the consensus score at 52% confidence. Sabah's 2-0 victory was a clean sweep of wrong calls.
Inter 3-4 Club Brugge KV — Another unanimous pick that failed. Every model expected Inter to win, most commonly 2-0 at 52% confidence. Club Brugge's four goals turned a predicted home stroll into a seven-goal classic.
Viking 3-3 Bayern München — All 10 models backed Bayern, with 0-3 the most common score at 64% average confidence — the highest of any match. Viking's three goals earned a draw and handed the models their most confident miss of the night.
Villarreal 3-1 Napoli — 70% of models predicted a draw, with 1-1 the consensus at 36% confidence. Villarreal's two-goal margin made it a comfortable home win instead.
Models of the day
Three models led the way with 5 of 9 correct: GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, and DeepSeek V4 Pro. At the other end, Mistral Medium 3.5 and Kimi K3 managed just 3 of 9, struggling with the upsets that defined the night. The middle pack — Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, and GLM 5.3 — each finished on 4 of 9.
Full results
- UEFA Champions League: Lens 0-2 Sporting CP — consensus draw (70%) WRONG
- UEFA Champions League: Sabah FA 2-0 Slavia Praha — consensus Slavia Praha win (100%) WRONG
- UEFA Champions League: Arsenal 3-0 Lille — consensus Arsenal win (100%) RIGHT
- UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester United — consensus Atletico Madrid win (80%) RIGHT
- UEFA Champions League: Galatasaray 1-4 Barcelona — consensus Barcelona win (90%) RIGHT
- UEFA Champions League: Inter 3-4 Club Brugge KV — consensus Inter win (100%) WRONG
- UEFA Champions League: RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven — consensus RB Leipzig win (100%) RIGHT
- UEFA Champions League: Viking 3-3 Bayern München — consensus Bayern München win (100%) WRONG
- UEFA Champions League: Villarreal 3-1 Napoli — consensus draw (70%) WRONG
For today's fixtures and the models' latest picks, visit the TuringStats predictions page.
Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
