ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59%
TuringStats
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 9 Nov 8, 2026 · 21:25 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough Not Started

New England Patriots
vs
Green Bay Packers.

Quick answer

Who will win New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?

8 of 10 AI models pick New England Patriots to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 24–21 at 55% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New England Patriots (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–21 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New England Patriots win 80%

8 / 10 models

Green Bay Packers win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New England Patriots win
27–24
54%
New England is unbeaten at home and has the stronger recent offense, including 404 yards per game. Green Bay’s defense and 10-day rest keep this close, but the Patriots’ red-zone edge and venue tilt the outcome.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New England Patriots win
24–20
55%
Patriots strong at home (3-0) with better scoring form; Packers rested but road struggles and modest offense temper their edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Green Bay Packers win
21–24
56%
Green Bay enters with 10 days of rest and a defense allowing just 14.2 points over their last five games, giving Jordan Love's passing attack the edge to edge out a close road contest.
04
Grok 4.7
New England Patriots win
24–20
55%
Patriots are 3-0 at Gillette with higher recent scoring; Packers’ last-five defense (14.2 allowed) and extra rest keep the margin small.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New England Patriots win
24–21
55%
Patriots are 3-0 at home and score 26 per game, while Green Bay's road form is mixed at 2-2. Packers' defense has allowed just 14.2 points over their last five, keeping this close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New England Patriots win
21–17
53%
Patriots' 3-0 home record and balanced offense edge out Packers' stingy recent defense; Green Bay's anemic rushing and multiple injury questionables limit their ceiling despite extra rest.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Green Bay Packers win
20–23
54%
Packers allow just 14.6 last five with 10 days rest vs Patriots allowing 25.4 and 1.8 turnovers; Patriots 3-0 at Gillette keeps it close.
08
Kimi K3
New England Patriots win
23–20
58%
Patriots are 3-0 at Gillette with a stronger offense (404 ypg) and home-field edge; Packers' 11-man IR and poor rushing attack (67 ypg) limit their ceiling despite extra rest.
09
GLM 5.3
New England Patriots win
24–21
52%
Even 4-3 teams; NE is 3-0 at home with better recent offense (26 ppg, 43% third downs), while GB's Love-led pass game and 10 days' rest keep it one score.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New England Patriots win
24–21
55%
Patriots are 3-0 at home and turn the ball over less than recent form suggests; Green Bay's run game (67 ypg) is weak, though their defense allows just 14.2 ppg and 10 days rest keeps this close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 9 models settled on 24–21. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–21
    3 models
  • 24–20
    2 models
  • 20–23
    1 model
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 21–17
    1 model
  • 21–24
    1 model

NFL · Week 9

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Patriots −3 45 Patriots 80%

New England Patriots

4-3 · #2 AFC East
Home 3-0 · Road 1-3 · Division 2-0 · Streak L1 · Points 160–143
7 days of rest

Green Bay Packers

5-3 · #4 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-2 · Division 1-2 · Streak W1 · Points 171–164
10 days of rest

Injury report

New England Patriots 13 on injured reserve
  • KP
    Karon PruntyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Ben Brown
    Ben Brown
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis IIICB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • CC
    Channing CanadaCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
Green Bay Packers 12 on injured reserve
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    Shoulder
    Questionable
  • MC
    McCallan CastlesTE
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
  • Sean Rhyan
    Sean Rhyan
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Devonte Wyatt
    Devonte WyattDT
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Travis Glover
    Travis Glover
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Aaron Banks
    Aaron Banks
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Zaire Franklin
    Zaire FranklinLB
    Shin
    Questionable
  • AC
    Anthony CampbellDT
    Ankle
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

New England Patriots Green Bay Packers
26 Points scored 23
25.4 Points allowed 14.6
404.2 Total yards 341.4
282.4 Passing yards 273.6
121.8 Rushing yards 67.8
1.8 Turnovers 1.4
43 Third-down % 44
59 Red-zone TD % 59
2.2 Sacks 3
30:48Time of possession30:30

Skill players · New England Patriots

Skill players · Green Bay Packers

  • MarShawn Lloyd
    MarShawn LloydRB
    142 rushing yards (20.3 a game, 2.6 a carry), 2 TD
  • Christian Watson
    Christian WatsonWR
    34 catches, 595 receiving yards (85 a game), 6 TD
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    34 catches, 512 receiving yards (73.1 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

New England Patriots LWWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
22.9 / 20.4
Total over 41.5
4/7
Total over 44.5
4/7
Total over 47.5
3/7
Won by 7+
3/7
Green Bay Packers WLWWWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
22.4 / 18.4
Total over 41.5
2/7
Total over 44.5
2/7
Total over 47.5
1/7
Won by 7+
3/7

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: MarShawn Lloyd by Gamecock Central (CC BY 2.0), Matthew Golden by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0), Travis Glover by U.S. Army Photo by John Pellino/USMA (Public domain).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Jordan Love

Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o257.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
145
197
367
276
274
288
MarShawn Lloyd

MarShawn Lloyd

Green Bay Packers · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o16.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
20
13
31
10
20
7
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o77.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
41
47
143
64
57
113
Receptions o4.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
4
3
6
3
5
8
Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o70.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
58
21
123
104
39
79
Receptions o5.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
4
3
6
6
6
7

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New England Patriots 24, Green Bay Packers 21: a projected total of 45 points.
What is the AI spread pick for New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?
The AI consensus has New England Patriots winning by 3 points (24–21).
Who is injured for New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?
New England Patriots have no one listed out or doubtful. Green Bay Packers have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New England Patriots

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.20 vs 21.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 21; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New England Patriots win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

From the blog

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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