ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59%
TuringStats
AI consensus
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 9 Nov 10, 2026 · 01:15 U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis Not Started

Minnesota Vikings
vs
Buffalo Bills.

Quick answer

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?

6 of 10 AI models pick Buffalo Bills to win (60%). The mean predicted score is 23–20 at 57% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Buffalo Bills (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 23–20 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Minnesota Vikings win 40%

4 / 10 models

Buffalo Bills win 60%

6 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Buffalo Bills win
28–29
62%
Buffalo’s offense has been far more productive, with Josh Allen, James Cook, and elite recent red-zone efficiency outweighing Minnesota’s unbeaten home start. The Vikings’ defense may keep it close at U.S. Bank Stadium, but the Bills’ broader offensive profile prevails.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Minnesota Vikings win
24–23
56%
Vikings are unbeaten with elite defense (10.4 allowed/game) at home, but Bills' high-powered offense (32.2 ppg) keeps this close and competitive.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Buffalo Bills win
21–24
56%
Buffalo's high-octane offense led by Josh Allen presents a stiff test for Minnesota's stout defense, with Buffalo's 74% red-zone efficiency giving them a slight edge in Minneapolis.
04
Grok 4.7
Minnesota Vikings win
23–20
58%
Undefeated Vikings at U.S. Bank with last-five 10.4 allowed should contain Allen; Bills score more but turn the ball over, so a one-score home win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Minnesota Vikings win
27–24
58%
Minnesota's 6-0 record and home venue edge offset Buffalo's higher-scoring offense; Vikings' defense allows just 10.4 points per game recently, but Bills' Josh Allen keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Buffalo Bills win
24–25
56%
Buffalo's elite red-zone efficiency (74%) and Allen-Cook firepower should outpace Minnesota's anemic offense (30% red zone), despite Vikings' stingy defense keeping it close.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Minnesota Vikings win
23–20
54%
Vikings 6-0 with elite defense allowing 10.4 ppg at U.S. Bank vs turnover-prone Bills 1.8 per game.
08
Kimi K3
Buffalo Bills win
20–27
62%
Buffalo's superior offense (32.2 ppg, 74% red zone) and Josh Allen's MVP form outweigh Minnesota's unbeaten record and home field; Vikings' low-scoring wins (17.2 ppg) suggest regression against elite competition.
09
GLM 5.3
Buffalo Bills win
27–28
52%
Bills' elite offense (32.2 ppg last 5, 50% third downs) travels well at 3-0 road; Vikings are 6-0 but Kyler Murray's modest passing (162 ypg) suggests a narrower edge. Bills by a field goal.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Buffalo Bills win
24–25
56%
Buffalo's offense (32.2 PPG, 50% third downs, 74% red zone) outpaces Minnesota's 17.2 PPG despite the Vikings' 6-0 start and strong defense; Josh Allen's passing edge decides it at U.S. Bank Stadium.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 23–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 23–20
    2 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 28–29
    1 model
  • 24–23
    1 model
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 21–24
    1 model

NFL · Week 9

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Vikings −3 43 Vikings 40%
Quarterback matchup · season
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
Minnesota Vikings · QB
162.4 YDS/G 250.7
3 TD 9
2 INT 4
85.8 RATING 102.1
Josh Allen
Josh Allen
Buffalo Bills · QB

Minnesota Vikings

6-0 · #1 NFC North
Home 3-0 · Road 3-0 · Division 2-0 · Streak W6 · Points 125–74
8 days of rest

Buffalo Bills

5-1 · #1 AFC East
Home 2-1 · Road 3-0 · Division 0-1 · Streak W2 · Points 197–171
8 days of rest

Injury report

Minnesota Vikings 5 on injured reserve
  • Bryson Nesbit
    Bryson NesbitTE
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
Buffalo Bills 3 on injured reserve
  • DJ Moore
    DJ MooreWR
    Shoulder - AC Joint
    Questionable
  • Ed Oliver
    Ed OliverDT
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Grant DuBose
    Grant DuBose
    Shoulder
    Questionable
  • Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
    Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
  • Jordan Poyer
    Jordan Poyer
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jalen Virgil
    Jalen Virgil
    Undisclosed
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Minnesota Vikings Buffalo Bills
17.2 Points scored 32.2
10.4 Points allowed 28
290.2 Total yards 383.4
168.4 Passing yards 222
121.8 Rushing yards 161.4
0.6 Turnovers 1.8
33 Third-down % 50
30 Red-zone TD % 74
3.4 Sacks 1.6
32:42Time of possession30:06

Skill players · Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones
    Aaron JonesRB
    436 rushing yards (72.7 a game, 4.2 a carry), 2 TD
  • Justin Jefferson
    Justin JeffersonWR
    23 catches, 302 receiving yards (60.4 a game), 3 TD
  • T.J. Hockenson
    T.J. HockensonTE
    27 catches, 237 receiving yards (39.5 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Buffalo Bills

  • James Cook
    James CookRB
    627 rushing yards (104.5 a game, 5.4 a carry), 6 TD
  • Dalton Kincaid
    Dalton KincaidTE
    23 catches, 315 receiving yards (52.5 a game), 1 TD
  • Khalil Shakir
    Khalil ShakirWR
    22 catches, 290 receiving yards (48.3 a game), 1 TD

Last ten games

Minnesota Vikings WWWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
20.8 / 12.3
Total over 41.5
1/6
Total over 44.5
1/6
Total over 47.5
1/6
Won by 7+
3/6
Buffalo Bills WWLWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
32.8 / 28.5
Total over 41.5
5/6
Total over 44.5
5/6
Total over 47.5
5/6
Won by 7+
2/6

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only.

Player props

Prop hit rates: Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray

Minnesota Vikings · QB · last 5 games
Passing yards o162.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
168
247
229
150
Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones

Minnesota Vikings · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o72.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
40
105
58
94
113
26
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o60.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
92
55
32
79
44
Receptions o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
8
3
2
6
4
T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson

Minnesota Vikings · TE · last 6 games
Receiving yards o39.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
36
29
11
119
7
35
Receptions o4.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
4
3
2
13
1
4
Josh Allen

Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o250.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
334
248
204
253
210
255
James Cook

James Cook

Buffalo Bills · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o104.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
57
135
154
75
111
95
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills · TE · last 6 games
Receiving yards o52.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
130
95
38
7
7
38
Receptions o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
5
7
2
1
1
7
Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o48.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
50
38
6
82
80
34
Receptions o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
4
3
1
7
3
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Minnesota Vikings 23, Buffalo Bills 20: a projected total of 43 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?
The AI consensus has Minnesota Vikings winning by 3 points (23–20).
Who are the quarterbacks in Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?
Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): 812 passing yards (162.4 a game), 3 TD, 2 INT, rating 85.8. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills): 1,504 passing yards (250.7 a game), 9 TD, 4 INT, rating 102.1.
Who is injured for Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?
Minnesota Vikings have no one listed out or doubtful. Buffalo Bills have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Buffalo Bills

60% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 24.10 vs 24.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (23 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Buffalo Bills win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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