ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59%
NFL · Regular Season · Week 9 Nov 8, 2026 · 21:05 SoFi Stadium, Inglewood Not Started

Los Angeles Chargers
vs
Houston Texans.

Quick answer

Who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans?

10 of 10 AI models pick Houston Texans to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 27–28 at 68% average confidence (high).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Texans (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 27–28 at 68% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Los Angeles Chargers win 0%

0 / 10 models

Houston Texans win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Houston Texans win
27–28
78%
Houston’s rested offense has a major efficiency and turnover advantage: Stroud has 11 touchdowns against one interception, while Los Angeles is 0-6 with eight Herbert interceptions and multiple questionable starters.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Houston Texans win
17–27
71%
Chargers are winless, turnover-prone, banged up on offensive line; Texans rested off bye with Stroud playing efficiently and strong red-zone output.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Houston Texans win
17–24
68%
The Texans benefit from a 14-day bye rest and CJ Stroud's elite 11-1 TD-INT ratio, contrasting sharply with the winless Chargers' turnover issues (2.6 per game).
04
Grok 4.7
Houston Texans win
17–24
62%
Chargers are 0-6 with Herbert struggling and many injuries; Texans have Stroud in form, a bye, better red-zone and road record despite SoFi.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Texans win
24–25
61%
Texans have a rested bye, Stroud's 100.7 rating vs Herbert's 68.8, and far better turnover and red-zone numbers. Chargers are 0-6 with a struggling offense and many injuries.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Texans win
27–28
72%
Stroud's 100.7 rating and 11:1 TD-INT ratio dominate Herbert's 68.8 with 8 INTs; Texans off bye with 0.2 turnovers/game vs Chargers' 2.6, plus superior red-zone efficiency (69% vs 46%).
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Houston Texans win
17–27
70%
Texans with Stroud 11-1 TD-INT and 0.2 turnovers plus bye rest vs winless Chargers with 8 INTs and 2.6 turnovers.
08
Kimi K3
Houston Texans win
16–27
68%
Chargers are 0-6 with a struggling Herbert (8 INT) and decimated by injuries, while Houston comes off a bye with a superior passing attack (Stroud 100.7 rating) and better recent form despite their record.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Texans win
27–28
64%
Chargers are 0-6 with Herbert throwing 8 picks and 2.6 turnovers per game; Houston's Stroud (11 TD, 1 INT) comes off a bye and wins on the road (2-1).
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Houston Texans win
24–25
68%
Chargers sit 0-6 with Herbert at 68.8 rating and 2.6 turnovers a game, plus injuries to Alt and McConkey; Texans come off a bye with Stroud at 100.7 and 0.2 turnovers.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 27–28. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 27–28
    3 models
  • 17–27
    2 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 17–24
    2 models
  • 16–27
    1 model

NFL · Week 9

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Texans −1 55 Texans 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers · QB
190.2 YDS/G 266.7
5 TD 11
8 INT 1
68.8 RATING 100.7
C.J. Stroud
C.J. Stroud
Houston Texans · QB

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 · #4 AFC West
Home 0-3 · Road 0-3 · Division 0-3 · Streak L6 · Points 90–151
7 days of rest

Houston Texans

2-5 · #3 AFC South
Home 0-4 · Road 2-1 · Division 2-1 · Streak L1 · Points 165–170
Off a bye: 14 days of rest

Injury report

Los Angeles Chargers 7 on injured reserve
  • BT
    Brenen ThompsonWR
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • Ladd McConkey
    Ladd McConkeyWR
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Kayode Awosika
    Kayode Awosika
    Lower Leg
    Questionable
  • Bud Dupree
    Bud DupreeLB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • Joe Alt
    Joe AltOT
    Neck
    Questionable
  • Donte Jackson
    Donte JacksonCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • RS
    Rodney ShelleyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
Houston Texans 11 on injured reserve
  • David Montgomery
    David MontgomeryRB
    Groin
    Questionable
  • Jaylin Noel
    Jaylin NoelWR
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Reed Blankenship
    Reed BlankenshipS
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Jalen Pitre
    Jalen PitreS
    Shoulder - AC Joint
    Questionable
  • Blake Fisher
    Blake Fisher
    Thumb
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Los Angeles Chargers Houston Texans
15.2 Points scored 25.6
25 Points allowed 22.8
291 Total yards 322.4
164.4 Passing yards 240.6
126.6 Rushing yards 81.8
2.6 Turnovers 0.2
35 Third-down % 38
46 Red-zone TD % 69
2 Sacks 2.8
31:00Time of possession28:30

Skill players · Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton
    Omarion HamptonRB
    289 rushing yards (48.2 a game, 3.6 a carry), 3 TD
  • Tre Harris
    Tre HarrisWR
    15 catches, 225 receiving yards (45 a game), 0 TD
  • Ladd McConkey
    Ladd McConkeyWR
    13 catches, 200 receiving yards (40 a game), 1 TD

Skill players · Houston Texans

  • JM
    Jo'quavious MarksRB
    271 rushing yards (38.7 a game, 3.5 a carry), 2 TD
  • Jaylin Noel
    Jaylin NoelWR
    19 catches, 331 receiving yards (47.3 a game), 2 TD
  • Nico Collins
    Nico CollinsWR
    24 catches, 329 receiving yards (65.8 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

Los Angeles Chargers LLLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
15 / 25.2
Total over 41.5
1/6
Total over 44.5
1/6
Total over 47.5
1/6
Won by 7+
0/6
Houston Texans LWWLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
23.6 / 24.3
Total over 41.5
4/7
Total over 44.5
4/7
Total over 47.5
4/7
Won by 7+
1/7

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Omarion Hampton by Hameltion (CC BY-SA 4.0), Tre Harris by Lance Cpl. Jeslianne A. Torres (Public domain), Ladd McConkey by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0), Jalen Pitre by Atlanta Falcons (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o190.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
209
192
226
189
121
204
Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton

Los Angeles Chargers · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o48.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
43
94
56
45
33
18
Tre Harris

Tre Harris

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o45.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
20
53
76
60
16
Receptions o3.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
3
1
6
3
2
Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o40.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
82
35
66
0
17
Receptions o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
5
3
4
0
1
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o265.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
353
167
347
261
312
153
JM

Jo'quavious Marks

Houston Texans · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o38.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
8
15
22
62
56
66
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

Houston Texans · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o46.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
31
17
85
41
107
-3
Receptions o2.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
1
2
3
5
4
2
Nico Collins

Nico Collins

Houston Texans · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o63.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
118
56
74
6
Receptions o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
7
5
3
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Los Angeles Chargers 27, Houston Texans 28: a projected total of 55 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans?
The AI consensus has Houston Texans winning by 1 points (28–27).
Who are the quarterbacks in Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans?
Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers): 1,141 passing yards (190.2 a game), 5 TD, 8 INT, rating 68.8. C.J. Stroud (Houston Texans): 1,867 passing yards (266.7 a game), 11 TD, 1 INT, rating 100.7.
Who is injured for Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans?
Los Angeles Chargers have no one listed out or doubtful. Houston Texans have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Houston Texans

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
High confidence

Mean 68% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 21.30 vs 26.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (27 - 28; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Texans win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.