KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% HUR 1-0 TIG · 47% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% HUR 1-0 TIG · 47%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 1 Sep 13, 2026 · 20:25 Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas Finished

Las Vegas Raiders
vs
Miami Dolphins.

Quick answer

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins?

Final score: Las Vegas Raiders 27–13 Miami Dolphins. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Miami Dolphins to win (80%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 27–28.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Miami Dolphins (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 27–28 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Las Vegas Raiders and Miami Dolphins stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Las Vegas Raiders win 20%

2 / 10 models

Miami Dolphins win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Miami Dolphins win
27–28
57%
Miami won the two most recent completed meetings, including 34-19 in 2024, and its offensive tempo gives it the higher scoring ceiling. Las Vegas benefits from Allegiant Stadium, keeping this Week 1 matchup competitive despite limited current-form information.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–20
52%
Season opener, home venue edge for Raiders; Dolphins have recently dominated H2H but roster/coaching changes limit certainty either way.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Miami Dolphins win
20–24
62%
Miami's explosive offensive scheme holds a matchup advantage over the Raiders' defense, continuing their recent head-to-head dominance in a competitive season opener.
04
Grok 4.7
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–20
54%
Thin 2026 Week 1 data. Home Raiders get a slight Allegiant edge in a one-possession game; Miami won the last two H2H meetings in Miami.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Miami Dolphins win
21–24
55%
Recent head-to-head favors Miami; Las Vegas home edge keeps it a close contest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Miami Dolphins win
24–25
52%
Dolphins won last two regular-season meetings convincingly; thin 2026 context keeps confidence moderate, but Miami's recent edge over Vegas is the strongest signal available.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Miami Dolphins win
21–28
60%
Dolphins' recent form and matchup history edge out Raiders' home advantage.
08
Kimi K3
Miami Dolphins win
24–27
58%
Miami has won the last two meetings and profiles as the steadier Week 1 offense; Las Vegas gets Allegiant home edge but remains less proven, so a narrow Dolphins road win.
09
GLM 5.3
Miami Dolphins win
24–25
55%
Miami has won the last three meetings against Las Vegas, including 34-19 in 2024; Week 1 rest is even, so a modest road edge despite Allegiant Stadium home advantage.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Miami Dolphins win
27–28
58%
Miami Dolphins won the last two regular-season H2H meetings, but Las Vegas Raiders' home venue at Allegiant Stadium supports a tight, competitive game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 9 models settled on 27–28. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 27–28
    2 models
  • 24–20
    2 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 20–24
    1 model
  • 21–28
    1 model
  • 21–24
    1 model

NFL · Week 1

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Dolphins −1 55 Dolphins 80%
Quarterback matchup · season
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
Las Vegas Raiders · QB
234.8 YDS/G 176.2
24 TD 4
14 INT 4
86.3 RATING 77.1
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB

Las Vegas Raiders

3-4 · #3 AFC West
Home 1-3 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak L4 · Points 183–197

Miami Dolphins

1-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 98–157

Injury report

Las Vegas Raiders

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Miami Dolphins 5 on injured reserve
  • Jaylen Wright
    Jaylen WrightRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Willie Gay
    Willie GayLB
    Illness
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable

Skill players · Las Vegas Raiders

  • Josh Jacobs
    Josh JacobsRB
    1,653 rushing yards (97.2 a game, 4.9 a carry), 12 TD
  • Davante Adams
    Davante AdamsWR
    100 catches, 1,516 receiving yards (89.2 a game), 14 TD
  • Mack Hollins
    Mack HollinsWR
    57 catches, 690 receiving yards (40.6 a game), 4 TD

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    339 rushing yards (56.5 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    26 catches, 289 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    18 catches, 213 receiving yards (35.5 a game), 0 TD

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Las Vegas Raiders 27, Miami Dolphins 28: a projected total of 55 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI consensus has Miami Dolphins winning by 1 points (28–27).
Who are the quarterbacks in Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins?
Derek Carr (Las Vegas Raiders): 3,522 passing yards (234.8 a game), 24 TD, 14 INT, rating 86.3. Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 1,057 passing yards (176.2 a game), 4 TD, 4 INT, rating 77.1.
Who is injured for Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins?
Las Vegas Raiders have no one listed out or doubtful. Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Miami Dolphins

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.60 vs 24.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (27 - 28; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Miami Dolphins win, with vote shares roughly 20% / 80% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

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