ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% EST 0-1 GIM · 59%
TuringStats
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 9 Nov 9, 2026 · 01:20 Soldier Field, Chicago Not Started

Chicago Bears
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Quick answer

Who will win Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

10 of 10 AI models pick Chicago Bears to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 24–20 at 62% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Chicago Bears (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 62% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Chicago Bears and Tampa Bay Buccaneers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Chicago Bears win 100%

10 / 10 models

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Chicago Bears win
24–20
64%
Chicago’s 5-2 record, 3-1 home mark, stronger passing efficiency and 377 recent yards per game outweigh Tampa Bay’s rushing form. The Buccaneers’ road success and one extra rest day keep this competitive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Chicago Bears win
26–20
63%
Bears are hotter (5-2, W2) with strong home record and Caleb Williams efficient; Buccaneers struggling on the road overall despite recent win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Chicago Bears win
24–17
62%
Chicago's balanced attack behind Caleb Williams and strong 3-1 home record give them an edge over a Tampa Bay offense averaging under 140 passing yards over recent weeks.
04
Grok 4.7
Chicago Bears win
24–20
58%
Bears 5-2 with Williams and home form edge Bucs 2-5; last-five scoring nearly identical so a close one-possession Soldier Field win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Chicago Bears win
24–20
61%
Bears are 5-2 with a 3-1 home record and stronger passing offense, while Tampa Bay is 2-5 and winless at home but 2-1 on the road. Chicago's defense has been steadier recently, giving them the edge at Soldier Field.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Chicago Bears win
24–17
63%
Bears' balanced offense and Williams' efficiency (105.6 rating) contrast sharply with Mayfield's 169.8 passing yards/game; home edge and 5-2 record support Chicago, though Bucs' road resilience caps the margin.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Chicago Bears win
24–20
60%
Bears 5-2 with W2 and 3-1 at Soldier Field, allowing 19.4 lately; Buccaneers 2-5 with weak pass output.
08
Kimi K3
Chicago Bears win
27–23
62%
Bears' superior record and home form edge them past a Buccaneers side that struggles in away games despite recent win.
09
GLM 5.3
Chicago Bears win
24–20
61%
Bears enter 5-2 on a W2 streak with Williams efficient (105.6 rating) and 3-1 at home; Tampa is 2-5 with weak passing (136.8 yards/game), so a modest home win fits despite Tampa's solid road form.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Chicago Bears win
24–20
62%
Bears' 5-2 form and efficient Williams-led offense (105.6 rating, 41% third downs) outweigh Tampa's road struggles; Bucky Irving keeps it close but Chicago's Soldier Field edge decides it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 24–20. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–20
    6 models
  • 24–17
    2 models
  • 26–20
    1 model
  • 27–23
    1 model

NFL · Week 9

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Bears −4 44 Bears 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams
Chicago Bears · QB
255 YDS/G 169.8
5 TD 3
1 INT 2
105.6 RATING 83
Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB

Chicago Bears

5-2 · #2 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-1 · Division 0-2 · Streak W2 · Points 180–143
6 days of rest

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2-5 · #3 NFC South
Home 0-4 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 162–151
7 days of rest

Injury report

Chicago Bears 11 on injured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai
    Kyle MonangaiRB
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Jack Sanborn
    Jack SanbornLB
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • T.J. Edwards
    T.J. EdwardsLB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • MS
    Marlen SewellS
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 on injured reserve
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Antoine Winfield Jr.
    Antoine Winfield Jr.S
    Ribs
    Questionable
  • Luke Goedeke
    Luke Goedeke
    Calf
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Chicago Bears Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23.6 Points scored 23.2
19.4 Points allowed 19
377.2 Total yards 296.6
246.2 Passing yards 136.8
131 Rushing yards 159.8
1.6 Turnovers 1.2
41 Third-down % 37
52 Red-zone TD % 60
2.8 Sacks 2.6
36:24Time of possession33:30

Skill players · Chicago Bears

  • D'Andre Swift
    D'Andre SwiftRB
    476 rushing yards (68 a game, 4.1 a carry), 7 TD
  • Luther Burden III
    Luther Burden IIIWR
    35 catches, 491 receiving yards (70.1 a game), 2 TD
  • Rome Odunze
    Rome OdunzeWR
    24 catches, 381 receiving yards (54.4 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Bucky Irving
    Bucky IrvingRB
    558 rushing yards (79.7 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris GodwinWR
    27 catches, 243 receiving yards (34.7 a game), 0 TD
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    28 catches, 240 receiving yards (40 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Chicago Bears WWLWWLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
25.7 / 20.4
Total over 41.5
3/7
Total over 44.5
3/7
Total over 47.5
3/7
Won by 7+
4/7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers WLWLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
23.1 / 21.6
Total over 41.5
4/7
Total over 44.5
3/7
Total over 47.5
2/7
Won by 7+
2/7

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Caleb Williams by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Luther Burden III by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Rome Odunze by Bobak Ha'Eri (CC BY 3.0), Kyle Monangai by Maize & Blue Nation (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o250.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
138
305
308
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o58.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
45
84
58
43
44
78
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o71.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
32
61
63
47
95
130
Receptions o5.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
7
4
4
8
4
Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o54.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
43
44
94
40
39
69
Receptions o3.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
3
6
3
3
4
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o154.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
182
217
64
Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o85.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
89
46
61
165
46
106
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o33.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
46
25
31
37
37
27
Receptions o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
3
3
6
3
4
4
Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o35.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
16
62
13
38
48
Receptions o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
5
2
6
7

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Chicago Bears 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20: a projected total of 44 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The AI consensus has Chicago Bears winning by 4 points (24–20).
Who are the quarterbacks in Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): 1,020 passing yards (255 a game), 5 TD, 1 INT, rating 105.6. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): 679 passing yards (169.8 a game), 3 TD, 2 INT, rating 83.
Who is injured for Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Chicago Bears have no one listed out or doubtful. Tampa Bay Buccaneers have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Chicago Bears

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 62% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 24.50 vs 19.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Chicago Bears win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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