MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54% MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54%
TuringStats
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NBA · Regular Season Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Not Started

San Antonio Spurs
vs
Golden State Warriors.

Quick answer

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?

10 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 118–112 at 59% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 71% of the time (102 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Antonio Spurs win 100%

10 / 10 models

Golden State Warriors win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6.1 Sol
San Antonio Spurs win
117–112
60%
San Antonio's three-game streak, Wembanyama's strong recent scoring, and home court favor the Spurs; Golden State's Curry is in excellent form, so a close, high-scoring game is likely.
02
Claude Opus 5.5
San Antonio Spurs win
117–111
60%
Spurs have the better defensive rating (103.7 vs 109.4), Wembanyama is in strong form, and they have won three straight at home with equal rest. Curry's scoring and the Warriors' 3-point shooting keep it close, and the Spurs won the last two meetings by double digits.
03
Gemini 4 Argon
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
San Antonio rides a three-game win streak with Victor Wembanyama in dominant form and boasts superior defensive rating (103.7) to withstand Stephen Curry's scoring.
04
Grok 4.7
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
60%
Spurs' better defense, Wembanyama's form and home court outweigh Curry's scoring. Equal rest and a small early-season sample keep the edge modest.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
116–111
58%
Spurs are on a three-game win streak with Wembanyama anchoring both ends, and they beat Golden State twice last season. Warriors' Curry is hot but they allow 114.3 per game, so San Antonio's home edge and better defense should hold.
06
Tencent Hy4
San Antonio Spurs win
119–114
58%
Both teams are hot with equal rest, but San Antonio's elite defense (101.8 per 100) and Wembanyama's form plus home court edge a strong Warriors attack; recent H2H also favors Spurs.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–111
60%
Spurs on W3 with elite 103.7 defensive rating and back-to-back H2H wins at Golden State; Wembanyama form plus home venue offsets Curry's hot scoring.
08
NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Ultra
San Antonio Spurs win
116–112
58%
Spurs' elite defense and Wembanyama's dominance at home outweigh Warriors' offensive firepower; San Antonio has won 4 of last 5 H2H.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–113
56%
Spurs' elite defense (103.7 per 100) and W3 streak at home edge out hot Curry; Warriors' high turnovers (17.8%) and H2H road struggles tip a close game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
Spurs' W3 streak, Wembanyama's 25/11 form and home floor outweigh Curry's 28.8 ppg; both teams push pace, and San Antonio's rebounding edge should decide a tight one.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–112
    2 models
  • 119–114
    1 model
  • 116–112
    1 model
  • 117–112
    1 model
  • 117–111
    1 model
  • 116–111
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Spurs −6
AI total
230
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 5 games
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
36.6 PTS 26.4
13 REB 3.6
2.2 AST 3.8
28 MIN 25
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry
Golden State Warriors · G

San Antonio Spurs

10-2 · #2 Western
Home 4-2 · Away 6-0 · Last ten 10-0 · Streak W10
2 days of rest · 4 games in 7 days

Golden State Warriors

8-4 · #6 Western
Home 6-1 · Away 2-3 · Last ten 8-2 · Streak L1
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Devin Vassell
    Devin Vassell Spurs · G
    28 min · 12 pts a game before

Season averages per game

San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors
117.8 Points 117.5
45.9% Field goal % 46.6%
35% 3-point % 38.6%
80.1% Free throw % 78.9%
48.4 Rebounds 44.2
26.9 Assists 27.8
14.9 Turnovers 17.3
8.6 Steals 9.9
7.1 Blocks 5.3

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

SpursWarriors
Offensive rating 113.2 114.1
Defensive rating 102.5 106.8
Net rating +10.7 +7.3
Pace 104 103
Effective FG % 53 55.7
Turnover % 14.4 16.8
Free throw rate 30.4 31.8
3-point attempt rate 40.5 47.2

Key players · San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama
    Victor WembanyamaF 36.6 pts · 13 reb · 2.2 ast
  • DH
    D. HarperG 17.6 pts · 5 reb · 4 ast
  • Stephon Castle
    Stephon CastleG 13 pts · 5.8 reb · 5 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen CurryG 26.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.8 ast
  • YL
    Y. LendeborgF 22 pts · 8.3 reb · 3.3 ast
  • BP
    Brandin PodziemskiG 18.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

San Antonio Spurs WWWWWWWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
121.6 / 106.6
Total over 220.5
8/10
Total over 230.5
4/10
Scored 110+
10/10
Won by 6+
8/10
Golden State Warriors LWWWWWWWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
121.9 / 110
Total over 220.5
8/10
Total over 230.5
5/10
Scored 110+
9/10
Won by 6+
6/10

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Stephen Curry by El Viejas God (CC0), De'Aaron Fox by NewishIdeas (CC BY-SA 4.0), De'Anthony Melton by Frenchieinportland (CC BY-SA 4.0), Devin Vassell by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs · F · last 10 games
Points o32.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
23
29
36
43
12
52
30
29
40
32
Rebounds o11.5 3/10 · 30% Ask AI
7
10
14
7
11
24
14
7
11
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o46.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
32
41
55
54
28
78
46
39
54
42
3-pointers made o2.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
2
0
4
3
0
1
4
3
2
2
DH

D. Harper

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 10 games
Points o17.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
22
13
13
25
17
21
19
13
17
18
Rebounds o5.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
5
6
5
7
7
5
2
7
5
6
Assists o5.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
2
6
8
6
8
0
3
3
4
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
29
25
26
38
32
26
24
23
26
34
De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 10 games
Points o13.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
19
11
14
22
12
10
9
8
15
17
Rebounds o4.5 2/10 · 20% Ask AI
3
4
3
8
2
3
2
3
9
4
Assists o5.5 6/10 · 60% Ask AI
9
6
4
7
3
4
4
6
6
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
31
21
21
37
17
17
15
17
30
30
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · last 8 games
Points o28.5 5/8 · 63% Ask AI
24
44
31
34
29
41
25
3
Rebounds o4.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
3
8
4
6
1
6
5
0
Assists o4.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
3
6
6
7
4
6
2
0
Pts + Reb + Ast o37.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
30
58
41
47
34
53
32
3
3-pointers made o4.5 5/8 · 63% Ask AI
3
6
8
5
6
5
4
1
BP

Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · last 9 games
Points o17.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
18
8
21
17
20
9
15
25
22
Rebounds o5.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
7
5
5
8
3
6
7
2
6
Assists o4.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
5
6
6
8
2
3
1
4
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
30
19
32
33
25
18
23
31
32
3-pointers made o3.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
3
0
4
2
3
2
4
5
4
De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · last 10 games
Points o11.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
25
3
8
16
21
2
5
4
16
11
Rebounds o4.5 6/10 · 60% Ask AI
5
4
6
5
6
7
6
1
4
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o18.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
35
10
14
24
30
11
13
6
23
19
3-pointers made o2.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
4
1
2
4
6
0
0
1
4
3

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors: quick answers

What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 118, Golden State Warriors 112: a projected total of 230 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 10; Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 5 of the last 10.
What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
Leading scorers over the last 5 games. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (36.6 pts, 13 reb, 2.2 ast), D. Harper (17.6 pts, 5 reb, 4 ast). Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry (26.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.8 ast), Y. Lendeborg (22 pts, 8.3 reb, 3.3 ast).
Is San Antonio Spurs or Golden State Warriors on a back-to-back?
San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Golden State Warriors have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 117.30 vs 111.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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