KRI 1-2 VAL · 51% PLY 2-1 BER · 51% JUN 2-1 CUC · 53% ANA 0-2 ALA · 60% PAM 0-2 EIB · 58% AMO 1-0 UDL · 48% MIJ 0-1 REA · 50% TRI 0-2 LEG · 61% TAV 0-2 VAL · 65% TüR 0-2 BEL · 57% ARM 0-1 CYP · 44% CAL 0-2 ALB · 59% TAR 0-2 LEV · 63% NAV 0-2 REA · 64% KRI 1-2 VAL · 51% PLY 2-1 BER · 51% JUN 2-1 CUC · 53% ANA 0-2 ALA · 60% PAM 0-2 EIB · 58% AMO 1-0 UDL · 48% MIJ 0-1 REA · 50% TRI 0-2 LEG · 61% TAV 0-2 VAL · 65% TüR 0-2 BEL · 57% ARM 0-1 CYP · 44% CAL 0-2 ALB · 59% TAR 0-2 LEV · 63% NAV 0-2 REA · 64%
TuringStats
AI consensus
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NBA · Regular Season Moda Center, Portland Finished

Portland Trail Blazers
vs
San Antonio Spurs.

Quick answer

Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?

Final score: Portland Trail Blazers 103–125 San Antonio Spurs. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Portland Trail Blazers to win (80%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 118–112.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Portland Trail Blazers (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Portland Trail Blazers win 80%

8 / 10 models

San Antonio Spurs win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–111
58%
Portland’s stronger early offense and defensive efficiency, plus home court, offset both teams playing a back-to-back. San Antonio’s Wembanyama-led interior presence and faster pace keep this competitive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–108
60%
Portland is hot (2-0, top West seed) with strong offensive efficiency; both teams on back-to-backs, but Blazers' deeper recent scoring edge favors them at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–110
58%
Both teams play on the second night of a back-to-back, but Portland's hot offensive start and home advantage give them the edge over San Antonio's turnover-prone offense.
04
Grok 4.7
Portland Trail Blazers win
117–108
62%
Portland is 2-0 with elite early defense (95.6/100) and 120.7 scoring vs Spurs' 1-2 and weaker 106.7 offense. Both on B2B; home form outweighs recent H2H.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
112–113
58%
Spurs have won four of last five H2H, including three straight by double digits, and Wembanyama's rim protection can slow Portland's offense. Both teams on back-to-back, but San Antonio's defense rates better.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–107
62%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 per 100) and 2-0 start outweigh Spurs' H2H edge; both on back-to-backs limits scoring but Blazers' superior metrics prevail at home.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
57%
Portland is 3-0 at Moda with 117.7 offensive rating and Avdija hot; both on back-to-back so rest neutral despite Spurs H2H edge.
08
Kimi K3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
58%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 per 100) and 2-0 form edge San Antonio's 1-2 start; both on back-to-back, but Blazers' home scoring (120.6 ppg) outpaces Spurs' 113.5.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
113–114
53%
Spurs dominated recent H2H and Wembanyama's inside presence trouble Portland; both teams on back-to-backs, so home edge is muted in a close, moderate-pace game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Portland Trail Blazers win
114–106
62%
Portland's 2-0 start, elite per-100 defense (95.6) and Avdija/Lillard form outweigh Spurs' turnover issues; both on back-to-backs, but Moda Center and Portland's scoring edge decide it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–112
    2 models
  • 116–111
    1 model
  • 116–108
    1 model
  • 112–113
    1 model
  • 116–107
    1 model
  • 114–106
    1 model

Live game centre

Final
Portland Trail Blazers
103–125
San Antonio Spurs
Q1Q2Q3Q4 T
Portland Trail Blazers 20292727 103
San Antonio Spurs 22424516 125
20
22
Q1
29
42
Q2
27
45
Q3
27
16
Q4
Pro

Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Blazers −6
AI total
230
Models picking
80%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 5 games
Deni Avdija
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F
23.8 PTS 34.6
6.6 REB 14
7.4 AST 3.6
34 MIN 31
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F

Portland Trail Blazers

6-3 · #8 Western
Home 1-2 · Away 5-1 · Last ten 6-3 · Streak L2
Back-to-back: played last night · 3 games in 7 days

San Antonio Spurs

8-2 · #2 Western
Home 4-2 · Away 4-0 · Last ten 8-2 · Streak W8
Back-to-back: played last night · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Season averages per game

Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs
118.8 Points 117.1
47.2% Field goal % 45.2%
34.9% 3-point % 34.7%
74.9% Free throw % 80.7%
46.3 Rebounds 49
26.8 Assists 26.3
17.2 Turnovers 15.8
7.5 Steals 8.3
5.4 Blocks 6.8

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

BlazersSpurs
Offensive rating 114.1 111.8
Defensive rating 106.5 103.8
Net rating +7.6 +8
Pace 104.1 104.7
Effective FG % 55.8 52.4
Turnover % 16.5 15.1
Free throw rate 34.7 31.4
3-point attempt rate 49.2 41.4

Key players · Portland Trail Blazers

  • Deni Avdija
    Deni AvdijaF 23.8 pts · 6.6 reb · 7.4 ast
  • Damian Lillard
    Damian LillardG 19.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.2 ast
  • DC
    Donovan ClinganC 14.6 pts · 11.4 reb · 1.2 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama
    Victor WembanyamaF 34.6 pts · 14 reb · 3.6 ast
  • DH
    D. HarperG 19 pts · 5.2 reb · 5 ast
  • DF
    De'Aaron FoxG 13.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

Portland Trail Blazers LWWWLWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
120.1 / 110.8
Total over 220.5
6/9
Total over 230.5
4/9
Scored 110+
8/9
Won by 6+
7/9
San Antonio Spurs WWWWWWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
117.7 / 108.7
Total over 220.5
7/9
Total over 230.5
3/9
Scored 110+
8/9
Won by 6+
6/9

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Deni Avdija by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0), Damian Lillard by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Ja Morant by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers · F · last 9 games
Points o23.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
26
18
26
23
24
24
28
21
22
Rebounds o6.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
9
10
6
4
9
5
3
7
9
Assists o6.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
4
4
6
9
7
2
5
12
11
Pts + Reb + Ast o37.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
39
32
38
36
40
31
36
40
42
3-pointers made o1.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
2
2
1
4
0
2
2
1
1
Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 9 games
Points o19.5 6/9 · 67% Ask AI
14
25
19
21
9
22
20
25
22
Assists o4.5 3/9 · 33% Ask AI
4
6
2
4
2
4
6
5
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
21
34
26
30
13
31
32
33
26
3-pointers made o2.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
3
6
2
4
1
3
1
2
4
Ja Morant

Ja Morant

Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 5 games
Points o15.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
14
14
12
23
14
Assists o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
6
8
7
4
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
22
27
22
27
19
Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs · F · last 9 games
Points o29.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
12
25
23
29
36
43
12
52
30
Rebounds o12.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
13
13
7
10
14
7
11
24
14
Assists o3.5 3/9 · 33% Ask AI
3
2
2
2
5
4
5
2
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o44.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
28
40
32
41
55
54
28
78
46
3-pointers made o1.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
0
2
2
0
4
3
0
1
4
DH

D. Harper

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 9 games
Points o18.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
18
20
22
13
13
25
17
21
19
Rebounds o5.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
7
3
5
6
5
7
7
5
2
Assists o4.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
5
2
2
6
8
6
8
0
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
30
25
29
25
26
38
32
26
24
Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 9 games
Points o15.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
24
15
19
15
14
0
16
17
19
Rebounds o5.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
7
7
4
5
6
5
5
10
3
Assists o5.5 3/9 · 33% Ask AI
1
5
8
5
8
4
4
3
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 6/9 · 67% Ask AI
32
27
31
25
28
9
25
30
29
3-pointers made o2.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
5
3
3
3
1
0
2
2
1

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Portland Trail Blazers 118, San Antonio Spurs 112: a projected total of 230 points. Portland Trail Blazers games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 9; San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 9.
What is the AI spread pick for Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
The consensus has Portland Trail Blazers winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
Leading scorers over the last 5 games. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija (23.8 pts, 6.6 reb, 7.4 ast), Damian Lillard (19.6 pts, 3.2 reb, 4.2 ast). San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (34.6 pts, 14 reb, 3.6 ast), D. Harper (19 pts, 5.2 reb, 5 ast).
Is Portland Trail Blazers or San Antonio Spurs on a back-to-back?
Portland Trail Blazers are on the second night of a back-to-back; San Antonio Spurs are on the second night of a back-to-back.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Portland Trail Blazers

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 115.60 vs 110.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Portland Trail Blazers win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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