CHI 1-1 NEW · 38% STA 1-0 ANG · 45% LOR 2-1 PAR · 44% MON 2-1 TOU · 47% PAR 3-0 LEM · 69% NAP 2-0 FRO · 58% REA 2-1 VIL · 52% BRO 1-1 DAL · 36% POR 1-0 BOI · 41% UNI 1-0 FOR · 44% CHA 1-1 LOU · 39% TAM 1-1 CAR · 37% DET 1-0 RHO · 39% IND 1-1 TAM · 37% CHI 1-1 NEW · 38% STA 1-0 ANG · 45% LOR 2-1 PAR · 44% MON 2-1 TOU · 47% PAR 3-0 LEM · 69% NAP 2-0 FRO · 58% REA 2-1 VIL · 52% BRO 1-1 DAL · 36% POR 1-0 BOI · 41% UNI 1-0 FOR · 44% CHA 1-1 LOU · 39% TAM 1-1 CAR · 37% DET 1-0 RHO · 39% IND 1-1 TAM · 37%
NBA · Preseason Oct 8, 2026 · 23:30 Kaseya Center, Miami Finished

Miami Heat
vs
New Orleans Pelicans.

Quick answer

Who will win Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Final score: Miami Heat 128–118 New Orleans Pelicans. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Miami Heat to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 108–102.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Miami Heat (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 108–102 at 36% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

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“Will Miami Heat beat New Orleans Pelicans in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Miami Heat win 100%

10 / 10 models

New Orleans Pelicans win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Miami Heat win
112–105
58%
Miami won the last five listed meetings and hosts again, supporting a modest home edge. As a preseason matchup with uncertain rotations, expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring game rather than a decisive margin.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Miami Heat win
108–102
52%
Preseason matchup with rotations and rest uncertain; Miami has won recent head-to-head meetings and holds home court at Kaseya Center.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Miami Heat win
107–101
58%
In preseason play, rotation depth and defensive structure favor Miami at home, where they have consistently controlled recent head-to-head encounters against New Orleans.
04
Grok 4.6
Miami Heat win
117–108
58%
Heat won the last five H2H meetings, including at Kaseya Center. Preseason rotations cap the edge, so a moderate home win is the best guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Miami Heat win
116–108
62%
Miami has won four straight in this matchup, including two decisive home wins, and opens preseason at Kaseya Center. New Orleans' recent form in this series has been poor, though preseason rotations add uncertainty.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Miami Heat win
110–104
58%
Preseason game limits certainty, but Miami dominated recent H2H matchups and Kaseya Center provides home familiarity. Expect moderate scoring with Heat edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Miami Heat win
108–102
58%
Preseason form uncertain; Heat's home court and recent H2H dominance slightly favor them.
08
Kimi K3
Miami Heat win
114–108
58%
Preseason at Kaseya Center; Heat have won five straight H2H meetings and typically control this matchup, though exhibition rotations keep confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
Miami Heat win
110–102
56%
Heat won all five recent meetings, including twice over New Orleans in 2026, and host at Kaseya Center; preseason rotation uncertainty keeps confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Miami Heat win
115–108
62%
Miami's strong recent H2H record and home venue advantage suggest a win, but preseason context and Pelicans' potential for a high-scoring game keep the margin moderate.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 108–102. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 108–102
    2 models
  • 112–105
    1 model
  • 116–108
    1 model
  • 110–104
    1 model
  • 115–108
    1 model
  • 117–108
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (108 - 102; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Miami Heat win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Miami Heat

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 36% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 111.70 vs 104.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.