MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 3 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens Finished

Miami Dolphins
vs
Kansas City Chiefs.

Quick answer

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Final score: Miami Dolphins 10–24 Kansas City Chiefs. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Kansas City Chiefs to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 27–28.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Kansas City Chiefs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 27–28 at 65% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Miami Dolphins win 0%

0 / 10 models

Kansas City Chiefs win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Kansas City Chiefs win
27–28
61%
Kansas City has won the last five listed meetings, including a playoff victory in Miami, while Patrick Mahomes-led execution gives the Chiefs a narrow edge despite Miami’s home-field advantage and potential heat-related pace.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
23–27
60%
Chiefs have historically handled Miami well and Mahomes-led offense should edge a home Dolphins team in an early-season divisional-style test.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kansas City Chiefs win
23–27
64%
Kansas City's defense has historically contained Miami's high-speed motion offense, and Patrick Mahomes provides the late-game execution advantage to edge out a tight road victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–27
58%
Chiefs have owned this H2H and remain the more complete side; Miami at Hard Rock can keep it one-score but KC still projects to control the game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
27–28
58%
Kansas City has won four straight in this matchup and brings a more reliable late-game offense; Miami's home speed keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
68%
Chiefs dominated all five recent H2H meetings and maintain roster/coaching edge; Miami's home venue offers slight cushion but Kansas City's consistency and depth should prevail.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
31–32
68%
Chiefs' consistent H2H dominance and elite offense outweigh Dolphins' home field; both teams score but KC pulls away.
08
Kimi K3
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–30
62%
Chiefs have won five straight H2H meetings including two recent playoff-caliber matchups; Miami's home advantage at Hard Rock keeps it competitive, but Kansas City's sustained edge in this series and superior late-game execution favor the visitors.
09
GLM 5.3
Kansas City Chiefs win
27–28
62%
Chiefs have dominated recent H2H with a superior roster and coaching edge; Miami's home venue helps but KC's offense should control the game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Chiefs have dominated the recent H2H, winning the last four meetings. Miami's home-field advantage is significant, but Kansas City's superior recent form and offensive firepower likely edge a close game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 27–28. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 27–28
    3 models
  • 23–27
    2 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 31–32
    1 model
  • 20–27
    1 model
  • 24–30
    1 model

NFL · Week 3

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Chiefs −1 55 Chiefs 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB
176.2 YDS/G 245.7
4 TD 9
4 INT 4
77.1 RATING 95.3
Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs · QB

Miami Dolphins

1-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 98–157
7 days of rest

Kansas City Chiefs

5-1 · #1 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 2-1 · Division 3-0 · Streak L1 · Points 143–103

Injury report

Miami Dolphins 5 on injured reserve
  • Jaylen Wright
    Jaylen WrightRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Willie Gay
    Willie GayLB
    Illness
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
Kansas City Chiefs 9 on injured reserve
  • Rashee Rice
    Rashee RiceWR
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jaylon Moore
    Jaylon MooreOT
    Concussion
    Questionable

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    339 rushing yards (56.5 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    26 catches, 289 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    18 catches, 213 receiving yards (35.5 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker III
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB
    701 rushing yards (116.8 a game, 5.8 a carry), 6 TD
  • Travis Kelce
    Travis KelceTE
    24 catches, 343 receiving yards (57.2 a game), 2 TD
  • Tyquan Thornton
    Tyquan ThorntonWR
    11 catches, 219 receiving yards (54.8 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Miami Dolphins LL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
13 / 31
Total over 41.5
1/2
Total over 44.5
1/2
Total over 47.5
1/2
Won by 7+
0/2

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Rashee Rice by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o208.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
220
197
MW

Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o48.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
53
43
Receptions o3.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
3
4
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · last 2 games
Receiving yards o17.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
18
17
Receptions o2.5 0/2 · 0% Ask AI
2
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Miami Dolphins 27, Kansas City Chiefs 28: a projected total of 55 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI consensus has Kansas City Chiefs winning by 1 points (28–27).
Who are the quarterbacks in Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 1,057 passing yards (176.2 a game), 4 TD, 4 INT, rating 77.1. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): 1,474 passing yards (245.7 a game), 9 TD, 4 INT, rating 95.3.
Who is injured for Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. Kansas City Chiefs have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Kansas City Chiefs

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
High confidence

Mean 65% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.00 vs 27.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (27 - 28; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Kansas City Chiefs win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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