EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
NBA · Regular Season Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Not Started

San Antonio Spurs
vs
Utah Jazz.

Quick answer

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz?

10 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 116–112 at 58% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 116–112 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where San Antonio Spurs and Utah Jazz stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Antonio Spurs win 100%

10 / 10 models

Utah Jazz win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
116–112
56%
San Antonio’s home advantage and stronger defensive efficiency offset Utah’s better shooting and offense. Both teams are rested, while Utah’s recent defense has allowed 121 points per game, supporting a close Spurs win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Antonio Spurs win
114–110
58%
Spurs won the recent head-to-head and have Wembanyama anchoring a stingier defense; Jazz's weak defensive rating (117 per 100) makes this close but favors Spurs at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
116–110
58%
Both teams enter with equal rest, but Utah's porous defense (allowing 117 per 100 possessions) gives Wembanyama and the Spurs a clear edge at home.
04
Grok 4.7
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
Spurs home with Wembanyama and a much tighter defense (105 vs Jazz 117 per 100); Jazz score well but leak points. Equal rest, modest home edge.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
114–110
56%
Spurs have home court and comparable recent form; Jazz defense is leaky, allowing 121 per game, but Utah's offense keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
58%
Utah's defense (117 per 100, allowing 121 recently) is a clear liability; Spurs' faster pace and home court amplify that gap despite similar records.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
San Antonio Spurs win
120–110
68%
Spurs on W3 with 103.7 defensive rating at Frost Bank Center; Jazz on L3 allowing 120.2 with Markkanen and Jackson Jr. uncertain.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
116–112
58%
Spurs' defense (105.3/100) should contain Utah's league-worst defense (117/100) at home; Wembanyama's interior presence and San Antonio's faster pace give them the edge despite Utah's recent H2H win.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
115–108
58%
Spurs' defense (105.3 per 100) far outperforms Utah's leaky 117, and equal rest negates travel; Wembanyama and Castle's form at home tips a tight matchup despite Utah's recent H2H win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
115–111
56%
Spurs' defense (105.3 per 100) suits Utah's leaky 117 defensive rating; Wembanyama and Harper's form plus home court edge a close game despite Utah's better eFG.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 116–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 116–112
    2 models
  • 114–110
    2 models
  • 120–110
    1 model
  • 116–109
    1 model
  • 115–111
    1 model
  • 118–112
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Spurs −4
AI total
228
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 5 games
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
25 PTS 21.6
11.4 REB 4
2.8 AST 6.6
32 MIN 33
Keyonte George
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G

San Antonio Spurs

3-2 · #7 Western
Home 1-2 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W3
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days

Utah Jazz

1-4 · #13 Western
Home 1-3 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 1-4 · Streak L3
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.
    Jaren Jackson Jr. Jazz · F
    33 min · 22 pts a game before

Season averages per game

San Antonio Spurs Utah Jazz
115.5 Points 112.8
45.2% Field goal % 45.9%
34.9% 3-point % 34.8%
79% Free throw % 76.4%
47.5 Rebounds 46.8
26.8 Assists 25.4
17.1 Turnovers 17
9.4 Steals 6.9
6.5 Blocks 5.6

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

SpursJazz
Offensive rating 108.9 108.6
Defensive rating 103.7 114.4
Net rating +5.2 -5.8
Pace 106.1 103.8
Effective FG % 52.7 52.7
Turnover % 16.1 16.4
Free throw rate 27.8 30.7
3-point attempt rate 43 39.4

Key players · San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama
    Victor WembanyamaF 25 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.8 ast
  • Stephon Castle
    Stephon CastleG 17.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.4 ast
  • DH
    D. HarperG 17.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 4.6 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Utah Jazz

  • Keyonte George
    Keyonte GeorgeG 21.6 pts · 4 reb · 6.6 ast
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.
    Jaren Jackson Jr.F 16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
  • Lauri Markkanen
    Lauri MarkkanenF 14.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

San Antonio Spurs WWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
116.6 / 110
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
1/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
3/5
Utah Jazz LLLLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
108.7 / 118.8
Total over 220.5
4/6
Total over 230.5
2/6
Scored 110+
3/6
Won by 6+
0/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Keyonte George by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jaren Jackson Jr. by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Lauri Markkanen by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs · F · last 5 games
Points o25.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
12
25
23
29
36
Rebounds o11.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
13
13
7
10
14
Pts + Reb + Ast o39.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
28
40
32
41
55
3-pointers made o1.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
0
2
2
0
4
Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
24
15
19
15
14
Rebounds o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
7
4
5
6
Assists o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
5
8
5
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
32
27
31
25
28
3-pointers made o3.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
3
3
3
1
DH

D. Harper

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
20
22
13
13
Rebounds o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
7
3
5
6
5
Assists o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
5
2
2
6
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
30
25
29
25
26
Keyonte George

Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · last 6 games
Points o21.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
22
19
24
26
31
8
Assists o6.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
5
10
10
6
3
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o31.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
30
30
43
35
38
15
3-pointers made o2.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
4
3
2
0
5
0
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Utah Jazz · F · last 4 games
Points o16.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
15
24
20
6
Rebounds o5.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
5
10
2
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
22
37
23
11
Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

Utah Jazz · F · last 5 games
Points o15.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
16
28
2
13
Rebounds o5.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
9
6
6
0
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o22.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
30
25
35
2
20
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
4
5
0
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz: quick answers

What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz?
The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 116, Utah Jazz 112: a projected total of 228 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5; Utah Jazz games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz?
The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 4 points (116–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz?
Leading scorers over the last 5 games. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (25 pts, 11.4 reb, 2.8 ast), Stephon Castle (17.4 pts, 5.8 reb, 5.4 ast). Utah Jazz: Keyonte George (21.6 pts, 4 reb, 6.6 ast), Jaren Jackson Jr. (16.7 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast).
Is San Antonio Spurs or Utah Jazz on a back-to-back?
San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Utah Jazz have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 116.00 vs 110.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (116 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.