EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
NBA · Regular Season Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis Not Started

Indiana Pacers
vs
Atlanta Hawks.

Quick answer

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?

10 of 10 AI models pick Atlanta Hawks to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 118–119 at 59% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Atlanta Hawks (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–119 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Indiana Pacers win 0%

0 / 10 models

Atlanta Hawks win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Atlanta Hawks win
123–124
58%
Atlanta brings two days’ rest, stronger recent scoring and lower turnovers, while Indiana’s second night of a back-to-back and missing regulars offset its home-court advantage. Both teams’ pace and efficient attacks support a high-scoring, close game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Atlanta Hawks win
117–122
60%
Pacers on second night of back-to-back and missing Nembhard; Hawks rested with Jalen Johnson in strong form and better offensive efficiency.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atlanta Hawks win
118–124
58%
Atlanta enters well-rested with 2 days off and a sharp offense, while Indiana is on the second night of a back-to-back with key roster absences.
04
Grok 4.7
Atlanta Hawks win
115–122
58%
Pacers on a B2B without Nembhard; Hawks have rest, better offensive rating, and lower turnovers, enough to win on the road in a high-scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
118–119
57%
Pacers are on a back-to-back and may miss Nembhard, while Atlanta has two days' rest and a stronger early-season net rating. Hawks' pace and efficient offense should edge a close game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atlanta Hawks win
122–123
68%
Pacers on back-to-back missing Nembhard and Zubac; Hawks well-rested with superior offensive rating and lower turnover rate, plus 4-1 H2H edge.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Atlanta Hawks win
112–119
63%
Pacers on second night back-to-back missing Haliburton scoring and playmaking; rested Hawks have superior offense and won 4 of last 5 meetings.
08
Kimi K3
Atlanta Hawks win
121–124
58%
Pacers on second night of back-to-back with Nembhard and Zubac questionable; Hawks rested, higher offensive rating (116.1 vs 110.1), and won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
09
GLM 5.3
Atlanta Hawks win
117–118
55%
Pacers are on a back-to-back without Nembhard, while rested Hawks bring better net rating and turnover control; Jalen Johnson's form edges a close matchup despite Indiana's home court.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
118–119
58%
Hawks rest 2 days and rank top-4 East with better net rating and fewer turnovers; Pacers on a back-to-back without Nembhard, though Haliburton's form keeps it close at Gainbridge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 118–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–119
    2 models
  • 112–119
    1 model
  • 123–124
    1 model
  • 117–122
    1 model
  • 122–123
    1 model
  • 115–122
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Hawks −1
AI total
237
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 3 games
Tyrese Haliburton
Tyrese Haliburton
Indiana Pacers · G
21.3 PTS 19
5.3 REB 8.4
8.7 AST 9.2
33 MIN 35
Jalen Johnson
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F

Indiana Pacers

2-3 · #8 Eastern
Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L2
Back-to-back: played last night · 3 games in 7 days

Atlanta Hawks

2-3 · #7 Eastern
Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L3
2 days of rest · 4 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Tyrese Haliburton
    Tyrese Haliburton Pacers · G
    33 min · 21.3 pts a game before
  • Obi Toppin
    Obi Toppin Pacers · F
    23 min · 14 pts a game before

Season averages per game

Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks
117.9 Points 120.7
48% Field goal % 45.3%
35.7% 3-point % 35.6%
73.9% Free throw % 76.2%
45.1 Rebounds 45.6
31 Assists 31
18 Turnovers 13.6
7.7 Steals 9.6
5.1 Blocks 4

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

PacersHawks
Offensive rating 109.5 114.1
Defensive rating 110.5 108.2
Net rating -1 +5.9
Pace 107.7 105.9
Effective FG % 55.6 53.6
Turnover % 16.7 12.9
Free throw rate 25.9 25.7
3-point attempt rate 42.8 46.4

Key players · Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton
    Tyrese HaliburtonG 21.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 8.7 ast
  • Pascal Siakam
    Pascal SiakamF 20.6 pts · 7.8 reb · 4.4 ast
  • Andrew Nembhard
    Andrew NembhardG 17.5 pts · 2 reb · 7.8 ast

Averages over the last 3 games.

Key players · Atlanta Hawks

  • Jalen Johnson
    Jalen JohnsonF 19 pts · 8.4 reb · 9.2 ast
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker
    Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG 18.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.8 ast
  • Aaron Wiggins
    Aaron WigginsG 15.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.4 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

Indiana Pacers LLLWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
116 / 119
Total over 220.5
6/7
Total over 230.5
3/7
Scored 110+
4/7
Won by 6+
1/7
Atlanta Hawks WLLLWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
119.2 / 114.5
Total over 220.5
5/6
Total over 230.5
3/6
Scored 110+
6/6
Won by 6+
2/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Tyrese Haliburton by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Pascal Siakam by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Andrew Nembhard by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online (CC BY 2.0), Jalen Johnson by Unknown authorUnknown author (CC BY 4.0), Nickeil Alexander-Walker by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Aaron Wiggins by SneakinDeacon (CC BY-SA 2.0), Obi Toppin by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

Indiana Pacers · G · last 5 games
Points o22.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
24
23
18
24
22
Rebounds o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
3
2
6
4
6
Assists o8.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
12
7
10
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o34.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
30
37
31
38
37
3-pointers made o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
2
0
4
4
Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers · F · last 7 games
Points o19.5 5/7 · 71% Ask AI
6
30
23
21
20
26
13
Rebounds o6.5 4/7 · 57% Ask AI
1
8
3
7
13
11
5
Assists o3.5 4/7 · 57% Ask AI
4
1
3
6
6
3
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o30.5 4/7 · 57% Ask AI
11
39
29
34
39
40
22
Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
16
14
18
22
Assists o8.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
9
5
3
14
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
29
23
18
35
33
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
0
1
4
1
5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
Points o20.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
31
14
18
12
23
25
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
38
22
27
17
27
29
3-pointers made o3.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
5
2
4
2
5
4
Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks · F · last 6 games
Points o19.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
20
19
26
21
12
17
Rebounds o9.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
14
7
9
9
9
8
Assists o8.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
6
8
16
4
11
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o37.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
40
34
51
34
32
32
Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins

Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
Points o15.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
16
19
16
12
10
20
Rebounds o4.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
1
5
4
4
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
19
21
23
19
17
30
3-pointers made o3.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
3
4
2
2
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Indiana Pacers 118, Atlanta Hawks 119: a projected total of 237 points. Indiana Pacers games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 7; Atlanta Hawks games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
The consensus has Atlanta Hawks winning by 1 points (119–118), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
Leading scorers over the last 3 games. Indiana Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton (21.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 8.7 ast), Pascal Siakam (20.6 pts, 7.8 reb, 4.4 ast). Atlanta Hawks: Jalen Johnson (19 pts, 8.4 reb, 9.2 ast), Nickeil Alexander-Walker (18.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.8 ast).
Is Indiana Pacers or Atlanta Hawks on a back-to-back?
Indiana Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back; Atlanta Hawks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Atlanta Hawks

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 118.10 vs 121.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atlanta Hawks win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.