Tyrese Haliburton
Indiana Pacers · G · last 4 games
NBA · Regular Season
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Finished
Indiana Pacers
vs
Dallas Mavericks.
Quick answer
Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
Final score: Indiana Pacers 105–121 Dallas Mavericks. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Indiana Pacers to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 121–115.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 66% of the time (55 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Indiana Pacers (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 121–115 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Indiana Pacers win
100%
10 / 10 models
Dallas Mavericks win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Indiana Pacers win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Indiana Pacers win
121–115
60%
Indiana’s faster pace, stronger shooting, home court, and higher season scoring support the Pacers. Dallas has allowed 121.5 points recently, though its recent offensive production keeps this competitive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Indiana Pacers win
122–116
58%
Pacers' faster pace and better offensive efficiency edge a leaky Mavericks defense allowing 121.5 recently; both teams struggle defensively, favoring a high-scoring home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Indiana Pacers win
122–117
58%
Both squads play at high pace with equal rest, but Indiana's superior shooting efficiency and home-court advantage edge Dallas's struggling 114.9 defensive rating.
04
Grok 4.7
Indiana Pacers win
121–114
58%
Pacers hold a clear per-100 defense edge (106 vs 115) and higher pace at home; both sides 1-3 lately so the margin stays modest despite Indiana's shooting advantage.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
118–113
55%
Indiana's stronger offense and home venue edge, plus Dallas's poor defense (114.9 per 100), favor the Pacers in a high-paced game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Indiana Pacers win
119–111
58%
Indiana's defense (106.3) far outpaces Dallas's (114.9), and home pace favors the Pacers. Haliburton's limited minutes temper confidence slightly.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Indiana Pacers win
121–115
60%
Pacers' stronger offense and home court edge; Mavericks' defense struggles and recent form slightly favors Indiana.
08
Kimi K3
Indiana Pacers win
121–114
62%
Indiana's high-octane offense (119.8 ppg, 111.3 pace) faces a Dallas defense allowing 121.5 recently. Pacers' superior shooting (48.9% FG) and home court should outpace the Mavericks' attack.
09
GLM 5.3
Indiana Pacers win
118–111
58%
Pacers' faster pace and much stronger per-100 defense (106.3 vs Dallas 114.9) plus Gainbridge Fieldhouse edge outweigh Dallas's Flagg-led scoring; both teams on equal rest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
58%
Indiana's home floor and superior eFG (57.3% vs 51.4%) offset Dallas's recent H2H edge; both teams allow 118-121 ppg lately, suggesting a high-scoring, close game.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 8 models settled on 121–115. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
121–115
2 models
-
121–114
2 models
-
118–112
1 model
-
122–116
1 model
-
118–113
1 model
-
119–111
1 model
Live game centre
FinalIndiana Pacers
105–121
Dallas Mavericks| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 27 | 16 | 33 | 29 | 105 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 44 | 33 | 21 | 23 | 121 |
27
44
16
33
33
21
29
23
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Pacers −6
AI total
236
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 4 games
Tyrese Haliburton
Indiana Pacers · G
17.8
PTS
22.8
2
REB
6.8
6.8
AST
4
22
MIN
27
CF
Dallas Mavericks · F
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F
Indiana Pacers
2-3 · #8 Eastern Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L2
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Dallas Mavericks
3-2 · #8 Western Home 1-1 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W2
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Kobe Brown Pacers · G29 min · 12 pts a game before
Season averages per game
Indiana Pacers
Dallas Mavericks
117.9
Points
114.1
48%
Field goal %
46.6%
35.7%
3-point %
33.6%
73.9%
Free throw %
78.5%
45.1
Rebounds
43.8
31
Assists
27.9
18
Turnovers
18
7.7
Steals
9.3
5.1
Blocks
7.1
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pacers | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 109.5 | 109.6 |
| Defensive rating | 110.1 | 118 |
| Net rating | -0.6 | -8.3 |
| Pace | 107.7 | 104.1 |
| Effective FG % | 55.6 | 54.2 |
| Turnover % | 16.7 | 17.3 |
| Free throw rate | 25.9 | 24.9 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 42.8 | 45.3 |
Key players · Indiana Pacers
-
Tyrese HaliburtonG 17.8 pts · 2 reb · 6.8 ast
-
Pascal SiakamF 16.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 3 ast -
Obi ToppinF 12.2 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Key players · Dallas Mavericks
-
CF
C. FlaggF 22.8 pts · 6.8 reb · 4 ast
-
Kyrie IrvingG 16.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 3.3 ast -
Naji MarshallF 11.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 3 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Last ten games
Indiana Pacers
WLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 120.4 / 118.6
- Total over 220.5
- 5/5
- Total over 230.5
- 4/5
- Scored 110+
- 5/5
- Won by 6+
- 1/5
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 113.4 / 122.8
- Total over 220.5
- 4/5
- Total over 230.5
- 4/5
- Scored 110+
- 4/5
- Won by 6+
- 1/5
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Tyrese Haliburton by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Pascal Siakam by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Obi Toppin by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Naji Marshall by FOX Sports (CC BY 3.0), Kobe Brown by imanisvision (CC BY 3.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Pascal Siakam
Indiana Pacers · F · last 5 games
Obi Toppin
Indiana Pacers · F · last 5 games
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 4 games
Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks · G · last 3 games
Naji Marshall
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 5 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Indiana Pacers 121, Dallas Mavericks 115: a projected total of 236 points. Indiana Pacers games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5.
- What is the AI spread pick for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The consensus has Indiana Pacers winning by 6 points (121–115), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
- Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Indiana Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton (17.8 pts, 2 reb, 6.8 ast), Pascal Siakam (16.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 3 ast). Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (22.8 pts, 6.8 reb, 4 ast), Kyrie Irving (16.7 pts, 2.7 reb, 3.3 ast).
- Is Indiana Pacers or Dallas Mavericks on a back-to-back?
- Indiana Pacers have had 2 days of rest; Dallas Mavericks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Indiana Pacers
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 120.10 vs 113.80
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (121 - 115; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Indiana Pacers win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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