VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
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NBA · Regular Season Chase Center, San Francisco Not Started

Golden State Warriors
vs
Phoenix Suns.

Quick answer

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

8 of 10 AI models pick Phoenix Suns to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 114–118 at 57% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Phoenix Suns (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 114–118 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Golden State Warriors win 20%

2 / 10 models

Phoenix Suns win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Phoenix Suns win
115–116
62%
Phoenix has three days of rest and recently beat Golden State, while the Warriors are on a back-to-back after an 0-3 start. Golden State’s home court and Curry’s scoring keep this competitive, but fatigue favors Phoenix late.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Phoenix Suns win
114–118
56%
Warriors are winless, on a back-to-back, and lost the recent meeting; Suns have rest and recent head-to-head edge, though both defenses are leaky.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Phoenix Suns win
111–116
58%
Golden State is on the second night of a back-to-back following an 0-3 start, while well-rested Phoenix has a rest edge and recently beat the Warriors 131-122.
04
Grok 4.7
Golden State Warriors win
116–110
58%
Suns allow 117+ per 100 and 124 recently; Warriors at Chase despite B2B and Curry's 25-min form still edge a leaky Phoenix D.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Phoenix Suns win
117–118
58%
Phoenix has three days rest while Golden State is on a back-to-back; Suns won both meetings this season, including 131-122 at Chase Center on Oct 25.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Phoenix Suns win
112–118
60%
Warriors on back-to-back and 0-3; Suns rested 3 days and won the H2H 131-122 nine days ago. Phoenix's poor defense keeps GSW competitive but rest edge decides it.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Phoenix Suns win
114–118
53%
Suns won 131-122 nine days ago and get three days rest versus Warriors back-to-back; Curry's 28.8ppg keeps it close at Chase Center.
08
Kimi K3
Phoenix Suns win
112–116
58%
Warriors 0-3 on a back-to-back second night with Curry limited; Suns rested three days and won 131-122 nine days ago, though their defense leaks points, keeping it close.
09
GLM 5.3
Phoenix Suns win
110–118
55%
Warriors are 0-3 on a back-to-back with high turnovers, while rested Suns ride Booker's form and won the recent H2H; Chase Center edge keeps it close.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Golden State Warriors win
116–111
52%
Warriors at Chase Center despite a back-to-back face a Suns defense allowing 123.7 recently; Curry and Podziemski's form offsets Phoenix's rest edge, and Golden State's recent 114-point output supports a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 114–118. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 114–118
    2 models
  • 115–116
    1 model
  • 117–118
    1 model
  • 112–118
    1 model
  • 116–111
    1 model
  • 116–110
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Suns −4
AI total
232
Models picking
80%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry
Golden State Warriors · G
30.8 PTS 22.3
4.3 REB 3.8
4.8 AST 5.3
30 MIN 35
Devin Booker
Devin Booker
Phoenix Suns · G

Golden State Warriors

2-3 · #10 Western
Home 0-1 · Away 2-2 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak W2
Back-to-back: played last night · 3 games in 7 days

Phoenix Suns

1-2 · #11 Western
Home 1-0 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 1-2 · Streak L1
3 days of rest · 1 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Season averages per game

Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns
115.3 Points 109.1
45.1% Field goal % 45.4%
37.7% 3-point % 32.8%
78.3% Free throw % 71.6%
43.7 Rebounds 41.3
26.6 Assists 23.3
18.5 Turnovers 19.5
11.3 Steals 10.8
4.5 Blocks 4.8

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

WarriorsSuns
Offensive rating 110.8 104
Defensive rating 107.3 118.7
Net rating +3.5 -14.7
Pace 104 104.9
Effective FG % 53.7 52.4
Turnover % 17.8 18.6
Free throw rate 32.8 27.7
3-point attempt rate 45.4 42.7

Key players · Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen CurryG 30.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.8 ast
  • BP
    Brandin PodziemskiG 16.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 5 ast
  • De'Anthony Melton
    De'Anthony MeltonG 12.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Key players · Phoenix Suns

  • Devin Booker
    Devin BookerG 22.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
  • Dillon Brooks
    Dillon BrooksF 16.5 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
  • Miles Bridges
    Miles BridgesF 16.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 2.3 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Last ten games

Golden State Warriors WWWLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
114.4 / 111.6
Total over 220.5
4/7
Total over 230.5
4/7
Scored 110+
4/7
Won by 6+
3/7
Phoenix Suns LLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
112 / 124.5
Total over 220.5
3/4
Total over 230.5
3/4
Scored 110+
3/4
Won by 6+
1/4

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Stephen Curry by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), De'Anthony Melton by Frenchieinportland (CC BY-SA 4.0), Devin Booker by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Dillon Brooks by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Miles Bridges by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · last 6 games
Points o26.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
11
23
24
24
44
31
Assists o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
2
1
4
3
6
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o33.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
15
26
30
30
58
41
3-pointers made o4.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
2
3
3
6
8
BP

Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · last 5 games
Points o16.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
17
18
18
8
21
Rebounds o4.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
5
2
7
5
5
Assists o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
2
3
5
6
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o25.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
24
23
30
19
32
3-pointers made o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
2
3
0
4
De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · last 7 games
Points o10.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
8
0
10
25
3
8
16
Pts + Reb + Ast o15.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
12
4
11
35
10
14
24
3-pointers made o2.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
1
0
2
4
1
2
4
Devin Booker

Devin Booker

Phoenix Suns · G · last 4 games
Points o22.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
23
43
3
20
Assists o5.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
2
7
7
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o31.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
29
57
12
27
Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

Phoenix Suns · F · last 4 games
Points o16.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
10
15
19
22
Assists o3.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
0
5
5
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o22.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
14
22
29
25
3-pointers made o2.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
1
1
3
4
Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

Phoenix Suns · F · last 4 games
Points o16.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
8
16
17
24
Rebounds o7.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
4
7
8
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o25.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
12
26
29
36
3-pointers made o1.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
0
2
2
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Golden State Warriors 114, Phoenix Suns 118: a projected total of 232 points. Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 7; Phoenix Suns games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 4.
What is the AI spread pick for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?
The consensus has Phoenix Suns winning by 4 points (118–114), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry (30.8 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.8 ast), Brandin Podziemski (16.3 pts, 4.8 reb, 5 ast). Phoenix Suns: Devin Booker (22.3 pts, 3.8 reb, 5.3 ast), Dillon Brooks (16.5 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast).
Is Golden State Warriors or Phoenix Suns on a back-to-back?
Golden State Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back; Phoenix Suns have had 3 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Phoenix Suns

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 113.70 vs 115.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (114 - 118; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Phoenix Suns win, with vote shares roughly 20% / 80% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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