Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F · last 2 games
NBA · Regular Season
State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Finished
Atlanta Hawks
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder.
Quick answer
Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?
Final score: Atlanta Hawks 113–110 Oklahoma City Thunder. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Oklahoma City Thunder to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 118–119.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Oklahoma City Thunder (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–119 at 39% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Atlanta Hawks win
0%
0 / 10 models
Oklahoma City Thunder win
100%
10 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Oklahoma City Thunder win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Oklahoma City Thunder win
116–117
62%
Oklahoma City has won the last five listed meetings, including two high-scoring games in Atlanta. Preseason rotations add uncertainty, but the Thunder’s recent matchup edge outweighs Atlanta’s home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Oklahoma City Thunder win
113–120
58%
Thunder have dominated recent H2H meetings and own superior roster depth; preseason context limits confidence but OKC's quality edge should show.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Oklahoma City Thunder win
108–115
62%
Oklahoma City holds superior depth and tactical continuity over Atlanta, demonstrated by recent head-to-head dominance. In preseason rotations, Thunder's secondary units provide a decisive edge.
04
Grok 4.7
Oklahoma City Thunder win
110–122
60%
Thunder won all five recent H2H meetings, including two in Atlanta. Preseason rotations add noise, but the talent gap still favors OKC.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Oklahoma City Thunder win
118–119
62%
Thunder have won four straight in this matchup, including two in Atlanta, and their higher-scoring recent form suggests they control pace again.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Oklahoma City Thunder win
108–118
62%
OKC dominated all five recent H2H meetings by wide margins; preseason context limits certainty but Thunder's roster depth advantage persists.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Oklahoma City Thunder win
118–119
62%
Thunder won last 5 meetings; Hawks' preseason form unclear. OKC's pace and defense edge likely holds.
08
Kimi K3
Oklahoma City Thunder win
112–118
58%
Preseason game limits competitive value, but Thunder hold a clear structural edge; Hawks are deeper at home yet likely to stagger rotations against OKC’s longer core continuity.
09
GLM 5.3
Oklahoma City Thunder win
118–119
58%
Thunder have dominated recent H2H with Atlanta, winning all five meetings, and remain the deeper, more defensive roster; preseason rotation uncertainty keeps confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Oklahoma City Thunder win
116–117
58%
Thunder's strong H2H record indicates advantage, but preseason context limits certainty; expect high-scoring game.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
3 of 9 models settled on 118–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–119
3 models
-
116–117
2 models
-
113–120
1 model
-
108–118
1 model
-
110–122
1 model
-
108–115
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Thunder −1
AI total
237
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 1 games
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F
14
PTS
17
6
REB
3
3
AST
5
22
MIN
18
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder · G
Atlanta Hawks
2-3 · #7 Eastern Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L3
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Oklahoma City Thunder
4-1 · #5 Western Home 3-0 · Away 1-1 · Last ten 4-1 · Streak L1
5 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Atlanta Hawks
Oklahoma City Thunder
120.7
Points
109
45.3%
Field goal %
45.3%
35.6%
3-point %
33.1%
76.2%
Free throw %
78.9%
45.6
Rebounds
45.4
31
Assists
24
13.6
Turnovers
16.4
9.6
Steals
7.8
4
Blocks
6.9
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Hawks | Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 114.1 | 104.2 |
| Defensive rating | 115 | 116.6 |
| Net rating | -0.9 | -12.4 |
| Pace | 105.9 | 104.6 |
| Effective FG % | 53.6 | 51.7 |
| Turnover % | 12.9 | 15.7 |
| Free throw rate | 25.7 | 23.4 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 46.4 | 38.8 |
Key players · Atlanta Hawks
-
Jalen JohnsonF 14 pts · 6 reb · 3 ast
-
Onyeka OkongwuF 13 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast -
CJ McCollumG 13 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Key players · Oklahoma City Thunder
-
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG 17 pts · 3 reb · 5 ast
-
Jalen WilliamsG 16 pts · 3 reb · 6 ast -
Alex CarusoG 12 pts · 4 reb · 2 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Last ten games
Atlanta Hawks
WWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 121.7 / 121.7
- Total over 220.5
- 3/3
- Total over 230.5
- 3/3
- Scored 110+
- 3/3
- Won by 6+
- 1/3
Oklahoma City Thunder
LL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 118 / 122
- Total over 220.5
- 2/2
- Total over 230.5
- 1/2
- Scored 110+
- 2/2
- Won by 6+
- 0/2
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Jalen Johnson by Unknown authorUnknown author (CC BY 4.0), Onyeka Okongwu by susanswong from San Francisco (CC BY-SA 2.0), CJ McCollum by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0), Shai Gilgeous-Alexander by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jalen Williams by Daiei Onoguchi (CC BY 4.0), Alex Caruso by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Onyeka Okongwu
Atlanta Hawks · F · last 3 games
CJ McCollum
Atlanta Hawks · G · last 2 games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 1 games
Jalen Williams
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 1 games
Alex Caruso
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 1 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Atlanta Hawks 118, Oklahoma City Thunder 119: a projected total of 237 points. Atlanta Hawks games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 3; Oklahoma City Thunder games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 2.
- What is the AI spread pick for Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?
- The consensus has Oklahoma City Thunder winning by 1 points (119–118), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder?
- Leading scorers over the last 1 games. Atlanta Hawks: Jalen Johnson (14 pts, 6 reb, 3 ast), Onyeka Okongwu (13 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.3 ast). Oklahoma City Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (17 pts, 3 reb, 5 ast), Jalen Williams (16 pts, 3 reb, 6 ast).
- Is Atlanta Hawks or Oklahoma City Thunder on a back-to-back?
- Atlanta Hawks have had 2 days of rest; Oklahoma City Thunder have had 5 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Oklahoma City Thunder
100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 39% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 113.70 vs 118.40
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Oklahoma City Thunder win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.