Aaron Nesmith
Indiana Pacers · G · last 1 games
NBA · Regular Season
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Finished
Indiana Pacers
vs
Atlanta Hawks.
Quick answer
Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
Final score: Indiana Pacers 117–119 Atlanta Hawks. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Indiana Pacers to win (90%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 118–112.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Indiana Pacers (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 37% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Indiana Pacers win
90%
9 / 10 models
Atlanta Hawks win
10%
1 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Indiana Pacers win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Indiana Pacers win
118–114
53%
Preseason rotations create uncertainty, but Indiana’s home court and most recent head-to-head win provide a modest edge. Both teams’ recent meetings suggest a fast-paced, high-scoring game with a narrow margin.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
52%
Preseason matchup with limited rotation clarity; Pacers' home venue and recent head-to-head edge give slight lean, but expect uneven lineups and pace.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Indiana Pacers win
116–111
56%
Preseason action featuring two high-tempo offenses. Indiana's offensive depth and home-court setting give them a narrow edge in rotational play.
04
Grok 4.7
Indiana Pacers win
121–115
55%
Preseason at Gainbridge; Pacers won the latest home H2H 129-124. Loose rotations and high pace keep it close with a modest home edge.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
121–117
57%
Preseason matchup with limited form data; Pacers won the most recent H2H at home and have venue edge, but Hawks' pace keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
52%
Preseason game limits reliable form data. Pacers won the most recent H2H at home and have home-court edge, but roster uncertainty keeps confidence moderate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
58%
Preseason form unclear, but Pacers' home edge and recent narrow wins over Hawks tilt it slightly.
08
Kimi K3
Atlanta Hawks win
118–124
58%
Preseason rotation uncertainty, but Hawks won three of the last five meetings and match up well with Indiana's pace; slight away edge.
09
GLM 5.3
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
52%
Preseason opener limits signal; Pacers' Gainbridge Fieldhouse edge and competitive recent H2H (129-124 win in February) slightly favor Indiana, but Hawks have won three of the last five meetings.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
55%
Preseason context and recent H2H show high-scoring, close games; slight home edge in a likely competitive matchup.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
5 of 10 models settled on 118–112. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.
-
118–112
5 models
-
118–114
1 model
-
121–117
1 model
-
121–115
1 model
-
116–111
1 model
-
118–124
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Pacers −6
AI total
230
Models picking
90%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 1 games
Aaron Nesmith
Indiana Pacers · G
19
PTS
14.5
0
REB
2
0
AST
2
16
MIN
21
Corey Kispert
Atlanta Hawks · F
Indiana Pacers
2-3 · #8 Eastern Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L2
3 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Atlanta Hawks
2-3 · #7 Eastern Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L3
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Indiana Pacers
Atlanta Hawks
117.9
Points
120.7
48%
Field goal %
45.3%
35.7%
3-point %
35.6%
73.9%
Free throw %
76.2%
45.1
Rebounds
45.6
31
Assists
31
18
Turnovers
13.6
7.7
Steals
9.6
5.1
Blocks
4
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pacers | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 109.5 | 114.1 |
| Defensive rating | 104 | 117.1 |
| Net rating | +5.5 | -3.1 |
| Pace | 107.7 | 105.9 |
| Effective FG % | 55.6 | 53.6 |
| Turnover % | 16.7 | 12.9 |
| Free throw rate | 25.9 | 25.7 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 42.8 | 46.4 |
Key players · Indiana Pacers
-
Aaron NesmithG 19 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast
-
Jay HuffC 16 pts · 4 reb · 4 ast -
BS
Ben SheppardG 13 pts · 5 reb · 0 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Key players · Atlanta Hawks
-
Corey KispertF 14.5 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast
-
CJ McCollumG 14 pts · 5 reb · 4 ast -
AN
A. NewellF 14 pts · 6.5 reb · 1 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Last ten games
Indiana Pacers
W
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 123 / 112
- Total over 220.5
- 1/1
- Total over 230.5
- 1/1
- Scored 110+
- 1/1
- Won by 6+
- 1/1
Atlanta Hawks
WL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 123 / 124
- Total over 220.5
- 2/2
- Total over 230.5
- 2/2
- Scored 110+
- 2/2
- Won by 6+
- 1/2
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Aaron Nesmith by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Jay Huff by SneakinDeacon (CC BY-SA 2.0), Corey Kispert by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0), CJ McCollum by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Jay Huff
Indiana Pacers · C · last 1 games
Ben Sheppard
Indiana Pacers · G · last 1 games
Corey Kispert
Atlanta Hawks · F · last 2 games
A. Newell
Atlanta Hawks · F · last 2 games
CJ McCollum
Atlanta Hawks · G · last 1 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Indiana Pacers 118, Atlanta Hawks 112: a projected total of 230 points. Indiana Pacers games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 1; Atlanta Hawks games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 2.
- What is the AI spread pick for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- The consensus has Indiana Pacers winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- Leading scorers over the last 1 games. Indiana Pacers: Aaron Nesmith (19 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast), Jay Huff (16 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast). Atlanta Hawks: Corey Kispert (14.5 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast), CJ McCollum (14 pts, 5 reb, 4 ast).
- Is Indiana Pacers or Atlanta Hawks on a back-to-back?
- Indiana Pacers have had 3 days of rest; Atlanta Hawks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Indiana Pacers
90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 37% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 118.40 vs 114.10
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Indiana Pacers win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.