VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz Match Finished · 90'

Union Santa Fe
vs
Estudiantes L.P..

Quick answer

Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Final score: Union Santa Fe 3–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Estudiantes L.P. to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Union Santa Fe form Estudiantes L.P. form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (805 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Estudiantes L.P. (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga Profesional Argentina table Where Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes L.P. stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Union Santa Fe win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Estudiantes L.P. win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
57%
Union arrive with four straight losses and a vulnerable 45-goal defense, while Estudiantes have 13 clean sheets and superior season results. Estudiantes’ recent head-to-head edge supports a narrow away win despite Union’s home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Estudiantes L.P. win
1–2
47%
Union in poor form (LLLLD) and struggling defensively, while Estudiantes are more balanced defensively with 13 clean sheets and have won recent h2h meetings.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
48%
Union Santa Fe are in poor form with four losses in five games, while Estudiantes boast strong defensive stability with 13 clean sheets.
04
Grok 4.7
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
42%
Union's LLLLD form and leaky season contrast Estudiantes' 13 clean sheets and tighter 35-23 record; low away win fits blunt Union attack.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
56%
Union Santa Fe are in awful form with five straight losses and nine scoreless games; Estudiantes have 13 clean sheets and won the last meeting 2-1.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
38%
Union in dire form (LLLLD) with weak attack; Estudiantes' 13 clean sheets and prior 1-0 win at this venue support a narrow away shutout.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
62%
Estudiantes' stronger defense (13 clean sheets) and Union's recent slump (LLLLD) favor a narrow away win.
08
Kimi K3
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
42%
Union Santa Fe arrive on a five-game losing streak while Estudiantes boast 13 clean sheets and a superior defensive record; the visitors' organization should edge a tight, low-scoring contest despite Union's home advantage.
09
GLM 5.3
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
48%
Estudiantes' league-best defense (13 clean sheets) against Union's poor run (LLLLD) points to a tight away win; H2H also favors Estudiantes recently, though Union won the last home meeting 1-0.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Estudiantes L.P. win
0–1
38%
Union's LLLLD slump and 9 blanks face Estudiantes' 13 clean sheets; the visitors' late-goal threat and recent H2H edge fit a tight, low-scoring away win at 15 de Abril.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    9 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Union Santa Fe
Cristian Tarragona 51'
Marcelo Estigarriba 64'
Erik Ramirez 90+6'
3–1
Estudiantes L.P.
Lucas Ayala 40' (og)
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.80 / 3.10 / 2.75
Union Santa Fe Market 34% · AI 0%
Draw Market 31% · AI 0%
Estudiantes L.P. Market 35% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.

Union Santa Fe

4-4-2
Leonardo Madelon
25 C. Tarragona
25 Tarragona
19 M. Estigarribia
19 Estigarribia
22 B. Cuello
22 Cuello
17 J. Mosqueira
17 Mosqueira
34
34 Peresutti
20 J. Palacios
20 Palacios
18 L. Ayala
18 Ayala
26 J. Ludueña
26 Ludueña
4 M. Rocha
4 Rocha
27 T. Rubio
27 Rubio
21 M. Mansilla
21 Mansilla

Bench: B. Pittón, J. Pintado, E. Ramírez, A. Solari, T. Fagioli, V. J. Cerrudo, M. Aguirre, E. Giaccone, I. Isla, M. Luna Diale, V. Malcorra, L. Meuli

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1
Alexander Medina
19 A. Gaich
19 Gaich
18 E. Cetré
18 Cetré
10 T. Palacios
10 Palacios
31 B. Gallego
31 Gallego
20 E. Meza
20 Meza
21 Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
21 Piovi
13 G. Benedetti
13 Benedetti
24 T. Palacios
24 Palacios
14 L. González
14 González
40 E. Mancuso
40 Mancuso
16 F. Muslera
16 Muslera

Bench: L. Alario, A. Castro, F. Iacovich, B. Kociubinski, M. Monsalve, S. Núñez, F. Pérez Escudero, M. Rojo, Benjamin Sagues Barreiro, J. Sosa, J. Burgos, B. Aguirre

Season data

Liga Profesional Argentina numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Union Santa Fe

4-4-2
W-D-L
11-8-13
Goals
47-46
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
9
Best win run
3
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
13-6-12
Goals
36-26
Clean sheets
13
Failed to score
13
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Union Santa Fe

  • C. Tarragona 15 G · 2 A · 31 apps
  • J. Palacios 3 G · 7 A · 29 apps

Key players · Estudiantes L.P.

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Liga Profesional Argentina

  1. 1 C. Tarragona Union Santa Fe 15
  2. 2 A. Módica Gimnasia M. 14
  3. 3 J. Marabel Sarmiento Junin 14
  4. 4 J. Caicedo Huracan 14
  5. 5 R. Martínez Velez Sarsfield 13
Venue Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Referee Pablo Dovalo
New at Union Santa Fe T. Rubio (Racing Club), J. Mosqueira (Talleres Cordoba), M. Rocha (Arouca)
New at Estudiantes L.P. M. Rojo (Racing Club), J. Elías (Tigre), M. Monsalve (Gremio)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Estudiantes L.P.

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.10 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Union Santa Fe win · AI Estudiantes L.P. win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Union Santa Fe
#8 · 21 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W D L L L
5 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 W
  • Deportivo Riestra 1-1 D
  • Defensa Y Justicia 0-2 L
  • Boca Juniors 3-0 L
  • Independiente 1-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Estudiantes L.P.
#1 · 31 PTS · GD +12
Last 5
L D L D D
4 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Union Santa Fe 3-1 L
  • Flamengo 0-0 D
  • San Lorenzo 1-2 L
  • Flamengo 0-0 D
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

UNI 1 · D 1 · EST 3

EST VS UNI
2-1
HOME WIN
Apr 11, 2026
UNI VS EST
1-0
HOME WIN
Jul 15, 2025
EST VS UNI
3-1
HOME WIN
Jan 25, 2025
EST VS UNI
0-0
DRAW
Jul 21, 2024
UNI VS EST
0-1
AWAY WIN
Feb 2, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Union Santa Fe, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Liga Profesional Argentina games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Union Santa Fe
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Estudiantes L.P.
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Union Santa Fe is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Estudiantes L.P. win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. in Liga Profesional Argentina? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Estudiantes L.P. win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P., start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.