LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63%
Premiership · Regular Season - 12 Fir Park, Motherwell Match Finished · 90'

Motherwell
vs
Heart Of Midlothian.

Quick answer

Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Final score: Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Heart Of Midlothian to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Motherwell form Heart Of Midlothian form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (805 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Heart Of Midlothian (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premiership table Where Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Motherwell win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Heart Of Midlothian win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
62%
Motherwell’s five straight league defeats and 11 goals in nine matches contrast with Hearts’ 20 goals and unbeaten scoring record. Recent meetings also favor Hearts, though Fir Park makes a narrow away win likeliest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
60%
Motherwell on a five-game losing streak with weak scoring, while Hearts score in every match and sit comfortably higher in form and table.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–2
58%
Motherwell are on a five-game losing streak and struggle for goals, whereas Hearts have scored in every league fixture and possess superior attacking firepower.
04
Grok 4.7
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
42%
Hearts are in better league form and always score; Motherwell have lost five straight and leak goals, so a narrow away win at Fir Park fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
58%
Motherwell have lost five straight and failed to score in four league games; Hearts have scored in every match and have stronger attackers, so a narrow away win fits the form.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
48%
Motherwell on five straight losses and failed to score in 44% of games; Hearts always score but Fir Park H2H shows tight, low-scoring affairs.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Heart Of Midlothian win
0–1
62%
Motherwell on 5-game losing streak, Hearts unbeaten in last 3, stronger attack (20 goals vs 11), and recent H2H edge.
08
Kimi K3
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
58%
Hearts arrive in strong form (WLDWL) with McPake and Braga creating consistently, while Motherwell have lost five straight and struggle to score. Hearts' superior attack should edge an open game at Fir Park.
09
GLM 5.3
Heart Of Midlothian win
2–3
55%
Motherwell are on a five-match losing streak with a leaky defense, while Hearts have scored in every game and boast strong attacking depth (McPake, Braga, Miller). Recent H2H also favors Hearts, though Fir Park keeps this competitive.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Heart Of Midlothian win
1–2
52%
Motherwell on a five-match losing run while Hearts score freely (20 goals, never blanked); Fir Park offers some resistance but Hearts' attack and H2H edge favor a narrow away win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    5 models
  • 0–1
    3 models
  • 0–2
    1 model
  • 2–3
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Motherwell
0–2
Heart Of Midlothian
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga 29'
Calvin Miller 86'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.25 / 3.70 / 2.05
Motherwell Market 29% · AI 0%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
Heart Of Midlothian Market 46% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
Alfred Johansson
47 S. Palmer-Houlden
47 Palmer-Houlden
19 I. Said
19 Said
6 J. McGhee
6 McGhee
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
18 Maswanhise
71 J. Hodge
71 Hodge
63 D. Levitt
63 Levitt
45 M. Emmanuel
45 Emmanuel
5 M. Moormann
5 Moormann
3 J. Girdwood-Reich
3 Girdwood-Reich
7 T. Sparrow
7 Sparrow
1 A. Paulsen
1 Paulsen

Bench: E. Björgólfs­son, M. Booth, J. Kanga, Jamie Knight-Lebel, M. Connelly, S. O'Donnell, W. Vogt, E. Wilson

Heart Of Midlothian

4-4-2
W. Vrancken
10 Cláudio Braga
10 Braga
21 J. Wilson
21 Wilson
15 J. McPake
15 McPake
22 T. Magnússon
22 Magnússon
78 L. Mendy
78 Mendy
29 S. Kerjota
29 Kerjota
3 S. Kingsley
3 Kingsley
5 J. McCart
5 McCart
64 M. Fagan-Walcott
64 Fagan-Walcott
23 J. Altena
23 Altena
1 B. Reus
1 Reus

Bench: J. Williams, C. Miller, P. Kabore, S. Guendouz, R. Fulton, Y. Dhanda, R. Mato, A. Ba-Sy, A. Benjaminsen

Season data

Premiership numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-3-6
Goals
13-20
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
5
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Heart Of Midlothian

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
6-2-3
Goals
24-17
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
0
Best win run
4
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Motherwell

  • A. Lowry 3 G · 1 A · 9 apps
  • Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 2 G · 2 A · 11 apps

Key players · Heart Of Midlothian

  • J. McPake 3 G · 5 A · 10 apps
  • Cláudio Braga 5 G · 2 A · 11 apps
  • C. Miller 5 G · 1 A · 11 apps

Top scorers · Premiership

  1. 1 C. Durán Celtic 7
  2. 2 B. Nygren Celtic 6
  3. 3 J. Fowler ST Johnstone 6
  4. 4 R. Naderi Rangers 5
  5. 5 Cláudio Braga Heart Of Midlothian 5
Venue Fir Park, Motherwell
New at Motherwell D. Levitt (Leyton Orient), J. Kanga (Ilves), S. Palmer-Houlden (Gillingham)
New at Heart Of Midlothian L. Kabashi (Grasshoppers), A. Benjaminsen (Vikingur Gota), J. Williams (Rhode Island)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Heart Of Midlothian

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Heart Of Midlothian win · AI Heart Of Midlothian win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Motherwell
#10 · 9 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
W D L L L
5 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • ST Mirren 1-0 W
  • ST Johnstone 2-2 D
  • Heart Of Midlothian 0-2 L
  • Kilmarnock 3-2 L
  • Celtic 0-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Heart Of Midlothian
#3 · 20 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
D W L L D
6 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Rangers 2-2 D
  • Motherwell 0-2 W
  • Trabzonspor 2-0 L
  • Celtic 7-1 L
  • FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

MOT 0 · D 3 · HEA 2

MOT VS HEA
1-1
DRAW
May 9, 2026
HEA VS MOT
3-1
HOME WIN
Apr 11, 2026
MOT VS HEA
0-0
DRAW
Nov 29, 2025
HEA VS MOT
3-3
DRAW
Aug 23, 2025
HEA VS MOT
3-0
HOME WIN
May 10, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Motherwell, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Premiership games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Motherwell
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Heart Of Midlothian
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Motherwell is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Heart Of Midlothian win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian in Premiership? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Heart Of Midlothian win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.