FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Copa del Rey · Round of 128 Estadio La Fuensanta Match Finished · 90'

Conquense
vs
Castellón.

Quick answer

Who will win Conquense vs Castellón?

Final score: Conquense 0–3 Castellón. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Castellón to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Conquense form Castellón form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Castellón (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Conquense win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Castellón win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Castellón win
0–2
64%
Castellón appear the stronger side on the available evidence and previously beat Conquense, while the limited context gives no current form signal to justify a home advantage. A controlled away win is the best estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Castellón win
0–2
62%
Castellón plays higher division football with superior squad depth; Copa del Rey Round of 128 typically favors the higher-tier club despite away/cup-tie pitfalls.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Castellón win
0–2
72%
Castellón operates two divisions higher in La Liga Hypermotion with significantly superior quality and squad depth, making a controlled away victory the most likely Copa del Rey outcome.
04
Grok 4.7
Castellón win
0–1
42%
Castellón are the stronger, higher-division side in an early Copa round. Thin context and the 2018 1-0 H2H favour a tight, low-scoring away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Castellón win
0–1
48%
Castellón are the higher-division side and won the last meeting 1-0; Conquense's lower-league status and cup mismatch favor a narrow away win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Castellón win
0–1
38%
Castellón higher-division side in early Copa round; H2H also 1-0 away. Quality gap suggests narrow professional win, low-scoring affair typical of these mismatches.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Castellón win
0–1
60%
Castellón's historical edge and likely higher tier form; Conquense at home but Copa del Rey early rounds often favor away sides with experience.
08
Kimi K3
Castellón win
0–2
68%
Castellón operate at a significantly higher competitive level than lower-tier Conquense. The visitors' superior squad quality and previous H2H victory suggest a controlled away win, likely with a clean sheet against limited opposition.
09
GLM 5.3
Castellón win
0–1
55%
Castellón play two-plus divisions higher and won the last H2H 1-0; cup ties at lower-league hosts tend to be tight, so a narrow away win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Castellón win
0–1
42%
Castellón sit a division above Conquense and won the only prior meeting 1-0; Copa upsets happen, so confidence stays modest. Expect a tight, low-scoring away edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    6 models
  • 0–2
    4 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Conquense
0–3
Castellón
A. Garcia 33', 62'
A. Gala 37'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 5.25 / 3.60 / 1.67
Conquense Market 18% · AI 0%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Castellón Market 56% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Conquense vs Castellón

Conquense

4-2-3-1
18 Gustavo Herrera
18 Herrera
11 Luis Rivas
11 Rivas
29 Kevin Diouf
29 Diouf
17 Álvaro Merencio
17 Merencio
16 Guillem Terma
16 Terma
22
22 Gomes
3 Alejandro Alcira Marco
3 Marco
15
15 Koita
4 Santiago Perea
4 Perea
2
2 García
1
1 Atanes

Bench: Adri López, Eghosa Nomayo, Abdullai Sambo, Henri Balla, Adrián Pérez, Manu Corrochano, Pablo Olivares, Mario González, Sergio Neira Fernández, Raúl Pesca, Kain, Álvaro Sánchez

Castellón

4-4-2
23 Alvaro Garcia
23 Garcia
19 Hamza Bellari
19 Bellari
7 Raúl Sánchez
7 Sánchez
27 Antonio Gala
27 Gala
25 Jari Vlak
25 Vlak
26 Rodrigo Rego
26 Rego
12 Lucas Alcazar
12 Alcazar
11 Federico Ceccherini
11 Ceccherini
15 Ilias Kostis
15 Kostis
20 Tincho Conde
20 Conde
1 Amir Saipi
1 Saipi

Bench: Romain Matthys, Sergi Torner, Jeremy Mellot, Michał Willmann, Jose Nadal Sanchis, Axel Pérez, Álvaro Martín, Matias Orozco, Manuel Juan, David Nzanza, Jaime Pérez, Óscar Albiol Giner

Season data

Copa del Rey numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Top scorers · Copa del Rey

  1. 1 Alemão Rayo Vallecano 2
  2. 2 T. Vizcay Athletic Club 1
  3. 3 S. Sanchez Athletic Club 1
  4. 4 C. Mitogo Athletic Club 1
  5. 5 Gabriel Moscardo Espanyol 1
Venue Estadio La Fuensanta
New at Conquense Alvaro Merencio (Teruel), J. Arboleda (Independiente de La Chorrera), L. Rivas (Antequera)
New at Castellón M. Orozco (Brighton), F. Ceccherini (Cremonese), I. Kostis (Atletico Madrid)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Castellón

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.00 vs 1.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Castellón win · AI Castellón win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Conquense
—
Last 5
L W D W L
10 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Castellón 0-3 L
  • Real Madrid III 0-2 W
  • Atlético Paso 2-2 D
  • Albacete II 4-0 W
  • A Madrid III 3-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Castellón
—
Last 5
W W W L D
11 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Conquense 0-3 W
  • Sporting Gijon 4-0 W
  • Las Palmas 0-3 W
  • FC Andorra 1-0 L
  • AD Ceuta FC 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CON 0 · D 0 · CAS 1

CAS VS CON
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 5, 2018

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Conquense, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Copa del Rey games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Conquense
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Castellón
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Conquense is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Castellón win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Conquense vs Castellón in Copa del Rey? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Castellón win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Conquense vs Castellón, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.