FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25 Color Line Stadion, Ålesund Match Finished · 90'

Aalesund
vs
Sandefjord.

Quick answer

Who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

Final score: Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord. Before kickoff, 4 of 10 AI models pick Aalesund to win (40%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Aalesund form Sandefjord form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 43% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eliteserien table Where Aalesund and Sandefjord stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Aalesund win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Sandefjord win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
29%
Aalesund score more freely but concede heavily, while Sandefjord’s attack is limited and they have failed to score nine times. Recent form and the latest 1-0 Sandefjord meeting make a low-scoring draw plausible at Color Line Stadion.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Aalesund win
2–1
44%
Aalesund score more freely at home (40 goals) despite mixed form, while Sandefjord struggle offensively (9 blanks); both leaky defensively, favoring a tight home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
50%
Both teams sit closely matched in the lower half. Aalesund score regularly but concede heavily, while low-scoring Sandefjord can exploit their leaky defense to share the points.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
46%
Aalesund score freely but concede heavily; Sandefjord are low-output with many blanks. Mixed form and recent tight H2H favour a 1-1 stalemate.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Aalesund's 9 draws and Sandefjord's low-scoring away profile suggest a tight game; both sides struggle to dominate, making 1-1 the most plausible split.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Aalesund win
1–0
38%
Sandefjord failed to score in 9 of 24 matches and average under 1 goal per game; Aalesund's home scoring edge and Christensen's form support a narrow home win despite poor defense.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
1–1
47%
Aalesund rarely blank but have 1 clean sheet; Sandefjord struggle to score yet face leaky defence. Recent H2H favors Sandefjord but form is even.
08
Kimi K3
Aalesund win
1–0
42%
Aalesund's home venue and Christensen's 10 goals give them the edge over Sandefjord, who have failed to score 9 times and lost 12 matches despite strong historical H2H results.
09
GLM 5.3
Aalesund win
1–0
44%
Aalesund's attack (40 goals) faces a blunt Sandefjord side that failed to score nine times; H2H favors Sandefjord, but home venue edges a tight, low-scoring game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides draw often and lack clean sheets; Aalesund's 40 goals at home offset Sandefjord's solid defensive record, while H2H edge to Sandefjord is stale. A low-scoring draw fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

82'
Aalesund
Mathias Christensen 38' (pen)
Uba Charles Nwokoma 45+2'
Elias Heggland Myrlid 76'
3–4
Sandefjord
Evangelos Patoulidis 16'
Jakob Maslo Dunsby 30', 50'
Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo 54'
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.15 / 3.80 / 2.90
Aalesund Market 43% · AI 36%
Draw Market 25% · AI 55%
Sandefjord Market 32% · AI 9%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Aalesund vs Sandefjord

Aalesund

5-3-2
K. Rekdal
9 P. Ngongo
9 Ngongo
8 I. Skotheim
8 Skotheim
19 S. Kartum
19 Kartum
18 E. Hagen
18 Hagen
21 M. Christensen
21 Christensen
14 U. Charles
14 Charles
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 Kjelsen
28 D. Mbacke
28 Mbacke
2 M. Andresen
2 Andresen
7 K. Nessø
7 Nessø
1 Luca Podlech
1 Podlech

Bench: T. Larsen, J. Ørsahl, P. Aukland, E. Engqvist, T. Leikanger, E. Osenbroch, E. Myrlid, S. Vecchia

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
Andreas Tegström
9 O. Kapskarmo
9 Kapskarmo
27 J. Dunsby
27 Dunsby
14 E. Pettersen
14 Pettersen
7 E. Patoulidis
7 Patoulidis
10 E. Gigović
10 Gigović
8 T. Børkeeiet
8 Børkeeiet
5 G. Højbjerg
5 Højbjerg
3 V. Egeli
3 Egeli
13 R. Holten
13 Holten
4 F. Pedersen
4 Pedersen
30 E. Hadaya
30 Hadaya

Bench: S. Mathisen, A. Foster, J. Vester, H. Krogelien, H. B. Skretteberg, D. Skaarud, M. Hellan, A. Grønneberg

Season data

Eliteserien numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Aalesund

5-3-2
W-D-L
5-9-10
Goals
40-53
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
6-6-12
Goals
22-31
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
9
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Aalesund

  • M. Christensen 10 G · 4 A · 23 apps
  • E. Osenbroch 5 G · 5 A · 21 apps

Key players · Sandefjord

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Eliteserien

  1. 1 P. Christiansen Viking 15
  2. 2 Amin Chiakha Rosenborg 15
  3. 3 A. Helmersen Bodo/Glimt 13
  4. 4 L. Alvheim Kristiansund BK 12
  5. 5 K. Lonebu Molde 12
Venue Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Referee Tore Hansen
New at Aalesund S. Vecchia (Malmo FF), S. Kartum (Heart Of Midlothian), D. Mbacke (Brann)
New at Sandefjord E. Gigović (Helsingborg), O. Kapskarmo (Egersund), R. Holten (Brann)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 43% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Sandefjord win · AI Aalesund win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Aalesund
#14 · 24 PTS · GD -13
Last 5
L W L W L
12 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sandefjord 3-4 L
  • Kristiansund BK 0-2 W
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 L
  • Kristiansund BK 1-4 W
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 L
Team news
I. Djantou — Inactive O. Gudmundsson — Red Card H. Hammer — Injury S. Haram — Elbow Injury M. Kristensen — Injury M. Reed — Injury J. Seehusen — Injury
Sandefjord
#13 · 24 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
W L L L D
6 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Aalesund 3-4 W
  • ODD Ballklubb 3-1 L
  • Start 1-0 L
  • Lillestrom 0-2 L
  • Rosenborg 1-1 D
Team news
B. Berntsen — Yellow Cards D. Koswal — Knee Injury F. Loftesnes-Bjune — Thigh Injury M. Melchior — Knee Injury N. Moller — Ankle Injury F. Apetorgbor — Injury X. Lambrix — Knee Injury M. Sauer — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AAL 1 · D 0 · SAN 4

SAN VS AAL
1-0
HOME WIN
May 3, 2026
AAL VS SAN
0-3
AWAY WIN
Nov 6, 2023
SAN VS AAL
4-0
HOME WIN
Apr 30, 2023
SAN VS AAL
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 13, 2023
AAL VS SAN
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 23, 2022

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with Aalesund, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Eliteserien games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Aalesund
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Sandefjord
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Aalesund is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Aalesund win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Aalesund vs Sandefjord in Eliteserien? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Aalesund win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Aalesund vs Sandefjord, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.