Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Probably not — the available 65.1-posts/day recent pace implies roughly 456 posts over seven days, well above the 360–379 target, while the 30-day baseline is much lower and creates uncertainty. The main way this could resolve YES is if the elevated recent activity was concentrated outside the market window or the tracker’s counting conventions materially reduce the total.

Probably not — 65.1 posts/day average over the past 7 days implies roughly 455 posts for the full week, well above the 360-379 band, and this is one of ~10-15 similarly narrow buckets competing for probability mass. Main uncertainty is whether the 65.1/day figure overlaps precisely with the market window or reflects a skewed period.

Probably not — the target bucket of 360-379 is narrow (a span of only 20 posts) amidst high variance in Elon Musk's posting frequency. With a recent pace of around 65 posts per day (exceeding 450 total over 7 days depending on reply filtering), the total count is much more likely to land outside this specific band. However, if the exclusion of standard replies pulls the net eligible count right into the mid-300s, this range could hit.

Probably not — a 65.1 posts/day 7-day average as of Oct 15 implies ~450 posts in a similar window, well above the 360-379 bin (~51-54/day). The 30-day baseline is lower (~262) so a slowdown could hit the range, but the recent pace and posting variance make that specific 20-post bucket unlikely.

Probably not — the 7-day average of 65.1 posts/day implies roughly 456 posts over the full window, well above the 360-379 band. Even allowing for day-to-day variation, hitting that narrow range requires a substantial slowdown from recent pace. The main risk is that the tracker's counting rules or deleted-post handling differ from the average-based estimate.

Probably not — the 7-day rolling average of 65.1 posts/day as of Oct 15 implies a total around 455 posts for the Oct 9–16 window, well above the 360–379 range. Even accounting for some variance, the recent pace is too high to land in this bucket. The main risk to this call is if the 7-day average is skewed by a burst of activity that doesn't reflect the full window evenly.

Probably not — Musk's recent 7-day average is ~65 posts/day, which would project to ~455 posts over 7 days, far above the 360-379 range. The main risk is a sudden, sustained drop in activity, but current data shows no such trend.

Probably not — Musk's recent 7-day average of 65.1 posts/day implies roughly 455 posts over the 7-day window, well above the 360-379 target band. However, that average may include replies which don't count toward this market, and main-feed-only rates are typically lower than raw post counts, so the true figure could plausibly land in the 360-379 range. The main risk to my call is uncertainty about how much of the 65.1/day figure is replies versus countable posts.

Probably not — the tracker shows Musk averaging 65.1 posts/day over the last 7 days, which would imply roughly 450+ posts for the window, well above the 360-379 band. However, that 7-day figure may cover a slightly different span and his posting is highly variable day-to-day, so a slower recent stretch could pull the total into the low 300s or this band. The main risk is that the 65.1/day average is stale or skewed by a few high-volume days, making the actual window total land near 360-379.

Probably not — Musk's recent posting pace of around 65 posts/day over 7 days suggests roughly 455 posts in the 7-day window, significantly above the 360-379 target range. The 30-day average of 37.5 posts/day would yield only ~262 posts, which is below the range, but recent momentum appears higher. His average daily rate would need to be exactly 51-54 posts/day to hit this narrow band, which is a tight target unlikely to land precisely given variable posting habits.