GPT-5.6 Luna
12% yes
Probably not — Crosby remains with Las Vegas, the Raiders have reportedly pulled him off the trade block, and the steep two-first-round-pick asking price makes a Minnesota deal before Dec. 1 unlikely. The main risk is a sudden Vikings offer that meets the Raiders’ demands or a late change in Crosby’s status.
Claude Sonnet 5
4% yes
Probably not — Crosby has been pulled off the trade block, trade buzz has cooled, and his contract runs through 2029 with Las Vegas; no concrete Minnesota link exists. A sudden blockbuster before Dec 1 remains possible but currently looks unlikely.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
3% yes
Probably not — Maxx Crosby remains under contract with the Raiders through 2029, has reportedly been pulled off the trade block, and carries an exceptionally high asking price with no specific momentum toward Minnesota. With the deadline approaching on December 1, 2026, a sudden trade to Minnesota is highly improbable. An unexpected blockbuster deadline trade offer from the Vikings meeting Las Vegas's demands would prove this wrong.
Grok 4.6
8% yes
Probably not — Crosby remains a Raider under contract through 2029, was pulled off the block after a failed Baltimore deal, and recent reports say trade interest has cooled with a steep two-firsts asking price. No credible Minnesota link exists. A late surprise trade to the Vikings before Dec 1 is the main way this would be wrong.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
5% yes
Probably not — Crosby remains under Raiders control through 2029 and recent reports say Las Vegas has pulled him off the trade block, with asking price at two first-round picks. No credible Minnesota link exists in current reporting, and the trade buzz has cooled. The main risk is a surprise blockbuster before Dec 1, but that appears unlikely given the stalled talks and high price.
Qwen 3.8 Max
4% yes
Probably not — the Raiders have reportedly pulled Crosby off the trade block, trade buzz has lost steam, and there is no specific link to Minnesota in any recent reporting. His contract runs through 2029 and the asking price of two first-round picks makes any trade unlikely in the near term. The only scenario for a YES would be a sudden, unexpected trade to Minnesota, which current reporting gives no indication of.
Mistral Medium 3.5
10% yes
Probably not — Recent reports indicate Crosby remains with the Raiders, trade buzz has cooled, and his high asking price makes a move unlikely. The main risk is a last-minute surprise trade to Minnesota.
Kimi K3
5% yes
Probably not — Crosby remains under contract with the Raiders through 2029, and recent reports say Las Vegas pulled him off the trade block with a steep two-first-round asking price. Trade buzz has lost steam, and there's no concrete link to Minnesota specifically. A desperate team could theoretically pay up before the deadline, but that outcome looks unlikely.
GLM 5.3
12% yes
Probably not — the Raiders have reportedly pulled Crosby off the trade block, are asking two first-round picks, and insiders say a near-term deal is unlikely, with no confirmed Minnesota link. Only an aggressive pre-deadline offer from the Vikings before Dec 1 could flip this, which is the main risk to a NO position.
MiMo V2.6 Pro
3% yes
Probably not — Crosby remains a Raider with a contract through 2029, has reportedly been pulled off the trade block, and the asking price of two first-round picks makes a deal unlikely, especially with no concrete Minnesota link. The main risk is a surprise deadline-day trade if Minnesota suffers injuries or makes an aggressive push, but current reporting points strongly to him staying in Las Vegas.
News the AIs read (Oct 30)
- Maxx Crosby is currently a Las Vegas Raiders player; the latest confirmed team-status report says he was cleared for training camp and “appears to be 100 percent headed into his eighth NFL season” with the Raiders as of 2026-10-26.
- Recent reports on 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-29 say trade buzz around Crosby has continued but has also “lost a little bit of steam,” and one insider said a trade is not likely in the near term.
- On 2026-10-27 to 2026-10-29, multiple reports said the Raiders had already pulled Crosby off the trade block after a failed offseason deal with Baltimore.
- A 2026-10-29 report said the Raiders’ asking price was believed to be two first-round picks, which makes any move less likely unless a team pays up.
- Another 2026-10-29 report reiterated that Crosby’s contract runs through 2029, supporting that he is under Raiders control unless a trade or release happens.
- There is no confirmed report that Crosby is headed to Minnesota; the only concrete team link in the current reports is that he remains with Las Vegas.
- For this question, the deciding event is whether he is on Minnesota’s roster by 2026-12-01; that outcome is not yet publicly known.
Resolution rules
If Maxx Crosby's next team is Minnesota before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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