EIN 2-1 1.F · 49% LEM 1-2 TOU · 44% FRO 1-1 SAS · 42% DEP 1-1 LEV · 44% EVE 1-2 CHE · 46% ESP 1-2 ATL · 48% VEN 0-2 NAP · 54% BAY 2-1 SCF · 49% UNI 0-2 BOR · 51% BOR 2-1 189 · 45% HAM 1-2 VFB · 47% WER 2-1 SCP · 48% FCS 1-0 FSV · 44% SVE 1-2 FCA · 47% EIN 2-1 1.F · 49% LEM 1-2 TOU · 44% FRO 1-1 SAS · 42% DEP 1-1 LEV · 44% EVE 1-2 CHE · 46% ESP 1-2 ATL · 48% VEN 0-2 NAP · 54% BAY 2-1 SCF · 49% UNI 0-2 BOR · 51% BOR 2-1 189 · 45% HAM 1-2 VFB · 47% WER 2-1 SCP · 48% FCS 1-0 FSV · 44% SVE 1-2 FCA · 47%
NHL Oct 13, 2026 · 23:15 Finished

New York Rangers
vs
Tampa Bay Lightning.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Final score: New York Rangers 4–1 Tampa Bay Lightning. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick New York Rangers to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 4–3.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Rangers (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 4–3 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

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10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

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“Will New York Rangers beat Tampa Bay Lightning in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Rangers win 90%

9 / 10 models

Tampa Bay Lightning win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Rangers win
4–3
56%
New York has won three of the last five meetings, including the most recent, and home ice supports a narrow edge. Tampa Bay’s scoring threat points toward an open, closely contested game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Rangers win
4–3
54%
Recent H2H split but Rangers won 2 of last 3 meetings with high-scoring results; home ice edge in an otherwise even matchup.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Rangers win
4–2
56%
New York holds home ice at Madison Square Garden and has won two of the last three head-to-head meetings, with their top-six depth matching Tampa Bay's offensive pressure.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Rangers win
3–2
55%
Early-season NHL with mixed H2H; Rangers took three of five including two high-scoring wins. Home edge and typical even pace support a one-goal Rangers win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Tampa Bay Lightning win
3–4
51%
Recent H2H splits favor the road side in New York, with Tampa's speed matching the Rangers' inconsistent defense; fixture is too balanced for high confidence.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Rangers win
3–2
53%
Rangers won 3 of last 5 H2H including most recent 4-2, but poor home record vs Tampa (1-2) tempers confidence. Early-season uncertainty keeps this modest.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New York Rangers win
4–3
58%
Recent H2H favors Rangers at home; both teams score freely but Rangers edge in tight games.
08
Kimi K3
New York Rangers win
4–3
58%
Rangers won the most recent H2H 4-2 and have taken 3 of the last 5 meetings, including two wins at Tampa. Home ice at MSG provides a slight edge in what projects as a competitive, higher-scoring game between these rivals.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Rangers win
4–2
56%
Rangers won three of the last five meetings, including the most recent, and hold home ice; Tampa Bay's attack keeps it close but Madison Square Garden edge tips a moderately paced game.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
New York Rangers win
4–3
55%
H2H shows Rangers winning 3 of 5, including 7-3 and 4-0 home/road routs, but Tampa took one at MSG; both clubs trade goals, so home edge gives a tight 4-3.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 4–3. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 4–3
    5 models
  • 3–2
    2 models
  • 4–2
    2 models
  • 3–4
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (4 - 3; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Rangers win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Rangers

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 3.70 vs 2.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.