ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51% ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51%
La Liga · Regular Season - 12 Oct 24, 2026 · 16:30 · UTC Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia Match Finished · 90'

Valencia
vs
Villarreal.

Quick answer

Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?

Final score: Valencia 1–2 Villarreal. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Villarreal to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Valencia form Villarreal form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Villarreal (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

La Liga table Where Valencia and Villarreal stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Valencia win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Villarreal win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Villarreal win
0–1
55%
Valencia have scored only six goals and failed to score five times, while Villarreal’s recent H2H control and stronger attacking output support a narrow away win despite Mestalla’s home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Villarreal win
1–2
46%
Valencia's weak home form (1W 5L, 6 goals scored) contrasts with Villarreal's balanced attack and recent H2H dominance, including a 2-1 away win last meeting.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Villarreal win
0–1
48%
Valencia have struggled offensively, failing to score in five matches. Villarreal's superior attack led by Gerard Moreno and Ayoze Pérez gives them the edge in a tight derby.
04
Grok 4.6
Villarreal win
0–1
42%
Valencia 6-15 with five blanks and key attackers out; Villarreal H2H edge and stronger attack point to a tight away win at Mestalla.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Villarreal win
0–1
48%
Valencia have failed to score five times and sit bottom-form with 6 goals in 9; Villarreal edge quality through Moreno and Ayoze in a low-scoring derby.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Villarreal win
0–1
20%
Valencia failed to score in 5 of 9 league games and have just 6 goals total; Villarreal dominate recent H2H and have superior attacking options in Moreno and Ayoze.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Villarreal win
1–2
62%
Villarreal's stronger recent form and head-to-head edge outweigh Valencia's home advantage; both teams score but Villarreal's attack prevails.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
34%
Valencia's attack is blunt (6 goals, 5 blanks) but Mestalla and Villarreal's leaky defense (1 clean sheet) suggest they nick one; H2H produced two recent 1-1s and both sides are in patchy form.
09
GLM 5.3
Villarreal win
1–2
48%
Valencia's 1W-5L start and 5 blanks contrast with Villarreal's balanced 13-13; Villarreal won both recent league meetings, so a narrow away win fits despite their shaky defense.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Villarreal win
0–1
38%
Valencia score just 0.67 per game with five blanks; Villarreal's attack is stronger and won at Mestalla 2-0 last season. Tight derby, low-scoring away edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    6 models
  • 1–2
    3 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Valencia
José Luis García Vayá 38' (pen)
1–2
Villarreal
Alex Freeman 69'
Georges Mikautadze 90+6'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.50 / 3.50 / 2.05
Valencia Market 27% · AI 8%
Draw Market 27% · AI 8%
Villarreal Market 46% · AI 83%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia

4-4-2
J. Aguirre
7 A. Danjuma
7 Danjuma
8 Javi Guerra
8 Guerra
11 Luis Rioja
11 Rioja
18 Pepelu
18 Pepelu
2 G. Rodríguez
2 Rodríguez
27 David Otorbi
27 Otorbi
14 José Gayà
14 Gayà
12 J. de Haas
12 Haas
5 César Tárrega
5 Tárrega
24 Pablo Maffeo
24 Maffeo
1 S. Dimitrievski
1 Dimitrievski

Bench: Jesús Vázquez, K. van Oevelen, F. Ugrinic, R. Sato, Dani Raba, Aaron Mayol, Arnau Martínez, H. Elliott, Hugo Duro, A. Dieng, M. Diakhaby, Aimar Blázquez

Villarreal

4-4-2
Iñigo Pérez
22 Ayoze Pérez
22 Pérez
7 Gerard Moreno
7 Moreno
17 T. Buchanan
17 Buchanan
18 P. Gueye
18 Gueye
16 C. Macia
16 Macia
11 Ilias Akhomach
11 Akhomach
3 A. Freeman
3 Freeman
12 Renato Veiga
12 Veiga
8 J. Foyth
8 Foyth
15 S. Mouriño
15 Mouriño
25 P. Gulácsi
25 Gulácsi

Bench: Sergi Cardona, Logan Costa, Santi Comesaña, A. Diatta, N. El Jmili, Rubén Gómez, Luíz Júnior, G. Mikautadze, Alberto Moleiro, Pau Navarro, T. Oluwaseyi, Joselillo Gaitán

Season data

La Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Valencia

5-4-1
W-D-L
1-3-6
Goals
7-17
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
5
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Villarreal

4-4-2
W-D-L
3-3-4
Goals
15-14
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Valencia

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Villarreal

  • Alberto Moleiro 2 G · 4 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · La Liga

  1. 1 Raphinha Barcelona 13
  2. 2 Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid 11
  3. 3 M. Zabiri Racing Santander 8
  4. 4 Lamine Yamal Barcelona 8
  5. 5 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano 7
Venue Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez
New at Valencia H. Elliott (Liverpool), Arnau Martínez (Girona), K. van Oevelen (Ipswich)
New at Villarreal N. Saliba (Anderlecht), N. El Jmili (Roda), E. Pujol (Gimnastic)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Villarreal

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.40 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Valencia Villarreal Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.2 3.7 8.8 Over 8.5 52% 15 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.7 1.9 3.6 Under 3.5 51% 6 miss Ask AI
Shots 13.2 10.0 23.2 Under 23.5 54% 28 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 3.7 3.4 7.1 Under 7.5 59% 8 miss Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 54% of 215 graded matches, cards 58% of 215. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Villarreal win · AI Villarreal win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Valencia
#19 · 6 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
L D D L W
6 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Villarreal 1-2 L
  • Athletic Club 0-0 D
  • Racing Santander 2-2 D
  • Real Sociedad 2-3 L
  • Alaves 0-1 W
Team news
S. Canos — Knee Injury J. Copete — Knee Injury D. Foulquier — Knee Injury D. Lopez — Knee Injury U. Sadiq — Muscle Injury
Villarreal
#8 · 12 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
W L D W L
8 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Valencia 1-2 W
  • Liverpool 4-3 L
  • Elche 0-0 D
  • Napoli 3-1 W
  • Real Madrid 1-0 L
Team news
N. Pepe — Eye injury C. Romero — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VAL 0 · D 2 · VIL 3

VAL VS VIL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 24, 2026
VIL VS VAL
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 22, 2026
VAL VS VIL
0-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 25, 2025
VIL VS VAL
1-1
DRAW
Feb 15, 2025
VAL VS VIL
1-1
DRAW
Aug 31, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Valencia, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Valencia
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Villarreal
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Valencia is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Villarreal win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Valencia vs Villarreal in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Villarreal win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Valencia vs Villarreal, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.