ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51% ABH 1-1 AL- · 41% VFL 1-2 FSV · 54% SGS 0-2 FCA · 61% HAM 1-2 EIN · 45% ROT 0-2 RBL · 62% SAS 0-2 LAZ · 62% CUA 0-2 GIR · 65% AIK 0-1 IFE · 48% CAL 1-0 EUR · 47% PIN 0-2 ELC · 58% SES 0-2 ESP · 61% CAS 0-2 ALM · 63% ATL 0-2 MIR · 58% CIU 0-1 RAY · 51%
La Liga · Regular Season - 12 Oct 24, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid Match Finished · 90'

Atletico Madrid
vs
Deportivo La Coruna.

Quick answer

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Final score: Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Atletico Madrid to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Atletico Madrid form Deportivo La Coruna form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (679 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Atletico Madrid (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–0 at 66% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

La Liga table Where Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruna stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Atletico Madrid win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Deportivo La Coruna win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
76%
Atletico’s five-match winning run, 19 goals in nine league games, and home advantage outweigh Deportivo’s resilient draws. Deportivo’s absence of Aubameyang also weakens their attack, while their zero clean sheets favor a controlled home victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
64%
Atletico dominant at home (7W1D1L, 19-8), five straight wins, Deportivo missing Aubameyang and winless in five with no clean sheets.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
74%
Atletico Madrid are on a 5-match winning streak, while Deportivo are winless in five and sorely missing top scorer Aubameyang. A comfortable clean-sheet home victory is expected.
04
Grok 4.6
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
58%
Atletico's five straight wins, home venue and four clean sheets meet Depor with no shutouts and Aubameyang out; H2H is tight 1-0s, so a controlled 2-0 fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atletico Madrid win
1–0
58%
Atletico Madrid are on a five-game winning streak with strong defense and home advantage, while Deportivo La Coruna are winless in five and missing Aubameyang, their top scorer. A tight 1-0 fits the H2H pattern.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
63%
Atletico's five-game winning streak and home dominance meet a Deportivo side missing top scorer Aubameyang with zero clean sheets all season; H2H pattern of tight wins but current form gap supports a comfortable shutout.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Atletico Madrid win
1–0
68%
Atletico's 5-game winning streak, strong home form, and clean sheet record vs Deportivo's inconsistent attack and missing Aubameyang.
08
Kimi K3
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
62%
Atletico are in dominant form (7W-1D-1L, five straight wins) at home against a Depor side missing Aubameyang and winless in five; H2H shows Atletico regularly win these by one or two, so a controlled 2-0 fits.
09
GLM 5.3
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
70%
Atletico's five-match winning streak, home venue, and Depor's zero clean sheets favor a comfortable home win; Depor's top scorer Aubameyang is absent, so 2-0 fits their modest attack.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Atletico Madrid win
2–0
62%
Atletico's five straight wins and strong Metropolitano form meet a Deportivo side missing top scorer Aubameyang and holding zero clean sheets; H2H's repeated low-score Atletico wins fit this matchup.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 2–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–0
    8 models
  • 1–0
    2 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.27 / 5.75 / 11.00
Atletico Madrid Market 75% · AI 100%
Draw Market 16% · AI 0%
Deportivo La Coruna Market 9% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna

Atletico Madrid

4-2-3-1
D. Simeone
19 J. Álvarez
19 Álvarez
11 A. Lookman
11 Lookman
10 Álex Baena
10 Baena
7 Lee Kang-In
7 Kang-In
23 M. Hjulmand
23 Hjulmand
8 Pablo Barrios
8 Barrios
22 Álex Grimaldo
22 Grimaldo
17 D. Hancko
17 Hancko
18 Marc Pubill
18 Pubill
14 Marcos Llorente
14 Llorente
13 J. Oblak
13 Oblak

Bench: Rodrigo Mendoza, Dani Martínez, J. Musso, Arnau Ortiz, G. Simeone, A. Sørloth, O. Vargas, Robin Le Normand, Salvador Esquivel, J. Dominguez, J. David, J. Castillo

Deportivo La Coruna

4-2-3-1
Antonio Hidalgo
32 B. Nsongo
32 Nsongo
10 Peke
10 Peke
21 Mario Soriano
21 Soriano
11 David Mella
11 Mella
16 L. Amatucci
16 Amatucci
8 Diego Villares
8 Villares
12 G. Quagliata
12 Quagliata
15 Miguel Loureiro
15 Loureiro
20 J. Giménez
20 Giménez
2 Adrià Alti
2 Alti
13 Leo Román
13 Román

Bench: Arnau Comas, Luismi Cruz, Angeliño, Álvaro Fernández, Jonathan Asp Jensen, ruben lopez, Ximo Navarro, L. Noubi, Riki Rodríguez, Kevin Sánchez, Adama Traoré, Dani Barcia

Season data

La Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Atletico Madrid

4-4-2
W-D-L
8-1-1
Goals
20-8
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Deportivo La Coruna

4-4-2
W-D-L
2-5-3
Goals
13-13
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Atletico Madrid

  • Álex Baena 5 G · 2 A · 10 apps
  • J. David 3 G · 2 A · 5 apps

Key players · Deportivo La Coruna

  • P. Aubameyang 5 G · 2 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · La Liga

  1. 1 Raphinha Barcelona 13
  2. 2 Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid 11
  3. 3 M. Zabiri Racing Santander 8
  4. 4 Lamine Yamal Barcelona 8
  5. 5 Sergio Camello Rayo Vallecano 7
Venue Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid
Referee Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
New at Atletico Madrid J. David (Juventus), A. Yaakobishvili (Girona), C. Romero (Tottenham)
New at Deportivo La Coruna F. Fons (Real Madrid), Marc Casadó (Barcelona), J. Giménez (Atletico Madrid)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Atletico Madrid

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
High confidence

Mean 66% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.80 vs 0.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Atletico Madrid Deportivo La Coruna Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 6.3 4.9 11.2 Under 11.5 56% 7 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.0 2.4 4.4 Under 4.5 55% 6 miss Ask AI
Shots 14.8 12.5 27.3 Under 27.5 53% 35 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 5.2 4.0 9.3 Under 9.5 55% 9 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 54% of 215 graded matches, cards 58% of 215. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Atletico Madrid win · AI Atletico Madrid win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Atletico Madrid
#2 · 25 PTS · GD +12
Last 5
W D W W W
7 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 W
  • VfB Stuttgart 1-1 D
  • Espanyol 0-1 W
  • Manchester United 2-0 W
  • Alaves 1-2 W
Team news
J. Cardoso — Thigh Injury Koke — Muscle Injury C. Romero — Muscle Injury
Deportivo La Coruna
#10 · 11 PTS · GD 0
Last 5
L D L L D
5 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Madrid 1-0 L
  • Levante 1-1 D
  • Real Sociedad 3-2 L
  • FC Porto 1-3 L
  • Real Betis 1-1 D
Team news
P. Aubameyang — Knee Injury N. Carrillo — Muscle Injury M. Casado — Collarbone injury Z. Eddahchouri — Wrist Injury B. Ede — Hamstring Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ATL 4 · D 1 · DEP 0

DEP VS ATL
0-1
AWAY WIN
Jan 13, 2026
ATL VS DEP
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 1, 2018
DEP VS ATL
0-1
AWAY WIN
Nov 4, 2017
DEP VS ATL
1-1
DRAW
Mar 2, 2017
ATL VS DEP
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 25, 2016

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Atletico Madrid, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight La Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Atletico Madrid
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Deportivo La Coruna
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Atletico Madrid is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Atletico Madrid win. Pair that with the confidence band (High) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atletico Madrid win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.