ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 Nov 5, 2026 · 20:00 · UTC Merkur-Arena, Graz Not Started

Sturm Graz
vs
Celje.

Quick answer

Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?

10 of 10 AI models pick Sturm Graz to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 52% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Sturm Graz form Celje form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (752 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Sturm Graz (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Sturm Graz and Celje stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Sturm Graz win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Celje win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Sturm Graz win
1–0
58%
Sturm Graz have home advantage and a stronger European record than Celje, while both sides have struggled to score. Sturm’s two clean sheets support a narrow, low-scoring win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Sturm Graz win
2–1
56%
Sturm Graz stronger at home with better European form, but Celje concede freely while scoring late; expect contested, moderately open game.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Sturm Graz win
2–0
62%
Sturm Graz have shown solid defensive structure with two clean sheets, while Celje have conceded seven goals in three European matches and failed to score twice.
04
Grok 4.7
Sturm Graz win
1–0
52%
Sturm Graz have two UEL clean sheets but only one goal in three games; Celje are winless and leaky. Home edge at Merkur-Arena points to a tight 1-0.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Sturm Graz win
1–0
48%
Sturm Graz have two clean sheets and home advantage, while Celje lost twice and conceded seven; a tight low-scoring home win fits both teams' patterns.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Sturm Graz win
1–0
32%
Sturm Graz keep clean sheets (2/3 EL matches) but score rarely (1 goal in 3); Celje concede heavily yet also fail to score often. A narrow 1-0 home win fits both profiles.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Sturm Graz win
1–0
52%
Sturm have 2 clean sheets in 3 with only 1-3 goals; Celje winless with 2-7 and no clean sheets. Graz home edge decides low-scoring game.
08
Kimi K3
Sturm Graz win
1–0
58%
Sturm Graz have kept two clean sheets in three Europa League games while Celje have lost twice and failed to score twice; home edge at Merkur-Arena supports a narrow win.
09
GLM 5.3
Sturm Graz win
1–0
52%
Sturm Graz are unbeaten-ish at home with 2 clean sheets but only 1 goal scored; Celje have lost twice and concede. Tight, low-scoring home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Sturm Graz win
1–0
52%
Sturm's two clean sheets and home venue face a Celje side winless with 7 conceded; both attacks misfire, so a narrow home win fits better than a high score.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    8 models
  • 2–1
    1 model
  • 2–0
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.55 / 4.10 / 5.00
Sturm Graz Market 59% · AI 100%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
Celje Market 18% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Sturm Graz

5-3-2
W-D-L
1-1-1
Goals
1-3
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
2
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Celje

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
0-1-2
Goals
2-7
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
2
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace 3
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez Real Sociedad 3
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
Venue Merkur-Arena, Graz
New at Sturm Graz O. Diakité (Reims), J. Quarshie (Southampton), V. Matoshi (FC Thun)
New at Celje L. Tičić (Nizhny Novgorod), Ž. Žužek (Gençlerbirliği S.K.), B. Kramer (Konyaspor)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Sturm Graz

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 0.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Sturm Graz
#26 · 1 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L D W W L
11 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Austria Lustenau 3-2 L
  • Ried 2-2 D
  • Marseille 1-0 W
  • Grazer AK 6-1 W
  • Bournemouth 3-0 L
Team news
N. Geyrhofer — Off the roster S. Jatta — Shoulder Injury A. Kayombo — Off the roster E. Soglo — Muscle Injury S. Wlodarczyk — Off the roster L. Grgic — Knee Injury O. Kiteishvili — Calf Injury G. Mamageishvili — Injury F. Rozga — Muscle Injury N. Weiper — Injury D. Khudyakov — Inactive
Celje
#35 · 0 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
D W D D L
5 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 D
  • Korotan Prevalje 0-2 W
  • Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 D
  • Maribor 0-0 D
  • Omonia Nicosia 0-3 L
Team news
A. Kotnik — Red Card J. Pisek — Knee Injury L. Bejger — Shin Injury

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Sturm Graz, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Sturm Graz
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Celje
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Sturm Graz is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Sturm Graz win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Sturm Graz vs Celje in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Sturm Graz win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

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