GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% SAU 0-1 URU · 64% IRA 2-0 NEW · 63% FRA 2-1 SEN · 61% IRA 1-2 NOR · 60% ARG 2-0 ALG · 67% AUS 2-0 JOR · 64% POR 2-0 CON · 65% ENG 1-0 CRO · 58%
Ligue 1 · Final May 15, 2026 · 18:30 · UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard, Saint Etienne Match Finished · 120'

Saint Etienne
vs
Rodez.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Saint Etienne (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 61% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Saint Etienne win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Rodez win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Saint Etienne win
2–0
68%
Saint Etienne's strong home form and past dominance at this venue suggest a solid win against Rodez.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Saint Etienne win
2–0
47%
Saint Etienne trail 1-2 on aggregate and must attack at Geoffroy-Guichard; their recent home H2H records (4-0, 2-0) support a controlled home win, though Rodez's away threat keeps confidence moderate.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Saint Etienne win
2–0
65%
Saint Etienne have a strong home record against Rodez at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, keeping clean sheets in their last two home meetings. In a high-stakes semi-final, their home advantage and defensive solidity should see them through.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Saint Etienne win
2–1
62%
Saint Etienne’s home form and H2H dominance suggest a narrow win; Rodez’s recent resilience keeps it close.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Saint Etienne win
2–1
62%
Saint Etienne’s home advantage and stronger historical record suggest a narrow win despite Rodez’s recent form.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Saint Etienne win
2–1
62%
Saint Etienne's strong home form and recent history favor a narrow home win, despite Rodez's recent upset.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Saint Etienne win
2–1
62%
Saint Etienne's stronger recent form and home advantage at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard give them an edge.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Saint Etienne win
1–0
55%
Saint Etienne's strong home record in H2H and semi-final venue edge favor a narrow win, but recent away loss to Rodez indicates tight contest.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Saint Etienne win
2–1
62%
Saint Etienne's strong home form and high-scoring recent history against Rodez, who struggle on the road, points to a home win.
10
Grok 4.3
Saint Etienne win
2–1
60%
Saint Etienne's strong home record at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard and historical dominance over Rodez give them a slight edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 2–0
    3 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Saint Etienne vs Rodez in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Saint Etienne win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Saint Etienne vs Rodez, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Saint Etienne

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 61% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Draw · AI Saint Etienne win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Saint Etienne
Last 5
L D D W L
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nice 4-1 L
  • Nice 0-0 D
  • Rodez 0-0 D
  • Amiens 5-0 W
  • Rodez 2-1 L
Team news
Augustine Boakye — Injury to the ankle Lucas Stassin — Hamstring Injury Maxime Bernauer — Dead Leg Djyilian N'Guessan — Hamstring Injury D. Appiah — Foot injury E. Annan — Sprained ankle N. El Jamali — Knee Injury P. Eymard — Foot Injury M. Jaber — Surgery C. Lamba — Injury D. N'Guessan — Inactive M. Paalberg — Inactive
Rodez
Last 5
D W W W D
7 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Saint Etienne 0-0 D
  • RED Star FC 93 2-3 W
  • Annecy 1-2 W
  • Saint Etienne 2-1 W
  • Laval 0-0 D
Team news
W. Younoussa — Wound M. Achi — Inactive M. Corredor — Inactive H. Tebily — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAI 2 · D 2 · ROD 1

SAI VS ROD
0-0
DRAW
May 15, 2026
ROD VS SAI
2-1
HOME WIN
May 2, 2026
SAI VS ROD
4-0
HOME WIN
Aug 16, 2025
SAI VS ROD
2-0
HOME WIN
May 24, 2024
SAI VS ROD
1-1
DRAW
May 10, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Saint Etienne, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Saint Etienne
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Rodez
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Saint Etienne is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Saint Etienne win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Saint Etienne vs Rodez · Ligue 1

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Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.