AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 Oct 15, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok Match Finished · 90'

Jagiellonia
vs
Ararat-Armenia.

Quick answer

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

Final score: Jagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Jagiellonia to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Jagiellonia form Ararat-Armenia form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 63% of the time (578 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Jagiellonia (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–0 at 49% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Jagiellonia and Ararat-Armenia stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Jagiellonia win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Ararat-Armenia win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Jagiellonia win
1–0
56%
Jagiellonia’s home advantage in Białystok supports a narrow edge, while the limited fixture data and unfamiliar matchup suggest a cautious, low-scoring Europa League game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Jagiellonia win
2–0
58%
Jagiellonia, a top Polish side, host a weaker Armenian champion in a European league stage; home venue and quality gap favor a comfortable win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Jagiellonia win
2–0
63%
Jagiellonia hold a significant quality advantage playing in Bialystok, where their organized structure should comfortably hold off Ararat-Armenia.
04
Grok 4.6
Jagiellonia win
2–0
52%
Home Polish side in Europa League league stage vs Armenian visitors; venue edge in Białystok and likely quality gap support a controlled 2-0 without H2H or form data.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Jagiellonia win
2–0
52%
Jagiellonia's home edge in Europa League qualifying and Ararat-Armenia's limited away pedigree point to a controlled home win. A 2-0 line fits a solid defensive showing without overestimating attacking output.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Jagiellonia win
2–0
48%
Jagiellonia clearly stronger than Armenian opposition; home venue and league quality gap support a controlled clean-sheet win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Jagiellonia win
1–0
58%
Jagiellonia home advantage and Europa League experience likely edge out Ararat-Armenia’s resilience.
08
Kimi K3
Jagiellonia win
2–0
62%
Jagiellonia's home advantage in Bialystok and superior recent form in European competition should overcome Ararat-Armenia's defensive resilience, with the Polish side likely keeping a clean sheet.
09
GLM 5.3
Jagiellonia win
2–0
52%
Jagiellonia's home strength in Bialystok against a defensively limited Ararat-Armenia side suggests a controlled home win; no H2H data, so modest confidence.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Jagiellonia win
1–0
58%
Jagiellonia's home advantage in a European qualifier and the lack of H2H data suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where a single goal may decide it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 2–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–0
    7 models
  • 1–0
    3 models

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
W-D-L
4-1-1
Goals
13-6
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
W-D-L
1-1-2
Goals
4-8
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Jagiellonia

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Ararat-Armenia

  • Sandro Lima 1 G · 1 A · 4 apps

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
  4. 4 Oh Hyeon-Gyu Beşiktaş 2
  5. 5 M. van Buren Hradec Králové 2
Venue Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok
Referee Anastasios Papapetrou
New at Jagiellonia B. Wdowik (SC Braga), A. Ćirković (Ferencvarosi TC), H. Finndell (Djurgardens IF)
New at Ararat-Armenia Benny (Petro de Luanda), A. Martirosyan (Ararat), Joao Bravim (Santa Clara)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Jagiellonia

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 49% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.70 vs 0.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Jagiellonia win · AI Jagiellonia win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Jagiellonia
#17 · 3 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
L L W L L
5 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Anderlecht 0-3 L
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 L
  • Ararat-Armenia 3-1 W
  • Gornik Zabrze 1-3 L
  • Polonia Warszawa 1-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Ararat-Armenia
#34 · 0 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
L W L D W
7 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • AZ Alkmaar 0-4 L
  • BKMA 0-1 W
  • Jagiellonia 3-1 L
  • Alashkert 1-1 D
  • Ararat 0-4 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

JAG 1 · D 0 · ARA 0

JAG VS ARA
3-1
HOME WIN
Oct 15, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Jagiellonia, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Jagiellonia
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Ararat-Armenia
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Jagiellonia is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Jagiellonia win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Jagiellonia win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.