SCF 1-2 BAY · 56% SUN 0-1 LEE · 49% LEC 0-1 JUV · 50% AAR 1-2 VIB · 48% REA 2-1 LEV · 55% GEN 2-1 AND · 56% ALD 0-1 BEL · 57% NAC 0-1 SCB · 55% RIO 1-1 FAM · 42% MOL 2-1 FRE · 55% UNI 2-0 CER · 69% AZA 2-1 TWE · 51% UDI 0-2 ACM · 60% BAR 2-1 REA · 58% SCF 1-2 BAY · 56% SUN 0-1 LEE · 49% LEC 0-1 JUV · 50% AAR 1-2 VIB · 48% REA 2-1 LEV · 55% GEN 2-1 AND · 56% ALD 0-1 BEL · 57% NAC 0-1 SCB · 55% RIO 1-1 FAM · 42% MOL 2-1 FRE · 55% UNI 2-0 CER · 69% AZA 2-1 TWE · 51% UDI 0-2 ACM · 60% BAR 2-1 REA · 58%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31 Oct 21, 2026 · 23:00 · UTC TQL Stadium, Cincinnati Match Finished · 90'

FC Cincinnati
vs
DC United.

Quick answer

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs DC United?

Final score: FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick FC Cincinnati to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → FC Cincinnati form DC United form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (663 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FC Cincinnati (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where FC Cincinnati and DC United stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

FC Cincinnati win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

DC United win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
56%
FC Cincinnati’s TQL Stadium advantage and recent H2H success at home support a narrow win, though DC United won the latest meeting and both teams are missing an attacker, keeping confidence moderate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
48%
Cincinnati at home with venue edge despite missing striker Martinez; DC United historically competitive in this series, expect a tight contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FC Cincinnati win
2–0
56%
Cincinnati holds strong home advantage at TQL Stadium and has solid defensive structure, while DC United often struggles for consistent creation away from home.
04
Grok 4.6
FC Cincinnati win
1–0
48%
Thin 2026 form; TQL home edge vs mixed H2H. Martinez out may blunt Cincinnati attack, so a narrow 1-0 is more plausible than a 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FC Cincinnati win
1–0
48%
Cincinnati's home edge at TQL Stadium and DC United's missing striker Segal reduce away threat. Recent H2H is mixed, so a narrow low-scoring home win fits best.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FC Cincinnati win
1–0
47%
Cincinnati's home edge at TQL Stadium gives a slight advantage, but mixed H2H and DC's competitiveness suggest a tight, low-scoring grind rather than a comfortable win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
58%
Home advantage and recent H2H edge (3 wins in last 5) outweigh Martinez absence; DC United inconsistent away.
08
Kimi K3
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
58%
FC Cincinnati hold a strong home record at TQL Stadium and have won three of the last five H2H meetings. Despite missing J. Martinez, their attacking depth should overcome a DC United side that struggles defensively on the road.
09
GLM 5.3
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
52%
Cincinnati strong at TQL Stadium and H2H games are tight, goal-filled affairs; DC won there last May, so edge is modest despite home quality.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FC Cincinnati win
2–1
48%
Cincinnati's 60 goals and Denkey/Evander threat outweigh DC's leaky 51 conceded despite poor recent form; TQL Stadium edge, though H2H shows DC can score here.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 2–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
FC Cincinnati
David Douděra 14'
Teenage Hadebe 55'
2–1
DC United
Kimito Nono 38'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.57 / 4.75 / 4.75
FC Cincinnati Market 60% · AI 100%
Draw Market 20% · AI 0%
DC United Market 20% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: FC Cincinnati vs DC United

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
Pat Noonan
9 K. Denkey
9 Denkey
99 A. Jabbari
99 Jabbari
66 E. Echenique
66 Echenique
22 G. Valenzuela
22 Valenzuela
10 Evander
10 Evander
5 O. Nwobodo
5 Nwobodo
20 P. Bucha
20 Bucha
88 A. Chirila
88 Chirila
12 M. Robinson
12 Robinson
24 K. Smith
24 Smith
18 R. Celentano
18 Celentano

Bench: B. Anunga, T. Barlow, T. Hadebe, N. Hagglund, E. Louro, K. Mboma Dem, A. Powell, Bryan Josías Ramírez León

DC United

4-3-3
R. Weiler
22 N. Ordaz
22 Ordaz
25 J. Hopkins
25 Hopkins
11 L. Munteanu
11 Munteanu
7 Peglow
7 Peglow
4 M. Peltola
4 Peltola
23 B. Servania
23 Servania
6 K. Kurokawa
6 Kurokawa
21 A. Dozzell
21 Dozzell
3 L. Bartlett
3 Bartlett
2 K. Nono
2 Nono
1 S. Johnson
1 Johnson

Bench: Nikola Markovic, S. Nealis, J. Stroud, Gavin Turner, Hosei Kijima, S. Hefti, A. Bono, T. Baribo

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
W-D-L
10-9-11
Goals
62-71
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
5
Best win run
2
Penalties
6/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

DC United

4-4-2
W-D-L
7-12-11
Goals
38-53
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
9
Best win run
2
Penalties
6/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · FC Cincinnati

  • Evander 13 G · 10 A · 28 apps
  • K. Denkey 17 G · 3 A · 29 apps

Key players · DC United

  • T. Baribo 16 G · 1 A · 25 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  4. 4 S. Surridge Nashville SC 18
  5. 5 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 18
Venue TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Referee Tim Ford
New at FC Cincinnati T. Malacia (Manchester United), J. Malatini (Werder Bremen), D. Douděra (Slavia Praha)
New at DC United C. Antley (Tampa Bay Rowdies), K. Nono (Kashima), N. Ordaz (Los Angeles FC)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FC Cincinnati

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.70 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual FC Cincinnati win · AI FC Cincinnati win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

FC Cincinnati
#8 · 42 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
W W L L W
9 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • DC United 0-2 W
  • DC United 2-1 W
  • Columbus Crew 0-2 L
  • New England Revolution 2-3 L
  • Atlanta United FC 1-3 W
Team news
J. Martinez — Knee Injury J. Malatini — Thigh Injury
DC United
#13 · 33 PTS · GD -17
Last 5
L L L W L
4 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Cincinnati 0-2 L
  • FC Cincinnati 2-1 L
  • Orlando City SC 4-1 L
  • New York Red Bulls 2-1 W
  • Inter Miami 4-0 L
Team news
G. Segal — Leg Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FCC 2 · D 1 · DCU 2

FCC VS DCU
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 31, 2025
DCU VS FCC
0-1
AWAY WIN
Apr 12, 2025
DCU VS FCC
2-3
AWAY WIN
Jul 3, 2024
FCC VS DCU
0-0
DRAW
Mar 10, 2024
DCU VS FCC
3-0
HOME WIN
Jun 24, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with FC Cincinnati, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

FC Cincinnati
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
DC United
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When FC Cincinnati is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FC Cincinnati win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on FC Cincinnati vs DC United in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FC Cincinnati win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win FC Cincinnati vs DC United, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.