ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 Nov 5, 2026 · 20:00 · UTC Not Started

Celta Vigo
vs
Union St. Gilloise.

Quick answer

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?

8 of 10 AI models pick Union St. Gilloise to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 1–2 at 51% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Celta Vigo form Union St. Gilloise form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Union St. Gilloise (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Celta Vigo win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Union St. Gilloise win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Union St. Gilloise win
0–1
58%
Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten with eight goals and two clean sheets in three Europa League matches, while Celta have lost twice and scored only three; a cautious away win best fits the evidence despite Celta’s home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Union St. Gilloise win
1–2
54%
Union St. Gilloise show superior European form (8-1 goals, 2 clean sheets) vs struggling Celta Vigo (1W 2L, leaking goals), though home venue offers some resistance.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Union St. Gilloise are in exceptional European form with solid defense, while Celta Vigo have home advantage in Balaídos to force a tight, competitive contest.
04
Grok 4.6
Union St. Gilloise win
1–2
42%
USG unbeaten 8-1 in EL versus Celta 1W-2L and 3-4; visitors score late, so a narrow away win despite Vigo home edge.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
1–2
55%
Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten with 8 goals scored and 2 clean sheets, while Celta Vigo have lost two of three and failed to score once. Away form and defensive solidity justify a narrow Union win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Union St. Gilloise win
0–2
42%
Union St. Gilloise unbeaten with 8 goals scored and only 1 conceded in UEL; Celta Vigo winless in last two UEL matches with no clean sheets and weak attack.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Union St. Gilloise win
0–2
62%
Union's strong Europa form (8-1 goals, 2 clean sheets) and Celta's defensive struggles (0 clean sheets, 3-4 goals) favor away win.
08
Kimi K3
Union St. Gilloise win
1–2
58%
Union St. Gilloise unbeaten with 8-1 goals and two clean sheets versus Celta's 1W-2L and no clean sheets; Belgian side's superior defensive organization and late scoring threat secure narrow away win despite Celta's home advantage.
09
GLM 5.3
Celta Vigo win
2–1
50%
USG's Europa form (2W 1D, 8-1) beats Celta's 1W 2L, but Celta's La Liga quality and Balaidos crowd edge a tight game; modest confidence given mixed signals.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
0–1
42%
Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in Europe with 8-1 goals and two clean sheets, while Celta sit 1-2 with no clean sheets and a limp LLW run; a tight away win fits better than a shootout.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 1–2. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–2
    4 models
  • 0–1
    2 models
  • 0–2
    2 models
  • 1–1
    1 model
  • 2–1
    1 model
Team news

Predicted lineups: Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Celta Vigo

3-4-3 · XI v Real Betis, 25 Oct
Claudio Giráldez
23 Hugo Álvarez
23 Álvarez
11 Pablo Durán
11 Durán
16 Hugo González
16 González
22 Javi Galán
22 Galán
6 I. Moriba
6 Moriba
14 Aleix Febas
14 Febas
17 Javi Rueda
17 Rueda
3 Marcos Alonso
3 Alonso
18 Yoel Lago
18 Lago
20 Javi Rodríguez
20 Rodríguez
13 I. Radu
13 Radu

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2 · XI v Cercle Brugge, 25 Oct
38 Relebohile Mofokeng
38 Mofokeng
30 Raul Florucz
30 Florucz
11 Guilherme Smith
11 Smith
23 Besfort Zeneli
23 Zeneli
20 Dylan Aquino
20 Aquino
27 Louis Patris
27 Patris
6 Kamiel Van de Perre
6 Perre
55 Nikki Havenaar
55 Havenaar
29 Massire Sylla
29 Sylla
4 Nohim Chibani
4 Chibani
12 Hervé Koffi
12 Koffi

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Celta Vigo

3-4-3
W-D-L
1-0-2
Goals
3-4
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2
W-D-L
2-1-0
Goals
8-1
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace 3
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez Real Sociedad 3
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
New at Celta Vigo S. Cáceres (Club America), C. Driouech (PSV Eindhoven), A. Bayındır (Manchester United)
New at Union St. Gilloise D. Egel (FC Astoria Walldorf), Daniel Tshilanda (Sporting Hasselt), D. Aquino (Lanus)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Union St. Gilloise

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.70 vs 1.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Celta Vigo Union St. Gilloise Expected total Lean
Corners 3.5 4.6 8.1 Under 8.5 58% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.3 2.2 3.5 Under 3.5 53% Ask AI
Shots 10.7 14.5 25.2 Under 25.5 53% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.1 5.6 9.6 Over 9.5 50% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Celta Vigo
#28 · 0 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
D W W L D
5 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Real Betis 0-0 D
  • Celtic 1-2 W
  • Alaves 2-1 W
  • Juventus 1-2 L
  • Elche 0-0 D
Team news
C. Perez — Inactive M. Vecino — Knee Injury B. Iglesias — Muscle Injury A. Febas — Ribs Injury M. Alonso — Red Card A. Antanon — Ankle Injury J. El Abdellaoui — Knee Injury I. Aspas — Muscle Injury P. Duran — Calf Injury M. Roman — Knee Injury C. Starfelt — Muscle Injury A. Nunez — Groin Injury
Union St. Gilloise
#12 · 4 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W W W D D
14 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Cercle Brugge 5-2 W
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 W
  • Nijlen 3-0 W
  • Real Sociedad 1-1 D
  • OH Leuven 1-1 D
Team news
A. Ait El Hadj — Off the roster R. Florucz — Red Card K. Mac Allister — Knee Injury I. Pavlic — Off the roster R. Sykes — Shoulder Injury K. Van De Perre — Red Card A. Zorgane — Red Card I. Hurtevent — Knock O. Kricfalusi — Knock K. Rodriguez — Muscle Injury R. Schoofs — Knock

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Celta Vigo, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Celta Vigo
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Union St. Gilloise
~80%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Celta Vigo is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Union St. Gilloise win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Union St. Gilloise win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 10% / 80% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.