ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Premier League · Regular Season - 9 Oct 31, 2026 · 20:00 · UTC Villa Park, Birmingham Not Started

Aston Villa
vs
Fulham.

Quick answer

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?

10 of 10 AI models pick Aston Villa to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 47% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Aston Villa form Fulham form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Aston Villa (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premier League table Where Aston Villa and Fulham stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Aston Villa win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Fulham win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Aston Villa win
1–0
52%
Villa’s recent LWDWW run and home advantage give them a narrow edge, while both teams’ modest scoring records and Fulham’s three clean sheets point toward a tight match.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Aston Villa win
2–1
48%
Villa's home record and Jackson's scoring form give an edge, but mediocre defense on both sides and Fulham's recent WW form keep this close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Aston Villa win
2–0
55%
Aston Villa have strong home form against Fulham at Villa Park and greater attacking potency, while Fulham have struggled for goals on the road.
04
Grok 4.6
Aston Villa win
1–0
46%
Villa Park edge and Villa’s LWDWW run vs Fulham’s mixed DDLWW; both sides average under 1.2 goals, so a tight 1-0 fits more than a 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Aston Villa win
1–0
51%
Villa's home edge and superior recent form outweigh Fulham's away struggles; a low-scoring win fits both teams' modest goal output.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Aston Villa win
1–0
18%
Both sides low-scoring (~1 goal/game); Villa's improving home form and H2H edge at Villa Park support a narrow clean-sheet win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Aston Villa win
2–1
58%
Villa’s home form and attacking options (Jackson, McGinn) edge Fulham’s inconsistent defense. Recent H2H favors Villa.
08
Kimi K3
Aston Villa win
1–0
52%
Villa Park edge plus H2H dominance (3 wins in last 4 there) despite patchy form; Fulham struggle for goals away and Villa's defense can grind out a narrow win.
09
GLM 5.3
Aston Villa win
2–1
52%
Villa's recent upturn (3 wins in 5) and strong H2H record at Villa Park outweigh Fulham's solid defense; both sides score moderately, so a narrow home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Aston Villa win
1–0
36%
Villa's LWDWW upturn and home edge versus Fulham's 2W2D4L, though H2H shows tight games; Fulham's three clean sheets suggest few goals, so a narrow Villa win fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    6 models
  • 2–1
    3 models
  • 2–0
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.91 / 3.80 / 3.60
Aston Villa Market 49% · AI 100%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
Fulham Market 26% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Aston Villa vs Fulham

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1 · XI v Bournemouth, 28 Oct
Unai Emery
39 Brian Madjo
39 Madjo
53 George Hemmings
53 Hemmings
10 E. Buendía
10 Buendía
19 I. Mbaye
19 Mbaye
27 L. Goretzka
27 Goretzka
35 João Gomes
35 Gomes
22 I. Maatsen
22 Maatsen
5 T. Mings
5 Mings
4 T. Harwood-Bellis
4 Harwood-Bellis
26 L. Bogarde
26 Bogarde
40 M. Bizot
40 Bizot

Fulham

4-2-3-1 · XI v Crystal Palace, 28 Oct
Álvaro Arbeloa
9 Rodrigo Muniz
9 Muniz
17 A. Iwobi
17 Iwobi
8 César Palacios
8 Palacios
14 Oscar Bobb
14 Bobb
15 H. Larsson
15 Larsson
16 S. Berge
16 Berge
33 A. Robinson
33 Robinson
3 C. Bassey
3 Bassey
5 J. Andersen
5 Andersen
2 K. Tete
2 Tete
23 B. Lecomte
23 Lecomte

Season data

Premier League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-3
Goals
9-12
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Fulham

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-4
Goals
8-10
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Aston Villa

  • N. Jackson 4 G · 0 A · 7 apps
  • J. Manzambi 2 G · 2 A · 5 apps
  • J. McGinn 1 G · 3 A · 8 apps

Key players · Fulham

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Premier League

  1. 1 E. Haaland Manchester City 9
  2. 2 A. Isak Liverpool 6
  3. 3 João Pedro Chelsea 5
  4. 4 M. Tavernier Bournemouth 5
  5. 5 R. Cherki Manchester City 4
Venue Villa Park, Birmingham
Referee Samuel Barrott
New at Aston Villa I. Mbaye (Paris Saint Germain), T. Harwood-Bellis (Southampton), L. Goretzka (Bayern München)
New at Fulham Manuel Ángel (Real Madrid), D. Affengruber (Elche), H. Larsson (Eintracht Frankfurt)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Aston Villa

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.40 vs 0.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Aston Villa Fulham Expected total Lean
Corners 5.0 5.2 10.2 Under 10.5 56% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.8 1.6 3.4 Under 3.5 56% Ask AI
Shots 13.7 12.0 25.6 Over 25.5 50% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.4 3.1 8.5 Under 8.5 52% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Aston Villa
#9 · 11 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L W W W W
12 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Bournemouth 3-0 L
  • Manchester City 2-1 W
  • Viking 3-1 W
  • Newcastle 0-1 W
  • Fenerbahçe 6-0 W
Team news
A. Onana — Knee Injury M. Ruggeri — Muscle Injury A. Wan-Bissaka — Muscle Injury
Fulham
#15 · 8 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L W W L D
4 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Crystal Palace 0-1 L
  • Coventry 0-1 W
  • Hull City 1-0 W
  • Ipswich 2-1 L
  • Manchester United 1-1 D
Team news
R. Sessegnon — Red Card D. Affengruber — Injury E. Smith Rowe — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

AST 4 · D 0 · FUL 1

FUL VS AST
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 25, 2026
AST VS FUL
3-1
HOME WIN
Sep 28, 2025
AST VS FUL
1-0
HOME WIN
May 3, 2025
FUL VS AST
1-3
AWAY WIN
Oct 19, 2024
FUL VS AST
1-2
AWAY WIN
Feb 17, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Aston Villa, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Premier League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Aston Villa
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Fulham
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Aston Villa is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Aston Villa win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Aston Villa vs Fulham in Premier League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Aston Villa win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.