UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60% UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60%
MLB Sep 11, 2026 · 23:10 Not Started

Tampa Bay Rays
vs
Houston Astros.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Astros (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 4–3 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Tampa Bay Rays win 40%

4 / 10 models

Houston Astros win 60%

6 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Houston Astros win
4–5
56%
Houston won two of the three latest meetings, including a 2-0 result, but Tampa Bay's home venue should keep this competitive. With limited current-season information, a close Astros victory and moderate scoring are most plausible.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Tampa Bay Rays win
4–3
54%
Split recent series with both teams trading wins; Rays get slight home-field edge in a close, competitive matchup between two playoff-caliber rosters.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Houston Astros win
3–4
56%
Houston's balanced lineup and solid pitching depth give them a slight edge over Tampa Bay in a competitive, low-scoring matchup.
04
Grok 4.6
Tampa Bay Rays win
4–3
56%
Thin 2026 form beyond a mixed July H2H (Astros took two of three). Rays get a modest home edge; a tight 4-3 fits that series’ mostly low-run games.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Astros win
2–4
55%
Houston's recent head-to-head control includes two shutouts of Tampa Bay; Rays offense has been inconsistent in this matchup, supporting a moderate Astros road win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Astros win
4–5
62%
Astros won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings including both July 2026 matchups; road form and pitching edge favor Houston in this September contest.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Houston Astros win
2–4
62%
Houston won 2 of 3 in 2026 series; recent form slightly favors Astros.
08
Kimi K3
Houston Astros win
3–5
56%
Astros took 3 of last 5 H2H meetings including two July wins, while Rays' offense sputtered in three of those games; slight Houston edge despite road venue.
09
GLM 5.3
Tampa Bay Rays win
4–3
52%
Rays host Houston after mixed H2H; Astros won recent meetings narrowly, but home venue and Houston's low-scoring July outputs favor a tight Tampa Bay win.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Tampa Bay Rays win
4–2
55%
H2H in 2026 shows competitive games; Rays' home field edge tips a low-scoring match.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 4–3. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 4–3
    3 models
  • 4–5
    2 models
  • 2–4
    2 models
  • 4–2
    1 model
  • 3–4
    1 model
  • 3–5
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (4 - 3; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Astros win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Houston Astros

60% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 3.40 vs 3.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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