UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60% UNI 1-0 FCS · 57% REN 1-2 MAR · 58% VEN 1-1 FIO · 57% GEN 1-0 FRO · 57% BOR 3-1 SCP · 67% 189 1-1 VFB · 57% SCF 2-1 BOR · 59% FCA 1-2 BAY · 60% FSV 1-1 EIN · 57% CHE 2-0 HUL · 67% LIV 2-1 FUL · 65% AST 2-1 NOT · 62% BOU 1-1 BRE · 57% CRY 1-0 IPS · 60%
MLB Sep 11, 2026 · 23:05 Not Started

New York Yankees
vs
New York Mets.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Yankees (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 5–4 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Yankees win 60%

6 / 10 models

New York Mets win 40%

4 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Mets win
6–7
58%
The Mets won four of the five listed 2026 meetings, including three higher-scoring games, suggesting an offensive edge. Yankee Stadium keeps the Yankees competitive, but the available form points slightly toward New York's visitors.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Yankees win
5–4
55%
Recent H2H shows high-scoring, tight contests; Yankees get slight home-field edge in a close crosstown matchup with both offenses capable of producing runs.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Yankees win
5–4
56%
The Subway Series remains tightly contested, but the Yankees hold a slight home-field advantage at Yankee Stadium with their power bats edging a competitive, high-leverage bullpen battle.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Yankees win
5–4
56%
Yankees get a modest Yankee Stadium edge in this September Subway Series. 2026 H2H leans Mets, mostly earlier meetings, so a close mid-scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Mets win
4–5
58%
Mets' recent head-to-head edge (4 wins in last 5) and solid offence outweigh Yankees' home venue; expecting a tight, moderately high-scoring game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Mets win
4–6
52%
Mets won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings including two in May; limited context for September form keeps confidence moderate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New York Yankees win
5–4
55%
Home edge offsets Mets' recent H2H; close contests typical.
08
Kimi K3
New York Mets win
4–6
58%
Mets have won four of the last five meetings including both May 2026 games, showing a real matchup edge; Yankees' home field keeps it close but not enough to flip the recent pattern.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Yankees win
6–4
55%
Mets won 4 of 5 recent meetings, but Yankees host this Subway Series rematch; home venue edge and typical Yankees lineup power support a narrow 6-4 win.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
New York Yankees win
5–4
58%
H2H shows close, high-scoring games; home venue gives Yankees a slight edge in a competitive matchup.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 5–4. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 5–4
    5 models
  • 4–6
    2 models
  • 6–7
    1 model
  • 4–5
    1 model
  • 6–4
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Yankees vs New York Mets in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (5 - 4; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Yankees win, with vote shares roughly 60% / 40% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Yankees vs New York Mets, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Yankees

60% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 4.90 vs 4.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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