AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60%
MLB · Final Sep 16, 2026 · 23:10 Finished

New York Mets
vs
Baltimore Orioles.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles?

Final score: New York Mets 1–7 Baltimore Orioles. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick New York Mets to win (90%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 5–4.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before first pitch. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Mets (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 5–4 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Mets win 90%

9 / 10 models

Baltimore Orioles win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Mets win
5–4
51%
The Mets receive a modest home-field edge at Citi Field, while recent meetings show Baltimore capable of scoring against them. With no probable pitchers or current-form data provided, a close, moderately high-scoring Mets win is the cautious estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
Mets hold home-field edge late in season; H2H series split evenly, so slight venue advantage tips a close, moderately scored contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Mets win
5–4
56%
Citi Field conditions favor the Mets in a close interleague battle, with their bullpen depth edging Baltimore's powerful offense.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
Thin 2026 form data and mixed H2H; Mets get a modest Citi Field edge in a close, average-scoring late-season game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Mets win
5–4
52%
Mets have home-field edge and won the most recent Citi Field meeting; Orioles' bats keep it close, but New York's late-game edge at home should decide a tight contest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Mets win
5–3
58%
Mets hold home advantage at Citi Field; H2H is mixed but Orioles' recent dominance was in Baltimore. Moderate confidence given limited 2026 form data.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Baltimore Orioles win
5–6
58%
Orioles 3-2 in last 5 H2H; scored more at Mets' home in prior meetings.
08
Kimi K3
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
Recent H2H leaned Baltimore, but rosters turn over by 2026; Citi Field home edge and a tight matchup profile point to a narrow Mets win rather than a repeat away result.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Mets win
5–4
55%
H2H games are tight, low-scoring; Mets won the only prior meeting at Citi Field and hold home edge, but Orioles took two of three in 2025, so margin stays narrow.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Mets win
5–3
55%
Home advantage for Mets; H2H shows competitive, moderate-scoring games with margins often 1-3 runs.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 5–4. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 5–4
    7 models
  • 5–3
    2 models
  • 5–6
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Mets

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before first pitch.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 5.00 vs 4.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles in MLB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (5 - 4; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before first pitch.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Mets win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.