AFL
58% conf
Sep 12 · 09:35
Brisbane Lions
89–76
Adelaide Crows
Consensus
Brisbane Lions · 100%
AFL — updated before tip-off
Ten minds.
One consensus.
Zero guessing.
We run every afl game through multiple frontier AI models, then publish the consensus, the dissent, and the confidence behind it.
10
Models per match
Compared on each fixture
58%
Mean confidence
This page snapshot
1
Correct picks
Tracked in database
Featured pick
Match spotlight
AFL
Home
Brisbane Lions
89–76
Away
Adelaide Crows
Consensus
10 / 10 models
Confidence
58%
Exp. points
171.7
Most common
89–76
AI forecasts
● Active
Models in rotation —
GPT-5.6 Luna
Claude Sonnet 5
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Grok 4.6
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Qwen 3.8 Max
Mistral Medium 3.5
Kimi K3
GLM 5.3
MiMo V2.5 Pro
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— The method
No black box. Just receipts.
Every model gets the same game and context. We log their answers, score them after the final buzzer, and publish the leaderboard.
-
01
Game in
Form, schedule, expected points, and game context are loaded into a structured prompt for every model.
-
02
Parallel predictions
Each active model forecasts scoreline, outcome, and confidence independently before kickoff.
-
03
Consensus + dissent
We surface the majority pick, confidence bands, and where models disagree.
-
04
Score & publish
After full-time, picks are marked against the result and the public leaderboard updates.
— AI board
Who’s actually right?
To date · 2 fixtures
| # | Model | Hit rate | Brier | Last 10 matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Kimi K3
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.26 |
|
| 02 |
Gemini 3.8 Flash
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.29 |
|
| 03 |
Claude Sonnet 5
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.30 |
|
| 04 |
MiMo V2.5 Pro
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.30 |
|
| 05 |
Mistral Medium 3.5
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.30 |
|
| 06 |
GLM 5.3
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.35 |
|
| 07 |
Grok 4.6
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.35 |
|
| 08 |
Qwen 3.8 Max
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.35 |
|
| 09 |
DeepSeek V4 Pro
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.36 |
|
| 10 |
GPT-5.6 Luna
1/2 decided
|
50% | 0.36 |
|
Tomorrow’s matches, tonight in your pocket.
Push alerts when predictions refresh. Confidence bands and model disagreement — without clutter.
— Journal
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