Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 3 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 29, 2026 · 00:00
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Not Started
New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Denver Nuggets.
Quick answer
Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?
10 of 10 AI models pick Denver Nuggets to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 118–119 at 64% average confidence (medium).
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 69% of the time (29 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Denver Nuggets (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–119 at 64% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
New Orleans Pelicans win
0%
0 / 10 models
Denver Nuggets win
100%
10 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Denver Nuggets win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Denver Nuggets win
119–120
64%
Denver has won the recent head-to-head and owns the stronger efficiency profile, particularly in shooting and ball security. New Orleans gets four days of rest at home but enters 0-3 with a 119.3 defensive rating, favoring Denver in another high-tempo game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Denver Nuggets win
122–123
68%
Pelicans allow 119.3 per 100 and are 0-3 with a porous defense; Nuggets have Jokic/Murray clicking and just beat them days ago.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Denver Nuggets win
116–122
64%
Denver has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, including a high-scoring win days ago. New Orleans' leaky defense (allowing 119.3 per 100 possessions) struggles against Jokic-led offensive efficiency.
04
Grok 4.6
Denver Nuggets win
115–122
58%
Nuggets hold the H2H edge and better efficiency; Pelicans are 0-3 with a leaky defense. NOP rest and home pace keep it competitive, not a flip.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
118–119
62%
Denver has won four straight H2H meetings and holds a clearer offensive edge, while New Orleans remains winless at 0-3. Pelicans' poor defense and rest advantage narrow the margin but not the result.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Denver Nuggets win
122–123
68%
Denver dominates H2H (5 straight wins) and has superior efficiency on both ends; Pelicans' 0-3 start and 119.3 defensive rating per 100 outweigh home rest advantage.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Denver Nuggets win
118–119
68%
Denver’s elite offense and Jokic/Murray form outweigh NO’s rest; recent H2H and better efficiency support Nuggets.
08
Kimi K3
Denver Nuggets win
118–124
62%
Denver's superior defense (112.8 vs 119.3 rating) and 5-game H2H dominance outweigh New Orleans' home court; Pelicans' 0-3 start and defensive leaks persist despite extra rest.
09
GLM 5.3
Denver Nuggets win
121–122
63%
Denver has won five straight H2H meetings and owns a far better net rating; Pelicans are 0-3 with a 119.3 defensive rating despite 4 days rest and home venue, so Nuggets by single digits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
118–119
62%
Denver has won four straight over New Orleans, including 141-135 three days ago, and owns the better eFG and turnover profile. Pelicans' 0-3 defense (119.3 per 100) can't contain Jokic despite extra rest.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
3 of 9 models settled on 118–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–119
3 models
-
122–123
2 models
-
119–120
1 model
-
115–122
1 model
-
116–122
1 model
-
118–124
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Nuggets −1
AI total
237
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 3 games
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
20.7
PTS
19.2
3.3
REB
4.6
2.3
AST
4.2
33
MIN
31
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets · G
New Orleans Pelicans
0-3 · #13 Western Home 0-1 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-3 · Streak L3
4 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Denver Nuggets
1-1 · #8 Western Home 1-0 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 1-1 · Streak W1
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Cameron Johnson Nuggets · F24 min · 13.5 pts a game before
Season averages per game
New Orleans Pelicans
Denver Nuggets
116.6
Points
114.7
45.3%
Field goal %
47.8%
32.2%
3-point %
33.9%
78.6%
Free throw %
68.9%
47
Rebounds
47
23.9
Assists
26.1
17.3
Turnovers
15.1
12.6
Steals
8
5.4
Blocks
4.9
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pelicans | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 108.7 | 112.9 |
| Defensive rating | 119.3 | 112.8 |
| Net rating | -10.7 | +0.1 |
| Pace | 107.3 | 101.6 |
| Effective FG % | 51.3 | 54.5 |
| Turnover % | 16.1 | 14.9 |
| Free throw rate | 35.1 | 37.9 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 37.2 | 39.7 |
Key players · New Orleans Pelicans
-
Zion WilliamsonF 20.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.3 ast
-
Dejounte MurrayG 20.3 pts · 5 reb · 6.3 ast -
Saddiq BeyG 15.7 pts · 4 reb · 1.3 ast
Averages over the last 3 games.
Key players · Denver Nuggets
-
Jamal MurrayG 19.2 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.2 ast
-
NJ
Nikola JokicC 18.4 pts · 9 reb · 8 ast
-
Aaron GordonF 15 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
New Orleans Pelicans
LLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 124.7 / 128
- Total over 220.5
- 3/3
- Total over 230.5
- 3/3
- Scored 110+
- 3/3
- Won by 6+
- 0/3
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 114.7 / 114.6
- Total over 220.5
- 5/7
- Total over 230.5
- 3/7
- Scored 110+
- 5/7
- Won by 6+
- 3/7
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Saddiq Bey by User:Zafer (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jamal Murray by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Aaron Gordon by Reggie Hildred (CC BY-SA 4.0), Cameron Johnson by YES Network (CC BY 3.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Dejounte Murray
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 3 games
Saddiq Bey
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 3 games
Jamal Murray
Denver Nuggets · G · last 6 games
Aaron Gordon
Denver Nuggets · F · last 6 games
Nikola Jokic
Denver Nuggets · C · last 7 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 118, Denver Nuggets 119: a projected total of 237 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 3; Denver Nuggets games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 7.
- What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?
- The consensus has Denver Nuggets winning by 1 points (119–118), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?
- Leading scorers over the last 3 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (20.7 pts, 3.3 reb, 2.3 ast), Dejounte Murray (20.3 pts, 5 reb, 6.3 ast). Denver Nuggets: Jamal Murray (19.2 pts, 4.6 reb, 4.2 ast), Nikola Jokic (18.4 pts, 9 reb, 8 ast).
- Is New Orleans Pelicans or Denver Nuggets on a back-to-back?
- New Orleans Pelicans have had 4 days of rest; Denver Nuggets have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Denver Nuggets
100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 64% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 118.70 vs 121.30
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Denver Nuggets win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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