Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz · F · last 1 games
NBA · Regular Season
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Finished
Utah Jazz
vs
Denver Nuggets.
Quick answer
Who will win Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?
Final score: Utah Jazz 106–117 Denver Nuggets. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Denver Nuggets to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–119.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Denver Nuggets (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–119 at 33% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Utah Jazz win
20%
2 / 10 models
Denver Nuggets win
80%
8 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Denver Nuggets win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Denver Nuggets win
116–117
58%
Utah’s 109-97 preseason win in Denver shows upset potential, but Denver’s stronger recent regular-season head-to-head record and offensive quality make the Nuggets a modest favorite despite Utah’s home court.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Denver Nuggets win
113–119
52%
Preseason game with rotating lineups limits confidence, but Denver's core talent and recent head-to-head dominance edge Utah in a close contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Denver Nuggets win
106–112
58%
After falling to Utah earlier in preseason, Denver's deeper rotation should bounce back with better offensive execution and sharper defensive rotations.
04
Grok 4.7
Utah Jazz win
112–105
55%
Jazz just beat Denver 109-97 on the road in preseason; Delta Center plus that result favors a modest home win in another exhibition.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
112–113
55%
Denver's recent head-to-head edge and stronger overall roster outweigh Utah's home court, though Jazz won the last meeting and preseason rotations are uncertain.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Denver Nuggets win
108–115
58%
Denver won 3 of last 4 regular-season meetings convincingly; preseason context limits certainty but Nuggets' roster depth gives them the edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Denver Nuggets win
118–119
62%
Denver won 4 of last 5, including recent preseason game; Jazz home edge offset by Nuggets' consistent scoring.
08
Kimi K3
Denver Nuggets win
112–118
58%
Denver won four of the last five meetings with superior offensive firepower; Utah's recent home win was preseason with likely rotated rosters, so Nuggets' quality should prevail in a high-scoring game.
09
GLM 5.3
Utah Jazz win
108–102
52%
Preseason rotations make this uncertain, but Utah won at Denver 109-97 three days earlier and hosts at Delta Center; Denver's regulars may sit more, so a modest home edge.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
118–119
62%
Denver's recent H2H dominance (4-1) and superior regular-season form outweigh Utah's preseason home win; expect a competitive game with Denver's offense prevailing.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 118–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–119
2 models
-
116–117
1 model
-
113–119
1 model
-
112–113
1 model
-
108–115
1 model
-
112–105
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Nuggets −1
AI total
237
Models picking
80%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 1 games
Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz · F
17
PTS
14
2
REB
3
0
AST
1
14
MIN
20
Julian Strawther
Denver Nuggets · G
Utah Jazz
1-4 · #13 Western Home 1-3 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 1-4 · Streak L3
2 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Denver Nuggets
2-2 · #9 Western Home 1-1 · Away 1-1 · Last ten 2-2 · Streak W1
2 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Utah Jazz
Denver Nuggets
112.8
Points
114.8
45.9%
Field goal %
48.3%
34.8%
3-point %
36.6%
76.4%
Free throw %
72.7%
46.8
Rebounds
44.3
25.4
Assists
27.4
17
Turnovers
15.5
6.9
Steals
9.1
5.6
Blocks
4.8
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Jazz | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 108.6 | 113.8 |
| Defensive rating | 93.4 | 108.1 |
| Net rating | +15.2 | +5.8 |
| Pace | 103.8 | 100.9 |
| Effective FG % | 52.7 | 55.6 |
| Turnover % | 16.4 | 15.4 |
| Free throw rate | 30.7 | 35.4 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 39.4 | 39.7 |
Key players · Utah Jazz
-
Lauri MarkkanenF 17 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
-
Keyonte GeorgeG 15 pts · 4 reb · 3 ast -
BH
B. HinsonF 14 pts · 6 reb · 0 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Key players · Denver Nuggets
-
Julian StrawtherG 14 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast
-
Aaron GordonF 12 pts · 4 reb · 0 ast -
Cameron JohnsonF 8 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Last ten games
Utah Jazz
W
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 109 / 97
- Total over 220.5
- 0/1
- Total over 230.5
- 0/1
- Scored 110+
- 0/1
- Won by 6+
- 1/1
Denver Nuggets
L
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 97 / 109
- Total over 220.5
- 0/1
- Total over 230.5
- 0/1
- Scored 110+
- 0/1
- Won by 6+
- 0/1
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Lauri Markkanen by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Keyonte George by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Julian Strawther by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online (CC BY 2.0), Aaron Gordon by Reggie Hildred (CC BY-SA 4.0), Cameron Johnson by YES Network (CC BY 3.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G · last 1 games
B. Hinson
Utah Jazz · F · last 1 games
Julian Strawther
Denver Nuggets · G · last 1 games
Aaron Gordon
Denver Nuggets · F · last 1 games
Cameron Johnson
Denver Nuggets · F · last 1 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Utah Jazz 118, Denver Nuggets 119: a projected total of 237 points. Utah Jazz games went over 230.5 in 0 of the last 1; Denver Nuggets games went over 230.5 in 0 of the last 1.
- What is the AI spread pick for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?
- The consensus has Denver Nuggets winning by 1 points (119–118), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?
- Leading scorers over the last 1 games. Utah Jazz: Lauri Markkanen (17 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast), Keyonte George (15 pts, 4 reb, 3 ast). Denver Nuggets: Julian Strawther (14 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast), Aaron Gordon (12 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast).
- Is Utah Jazz or Denver Nuggets on a back-to-back?
- Utah Jazz have had 2 days of rest; Denver Nuggets have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Denver Nuggets
80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 33% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 112.30 vs 113.90
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Denver Nuggets win, with vote shares roughly 20% / 80% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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