Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F · last 6 games
NBA · Regular Season
Moda Center, Portland
Not Started
Portland Trail Blazers
vs
San Antonio Spurs.
Quick answer
Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
8 of 10 AI models pick Portland Trail Blazers to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 118–112 at 59% average confidence (medium).
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Portland Trail Blazers (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Portland Trail Blazers win
80%
8 / 10 models
San Antonio Spurs win
20%
2 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Portland Trail Blazers win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–111
58%
Portland’s stronger early offense and defensive efficiency, plus home court, offset both teams playing a back-to-back. San Antonio’s Wembanyama-led interior presence and faster pace keep this competitive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–108
60%
Portland is hot (2-0, top West seed) with strong offensive efficiency; both teams on back-to-backs, but Blazers' deeper recent scoring edge favors them at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–110
58%
Both teams play on the second night of a back-to-back, but Portland's hot offensive start and home advantage give them the edge over San Antonio's turnover-prone offense.
04
Grok 4.7
Portland Trail Blazers win
117–108
62%
Portland is 2-0 with elite early defense (95.6/100) and 120.7 scoring vs Spurs' 1-2 and weaker 106.7 offense. Both on B2B; home form outweighs recent H2H.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
112–113
58%
Spurs have won four of last five H2H, including three straight by double digits, and Wembanyama's rim protection can slow Portland's offense. Both teams on back-to-back, but San Antonio's defense rates better.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Portland Trail Blazers win
116–107
62%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 per 100) and 2-0 start outweigh Spurs' H2H edge; both on back-to-backs limits scoring but Blazers' superior metrics prevail at home.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
57%
Portland is 3-0 at Moda with 117.7 offensive rating and Avdija hot; both on back-to-back so rest neutral despite Spurs H2H edge.
08
Kimi K3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
58%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 per 100) and 2-0 form edge San Antonio's 1-2 start; both on back-to-back, but Blazers' home scoring (120.6 ppg) outpaces Spurs' 113.5.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
113–114
53%
Spurs dominated recent H2H and Wembanyama's inside presence trouble Portland; both teams on back-to-backs, so home edge is muted in a close, moderate-pace game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Portland Trail Blazers win
114–106
62%
Portland's 2-0 start, elite per-100 defense (95.6) and Avdija/Lillard form outweigh Spurs' turnover issues; both on back-to-backs, but Moda Center and Portland's scoring edge decide it.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–112
2 models
-
116–111
1 model
-
116–108
1 model
-
112–113
1 model
-
116–107
1 model
-
114–106
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Blazers −6
AI total
230
Models picking
80%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 5 games
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F
23
PTS
25
6.8
REB
11.4
5.6
AST
2.8
31
MIN
32
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
Portland Trail Blazers
3-0 · #2 Western Home 1-0 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-0 · Streak W3
Back-to-back: played last night
· 3 games in 7 days
San Antonio Spurs
3-2 · #7 Western Home 1-2 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W3
Back-to-back: played last night
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Ja Morant Blazers · G26 min · 15.8 pts a game before
Season averages per game
Portland Trail Blazers
San Antonio Spurs
120.3
Points
115.5
47.8%
Field goal %
45.2%
34.1%
3-point %
34.9%
72.5%
Free throw %
79%
47.6
Rebounds
47.5
28.6
Assists
26.8
15.9
Turnovers
17.1
7.7
Steals
9.4
5.9
Blocks
6.5
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Blazers | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 114.8 | 108.9 |
| Defensive rating | 102.4 | 103.7 |
| Net rating | +12.4 | +5.2 |
| Pace | 104.7 | 106.1 |
| Effective FG % | 56.1 | 52.7 |
| Turnover % | 15.1 | 16.1 |
| Free throw rate | 30.1 | 27.8 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 49 | 43 |
Key players · Portland Trail Blazers
-
Deni AvdijaF 23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
-
Damian LillardG 19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast -
Ja MorantG 15.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 5.5 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · San Antonio Spurs
-
Victor WembanyamaF 25 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.8 ast
-
Stephon CastleG 17.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.4 ast -
DH
D. HarperG 17.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 4.6 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
Portland Trail Blazers
WLWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 118.8 / 107.3
- Total over 220.5
- 3/6
- Total over 230.5
- 2/6
- Scored 110+
- 5/6
- Won by 6+
- 5/6
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 116.6 / 110
- Total over 220.5
- 4/5
- Total over 230.5
- 1/5
- Scored 110+
- 4/5
- Won by 6+
- 3/5
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Deni Avdija by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0), Damian Lillard by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Ja Morant by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Damian Lillard
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 6 games
Ja Morant
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 5 games
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F · last 5 games
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
D. Harper
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Portland Trail Blazers 118, San Antonio Spurs 112: a projected total of 230 points. Portland Trail Blazers games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6; San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5.
- What is the AI spread pick for Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
- The consensus has Portland Trail Blazers winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs?
- Leading scorers over the last 5 games. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija (23 pts, 6.8 reb, 5.6 ast), Damian Lillard (19.2 pts, 4 reb, 3.6 ast). San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (25 pts, 11.4 reb, 2.8 ast), Stephon Castle (17.4 pts, 5.8 reb, 5.4 ast).
- Is Portland Trail Blazers or San Antonio Spurs on a back-to-back?
- Portland Trail Blazers are on the second night of a back-to-back; San Antonio Spurs are on the second night of a back-to-back.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Portland Trail Blazers
80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 115.60 vs 110.10
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Portland Trail Blazers win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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