FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
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NBA · Regular Season Smoothie King Center, New Orleans Not Started

New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Atlanta Hawks.

Quick answer

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks?

10 of 10 AI models pick Atlanta Hawks to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 110–119 at 66% average confidence (high).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 66% of the time (53 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Atlanta Hawks (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 110–119 at 66% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where New Orleans Pelicans and Atlanta Hawks stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New Orleans Pelicans win 0%

0 / 10 models

Atlanta Hawks win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Atlanta Hawks win
119–120
68%
Atlanta’s stronger efficiency profile, lower turnover rate, and 2-1 start contrast with New Orleans’ 0-3 record and 119.3 defensive rating. Both teams have rest, while the Hawks’ balanced creation should offset the Pelicans’ home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Atlanta Hawks win
121–122
68%
Hawks are 2-1 with strong efficiency differential while Pelicans are winless and allowing 128 ppg over their last three; H2H also favors Atlanta.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atlanta Hawks win
115–122
62%
New Orleans has struggled defensively, allowing 119.3 points per 100 possessions during an 0-3 start. Atlanta's efficient offense, led by Jalen Johnson, holds the edge in shot-making and pace.
04
Grok 4.7
Atlanta Hawks win
110–119
62%
Hawks 2-1 with far better net rating (116/105 vs 109/119) and recent H2H wins; Pelicans 0-3 at home still leak points despite Zion/Murray scoring.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
119–120
68%
Atlanta's 2-1 start, stronger net rating, and four straight H2H wins outweigh New Orleans' 0-3 form and home court. Hawks' efficient offense and lower turnover rate should control the pace.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atlanta Hawks win
122–123
68%
Hawks dominate on net rating (+10.9 vs -10.6), H2H (4 of last 5), and Pelicans are 0-3 with poor defense; Atlanta's ball security and efficiency should control this game.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Atlanta Hawks win
110–119
66%
Hawks own matchup winning 4 of last 5, better net rating and eFG. Pelicans 0-4 with Murray absence hurting offense at Smoothie King Center.
08
Kimi K3
Atlanta Hawks win
114–122
68%
Hawks' superior offense (116.1 ORtg vs 108.7) and Pelicans' defensive collapse (119.3 DRtg, 0-3 start) outweigh home court; Atlanta won four straight H2H meetings.
09
GLM 5.3
Atlanta Hawks win
110–119
60%
Hawks' superior defense (105.2 per 100) and ball movement beats winless Pelicans; Atlanta won four straight H2H meetings, and Zion's 20.7 ppg isn't enough to offset New Orleans' 119.3 defensive rating.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
118–119
68%
Atlanta's 116.1 offense and 105.2 defense outclass New Orleans' 0-3 start and 119.3 defensive rating; Hawks won four straight H2H and Jalen Johnson's form drives their attack despite equal rest.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 9 models settled on 110–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 110–119
    3 models
  • 119–120
    2 models
  • 121–122
    1 model
  • 122–123
    1 model
  • 118–119
    1 model
  • 115–122
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Hawks −9
AI total
229
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 5 games
Zion Williamson
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
21.8 PTS 19
4.2 REB 8.4
2.2 AST 9.2
32 MIN 35
Jalen Johnson
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F

New Orleans Pelicans

0-4 · #14 Western
Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days

Atlanta Hawks

2-3 · #7 Eastern
Home 0-2 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak L3
2 days of rest · 4 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte Murray Pelicans · G
    32 min · 17.8 pts a game before

Season averages per game

New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks
115.4 Points 120.7
46.4% Field goal % 45.3%
31.5% 3-point % 35.6%
77% Free throw % 76.2%
45.3 Rebounds 45.6
24.3 Assists 31
17.8 Turnovers 13.6
13.3 Steals 9.6
5.2 Blocks 4

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

PelicansHawks
Offensive rating 107.5 114.1
Defensive rating 113.2 108.2
Net rating -5.7 +5.9
Pace 107.4 105.9
Effective FG % 52.2 53.6
Turnover % 16.6 12.9
Free throw rate 34.6 25.7
3-point attempt rate 36.8 46.4

Key players · New Orleans Pelicans

  • Zion Williamson
    Zion WilliamsonF 21.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast
  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte MurrayG 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
  • TI
    Trey Murphy IIIF 14.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Atlanta Hawks

  • Jalen Johnson
    Jalen JohnsonF 19 pts · 8.4 reb · 9.2 ast
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker
    Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG 18.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.8 ast
  • Aaron Wiggins
    Aaron WigginsG 15.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.4 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

New Orleans Pelicans WLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
119.4 / 121.6
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
4/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
1/5
Atlanta Hawks WLLLWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
119.2 / 114.5
Total over 220.5
5/6
Total over 230.5
3/6
Scored 110+
6/6
Won by 6+
2/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Jalen Johnson by Unknown authorUnknown author (CC BY 4.0), Nickeil Alexander-Walker by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Aaron Wiggins by SneakinDeacon (CC BY-SA 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o21.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
22
23
17
25
22
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
5
1
5
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
29
30
20
32
30
Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Points o17.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
23
16
22
10
Rebounds o5.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
3
6
6
8
Assists o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
7
6
6
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o29.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
33
28
34
23
TI

Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o14.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
11
9
26
6
19
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
6
6
1
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
16
18
36
10
27
3-pointers made o2.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
2
1
4
2
2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
Points o20.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
31
14
18
12
23
25
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
38
22
27
17
27
29
3-pointers made o3.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
5
2
4
2
5
4
Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks · F · last 6 games
Points o19.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
20
19
26
21
12
17
Rebounds o9.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
14
7
9
9
9
8
Assists o8.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
6
8
16
4
11
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o37.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
40
34
51
34
32
32
Aaron Wiggins

Aaron Wiggins

Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
Points o15.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
16
19
16
12
10
20
Rebounds o4.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
1
5
4
4
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
19
21
23
19
17
30
3-pointers made o3.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
3
4
2
2
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 110, Atlanta Hawks 119: a projected total of 229 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Atlanta Hawks games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks?
The consensus has Atlanta Hawks winning by 9 points (119–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks?
Leading scorers over the last 5 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (21.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.2 ast), Dejounte Murray (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 6 ast). Atlanta Hawks: Jalen Johnson (19 pts, 8.4 reb, 9.2 ast), Nickeil Alexander-Walker (18.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.8 ast).
Is New Orleans Pelicans or Atlanta Hawks on a back-to-back?
New Orleans Pelicans have had 2 days of rest; Atlanta Hawks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Atlanta Hawks

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
High confidence

Mean 66% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 115.80 vs 120.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (110 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atlanta Hawks win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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