Bennedict Mathurin
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 1 games
NBA · Regular Season
Kaseya Center, Miami
Finished
Miami Heat
vs
New Orleans Pelicans.
Quick answer
Who will win Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans?
Final score: Miami Heat 128–118 New Orleans Pelicans. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Miami Heat to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 108–102.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Miami Heat (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 108–102 at 36% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Miami Heat win
100%
10 / 10 models
New Orleans Pelicans win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Miami Heat win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Miami Heat win
112–105
58%
Miami won the last five listed meetings and hosts again, supporting a modest home edge. As a preseason matchup with uncertain rotations, expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring game rather than a decisive margin.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Miami Heat win
108–102
52%
Preseason matchup with rotations and rest uncertain; Miami has won recent head-to-head meetings and holds home court at Kaseya Center.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Miami Heat win
107–101
58%
In preseason play, rotation depth and defensive structure favor Miami at home, where they have consistently controlled recent head-to-head encounters against New Orleans.
04
Grok 4.7
Miami Heat win
117–108
58%
Heat won the last five H2H meetings, including at Kaseya Center. Preseason rotations cap the edge, so a moderate home win is the best guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Miami Heat win
116–108
62%
Miami has won four straight in this matchup, including two decisive home wins, and opens preseason at Kaseya Center. New Orleans' recent form in this series has been poor, though preseason rotations add uncertainty.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Miami Heat win
110–104
58%
Preseason game limits certainty, but Miami dominated recent H2H matchups and Kaseya Center provides home familiarity. Expect moderate scoring with Heat edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Miami Heat win
108–102
58%
Preseason form uncertain; Heat's home court and recent H2H dominance slightly favor them.
08
Kimi K3
Miami Heat win
114–108
58%
Preseason at Kaseya Center; Heat have won five straight H2H meetings and typically control this matchup, though exhibition rotations keep confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
Miami Heat win
110–102
56%
Heat won all five recent meetings, including twice over New Orleans in 2026, and host at Kaseya Center; preseason rotation uncertainty keeps confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Miami Heat win
115–108
62%
Miami's strong recent H2H record and home venue advantage suggest a win, but preseason context and Pelicans' potential for a high-scoring game keep the margin moderate.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 108–102. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
108–102
2 models
-
112–105
1 model
-
116–108
1 model
-
110–104
1 model
-
115–108
1 model
-
117–108
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Heat −6
AI total
210
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Miami Heat
1-4 · #12 Eastern Home 0-3 · Away 1-1 · Last ten 1-4 · Streak W1
New Orleans Pelicans
0-4 · #14 Western Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
119.6
Points
115.4
46.7%
Field goal %
46.4%
34.1%
3-point %
31.5%
70.4%
Free throw %
77%
44.4
Rebounds
45.3
29.1
Assists
24.3
14.2
Turnovers
17.8
8.6
Steals
13.3
5.1
Blocks
5.2
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Heat | Pelicans | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 110.8 | 107.5 |
| Defensive rating | – | 102.4 |
| Net rating | – | +5.1 |
| Pace | 107.9 | 107.4 |
| Effective FG % | 53.9 | 52.2 |
| Turnover % | 13.2 | 16.6 |
| Free throw rate | 27.1 | 34.6 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 42.2 | 36.8 |
Key players · Miami Heat
Key players · New Orleans Pelicans
-
Bennedict MathurinG 13 pts · 2 reb · 5 ast
-
JF
J. FearsG 12 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast
-
Zion WilliamsonF 11 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Last ten games
New Orleans Pelicans
W
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 116 / 110
- Total over 220.5
- 1/1
- Total over 230.5
- 0/1
- Scored 110+
- 1/1
- Won by 6+
- 1/1
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Bennedict Mathurin by MGoBlog (CC BY-SA 2.0), Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
J. Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 1 games
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 1 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Miami Heat 108, New Orleans Pelicans 102: a projected total of 210 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 220.5 in 1 of the last 1.
- What is the AI spread pick for Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- The consensus has Miami Heat winning by 6 points (108–102), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Miami Heat
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 36% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 111.70 vs 104.80
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (108 - 102; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Miami Heat win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.