EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
NBA · Regular Season Ball Arena, Denver Finished

Denver Nuggets
vs
New Orleans Pelicans.

Quick answer

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Final score: Denver Nuggets 141–135 New Orleans Pelicans. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Denver Nuggets to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 119–108.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Denver Nuggets (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 119–108 at 70% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Denver Nuggets win 100%

10 / 10 models

New Orleans Pelicans win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Denver Nuggets win
119–108
74%
Denver combines home-court advantage, stronger season offense and superior shooting with two days’ rest, while New Orleans enters on a back-to-back and carries higher turnover and weaker efficiency indicators.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Denver Nuggets win
120–108
72%
Nuggets rested at home with better offensive efficiency; Pelicans on second night of back-to-back face a scoring dip, and recent head-to-heads favor Denver.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Denver Nuggets win
119–108
72%
Denver has two days of rest and holds altitude advantage at Ball Arena against a Pelicans team playing on the second night of a back-to-back with higher turnover rates.
04
Grok 4.7
Denver Nuggets win
119–108
68%
Denver’s 115.1 offense per 100 and two days’ rest beat New Orleans’ back-to-back, 43% FG, and 17% turnovers; Ball Arena plus recent H2H support a solid home margin.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
117–109
68%
Denver has rest advantage and better shooting metrics, while New Orleans is on a back-to-back with turnover issues. H2H strongly favors Denver, though Pelicans' pace should keep it competitive.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Denver Nuggets win
119–107
73%
Denver's superior eFG (56.5% vs 49.7%), two-day rest edge over back-to-back Pelicans, and 5-0 H2H dominance at home support a comfortable home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Denver Nuggets win
116–108
62%
Denver’s offense and home edge outweigh Pelicans’ back-to-back fatigue and lower efficiency.
08
Kimi K3
Denver Nuggets win
122–110
72%
Denver's superior offense (115.6 ppg vs 110.5), home altitude advantage, and New Orleans' back-to-back fatigue create a clear mismatch. Pelicans' 17.2% turnover rate plays into Denver's transition game.
09
GLM 5.3
Denver Nuggets win
119–107
68%
Denver's superior offense (115.1 vs 104.4 per 100), five straight H2H wins, and New Orleans on a back-to-back with a 17.2% turnover rate favor a comfortable home win at Ball Arena.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Denver Nuggets win
118–108
67%
Denver's 115.1 offense and 2 days rest face a Pelicans team on a back-to-back with 17.2% turnovers; Nuggets won the last five H2H and Zion's recent form is limited.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 9 models settled on 119–108. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 119–108
    3 models
  • 119–107
    2 models
  • 120–108
    1 model
  • 116–108
    1 model
  • 117–109
    1 model
  • 118–108
    1 model

Live game centre

Final
Denver Nuggets
141–135
New Orleans Pelicans
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT T
Denver Nuggets 2433323715 141
New Orleans Pelicans 383535189 135
24
38
Q1
33
35
Q2
32
35
Q3
37
18
Q4
15
9
OT
Pro

Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Nuggets −11
AI total
227
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
Aaron Gordon
Aaron Gordon
Denver Nuggets · F
17.8 PTS 14.8
5.8 REB 3
0.8 AST 1.6
20 MIN 24
Zion Williamson
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F

Denver Nuggets

2-2 · #9 Western
Home 1-1 · Away 1-1 · Last ten 2-2 · Streak W1
2 days of rest · 1 games in 7 days

New Orleans Pelicans

0-4 · #14 Western
Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
Back-to-back: played last night · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Season averages per game

Denver Nuggets New Orleans Pelicans
114.8 Points 115.4
48.3% Field goal % 46.4%
36.6% 3-point % 31.5%
72.7% Free throw % 77%
44.3 Rebounds 45.3
27.4 Assists 24.3
15.5 Turnovers 17.8
9.1 Steals 13.3
4.8 Blocks 5.2

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

NuggetsPelicans
Offensive rating 113.8 107.5
Defensive rating 110.2 106.1
Net rating +3.6 +1.3
Pace 100.9 107.4
Effective FG % 55.6 52.2
Turnover % 15.4 16.6
Free throw rate 35.4 34.6
3-point attempt rate 39.7 36.8

Key players · Denver Nuggets

  • Aaron Gordon
    Aaron GordonF 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.8 ast
  • Julian Strawther
    Julian StrawtherG 13 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast
  • NJ
    Nikola JokicC 12.6 pts · 6.8 reb · 7 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Key players · New Orleans Pelicans

  • Zion Williamson
    Zion WilliamsonF 14.8 pts · 3 reb · 1.6 ast
  • Saddiq Bey
    Saddiq BeyG 13.6 pts · 4 reb · 0.6 ast
  • JF
    J. FearsG 11.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

Denver Nuggets LWLWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
110.3 / 111.2
Total over 220.5
4/6
Total over 230.5
2/6
Scored 110+
4/6
Won by 6+
2/6
New Orleans Pelicans LLWWLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
113.5 / 114
Total over 220.5
4/6
Total over 230.5
3/6
Scored 110+
4/6
Won by 6+
1/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Aaron Gordon by Reggie Hildred (CC BY-SA 4.0), Julian Strawther by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online (CC BY 2.0), Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Saddiq Bey by User:Zafer (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jamal Murray by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets · F · last 5 games
Points o16.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
12
18
25
8
20
Rebounds o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
5
6
6
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o22.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
16
23
31
16
27
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
2
3
1
3
Julian Strawther

Julian Strawther

Denver Nuggets · G · last 4 games
Points o13.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
14
15
13
11
Pts + Reb + Ast o17.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
18
22
15
13
3-pointers made o2.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
1
3
3
3
Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray

Denver Nuggets · G · last 5 games
Points o11.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
13
14
21
6
Rebounds o4.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
2
3
4
3
10
Assists o3.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
3
5
1
6
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o19.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
9
21
19
30
19
Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 3 games
Points o15.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
6
23
16
Rebounds o4.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
4
3
6
Assists o6.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
6
7
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o25.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
16
33
28
Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 6 games
Points o14.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
11
8
10
11
22
23
Pts + Reb + Ast o18.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
16
10
11
17
29
30
Saddiq Bey

Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 6 games
Points o12.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
5
12
4
19
13
20
Pts + Reb + Ast o16.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
7
17
5
27
18
24
3-pointers made o1.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
0
2
0
3
2
3

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Denver Nuggets 119, New Orleans Pelicans 108: a projected total of 227 points. Denver Nuggets games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6; New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?
The consensus has Denver Nuggets winning by 11 points (119–108), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Denver Nuggets: Aaron Gordon (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 0.8 ast), Julian Strawther (13 pts, 2.7 reb, 1 ast). New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (14.8 pts, 3 reb, 1.6 ast), Saddiq Bey (13.6 pts, 4 reb, 0.6 ast).
Is Denver Nuggets or New Orleans Pelicans on a back-to-back?
Denver Nuggets have had 2 days of rest; New Orleans Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Denver Nuggets

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
High confidence

Mean 70% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 118.80 vs 108.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (119 - 108; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Denver Nuggets win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.