VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
FA Cup · 1/128-finals York Community Stadium, York Not Started

York
vs
Northampton.

Quick answer

Who will win York vs Northampton?

2 of 10 AI models pick Northampton to win (20%). A draw is in play: 8 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 40% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → York form Northampton form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 40% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

York win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 80%

8 / 10 models

Northampton win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
34%
The teams drew 1-1 recently at York, while the limited longer-term meetings offer no strong current edge. With little form or squad information, another tight, balanced cup match is the safest exact-score estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Draw
1–1
40%
Recent meeting also finished 1-1; Northampton sit higher league tier but FA Cup first-round ties between near-neighbours are often tight and low-scoring.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Northampton win
1–2
56%
Northampton possess superior quality from playing higher in the league ladder, giving them the edge over non-league York despite the home advantage.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
42%
Same venue 1-1 in October 2026; early FA Cup round with thin form data. Tight, low-scoring replay of that meeting is the best guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Recent H2H ended 1-1 and both sides look evenly matched; York's home edge is modest, while Northampton have historically been solid here.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Northampton win
0–1
32%
Northampton's quality edge and H2H dominance (3 wins in 5) should prevail, but recent 1-1 at this venue and FA Cup home motivation suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Draw
1–1
42%
Same sides drew 1-1 at York on Oct 10; cup tie at York Community Stadium looks even again.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
40%
Recent H2H just four weeks ago finished 1-1 at this venue; cup tie between closely matched sides with little current form data points to another tight, low-scoring stalemate.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
27%
These sides drew 1-1 at the same venue just weeks ago, suggesting evenly matched teams; FA Cup first-round ties with a League One visitor at a lower-league side often stay tight.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
34%
Recent 1-1 in October and two prior draws in H2H suggest tight, low-scoring contest; Northampton's historical edge is dated, and York's home venue levels it. Limited form data keeps confidence modest.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    8 models
  • 0–1
    1 model
  • 1–2
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

80% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 40% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

York
—
Last 5
L L W D D
7 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Grimsby 5-2 L
  • Barnet 3-1 L
  • Port Vale 2-0 W
  • Accrington ST 1-1 D
  • Newport County 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Northampton
—
Last 5
D W L W D
6 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Accrington ST 1-1 D
  • Colchester 2-0 W
  • Tranmere 0-1 L
  • Grimsby 0-2 W
  • York 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

YOR 0 · D 1 · NOR 0

YOR VS NOR
1-1
DRAW
Oct 10, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with York, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 80% — tight FA Cup games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

York
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~80%
implied lean
Northampton
~20%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When York is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Northampton win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on York vs Northampton in FA Cup? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Northampton win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 80% / 20% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win York vs Northampton, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.