EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11 Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen Match Finished · 90'

NEC Nijmegen
vs
Groningen.

Quick answer

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen. Before kickoff, 5 of 10 AI models pick Groningen to win (50%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → NEC Nijmegen form Groningen form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Groningen (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 43% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eredivisie table Where NEC Nijmegen and Groningen stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

NEC Nijmegen win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 50%

5 / 10 models

Groningen win 50%

5 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
29%
NEC’s five-match run is draw-heavy at home, while Groningen have scored in all nine league games and possess stronger attacking numbers. The contrasting form and recent close meetings support a balanced 1-1.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Groningen win
1–2
48%
Groningen's attack (van Bergen, Willumsson) outscoring NEC this season, better recent form (DDWWL vs DLDDD); NEC lacks clean sheets and defensive solidity at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
NEC Nijmegen has drawn four of their last five matches and lacks clean sheets, while Groningen regularly scores. A tight, balanced encounter points toward another stalemate.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
38%
NEC’s last five are almost all draws with no clean sheets; Groningen always score but Goffertstadion H2H favours the hosts enough to cancel a win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Groningen win
1–2
46%
Groningen have scored in every match and carry stronger form, while NEC are winless in five. H2H shows Groningen won this fixture last season, though NEC's home edge keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
35%
NEC's extreme draw tendency (4 draws in last 5) dominates; both teams concede regularly with zero/one clean sheets, making 1-1 the most fitting line.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
NEC solid at home, Groningen inconsistent; both score often, H2H mixed. Draw fits form and venue.
08
Kimi K3
Groningen win
1–2
42%
Groningen carry superior attacking form with van Bergen and Willumsson scoring freely, while NEC's winless run and defensive leaks suggest the visitors edge a tight contest despite the venue.
09
GLM 5.3
Groningen win
1–2
52%
NEC are winless in five (DLDDD) with 16 conceded and no clean sheets, while Groningen have scored in every game and boast Van Bergen and Willumsson with 6 goals each. Groningen won the last meeting 2-1.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Groningen win
1–2
38%
Groningen's attack (22 goals, van Bergen/Willumsson) outpaces NEC's winless run of five; NEC leak late goals and lack clean sheets. H2H favors Groningen recently, though NEC's home form keeps this tight.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    5 models
  • 1–2
    5 models

Live match centre

Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
Clement Bischoff 57'
Noe Lebreton 71'
2–2
Groningen
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson 11', 34'
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.05 / 4.00 / 3.20
NEC Nijmegen Market 46% · AI 0%
Draw Market 24% · AI 50%
Groningen Market 30% · AI 50%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
Dick Schreuder
30 B. Linssen
30 Linssen
20 N. Lebreton
20 Lebreton
9 T. Chery
9 Chery
99 Clement Bischoff
99 Bischoff
35 Jamiro Monteiro
35 Monteiro
6 D. Nejašmić
6 Nejašmić
34 Kevin Kers
34 Kers
24 Deveron Fonville
24 Fonville
22 A. Kaplan
22 Kaplan
4 P. Schuurs
4 Schuurs
1 G. Crettaz
1 Crettaz

Bench: W. Willumsson, Freek Entius, Gabriel Brás, M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aarøen, Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar, N. Polster, K. Sierhuis, T. Storm, Adam Tahaui

Groningen

4-2-3-1
D. Lukkien
9 B. Willumsson
9 Willumsson
14 J. Schreuders
14 Schreuders
26 T. van Bergen
26 Bergen
17 D. van der Werff
17 Werff
24 P. Clement
24 Clement
8 T. de Jonge
8 Jonge
33 H. Hateboer
33 Hateboer
4 M. Csinger
4 Csinger
3 T. Blokzijl
3 Blokzijl
5 M. Rente
5 Rente
1 E. Vaessen
1 Vaessen

Bench: Besnik Mashuku, Nils Eggens, T. Hernes, T. Land, J. Mosselaar, A. Nordin, J. Ondrejka, Wouter Prins, L. Štubljar, O. Zawada, P. Boevink, M. Brandis

Season data

Eredivisie numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-5-3
Goals
17-18
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Groningen

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-3-3
Goals
24-21
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · NEC Nijmegen

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Groningen

  • T. van Bergen 6 G · 3 A · 10 apps
  • B. Willumsson 8 G · 0 A · 10 apps
  • D. van der Werff 2 G · 3 A · 10 apps

Top scorers · Eredivisie

  1. 1 S. Tengstedt GO Ahead Eagles 8
  2. 2 B. Willumsson Groningen 8
  3. 3 J. Brandt Ajax 6
  4. 4 J. Trenskow Heerenveen 6
  5. 5 M. Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam 6
Venue Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof
New at NEC Nijmegen A. Thomas (RB Leipzig), M. Bakker (Atalanta), D. Geiger (1899 Hoffenheim)
New at Groningen H. Hateboer (Rennes), P. Boevink (SpVgg Greuther Fürth), J. Ondrejka (Parma)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Groningen

50% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 43% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 1.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric NEC Nijmegen Groningen Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 6.5 5.2 11.7 Over 11.5 51% 13 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.5 1.8 3.3 Under 3.5 59% 3 hit Ask AI
Shots 19.3 14.2 33.5 Under 33.5 51% 31 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 6.1 5.6 11.8 Over 11.5 51% 12 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Groningen win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

NEC Nijmegen
#12 · 11 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
L D W D D
9 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Heerenveen 1-0 L
  • Groningen 2-2 D
  • Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 W
  • Fortuna Sittard 2-2 D
  • Levski Sofia 1-1 D
Team news
B. Nuytinck — Ankle Injury P. Sandler — Injury D. Tadic — Calf Injury E. Mor — Groin Injury Y. Moslih — Inactive
Groningen
#8 · 15 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
L D L W W
12 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Emmen 0-2 L
  • NEC Nijmegen 2-2 D
  • Ajax 2-5 L
  • Excelsior 1-5 W
  • PEC Zwolle 3-0 W
Team news
M. Jeng — Leg Injury T. Mercera — Injury E. van der Laan — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

NEC 2 · D 1 · GRO 2

NEC VS GRO
2-2
DRAW
Oct 25, 2026
GRO VS NEC
2-1
HOME WIN
May 10, 2026
NEC VS GRO
2-0
HOME WIN
Nov 9, 2025
GRO VS NEC
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 8, 2025
NEC VS GRO
6-0
HOME WIN
Nov 3, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with NEC Nijmegen, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 50% — tight Eredivisie games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

NEC Nijmegen
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~50%
implied lean
Groningen
~50%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When NEC Nijmegen is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Groningen win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen in Eredivisie? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Groningen win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 50% / 50% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.