EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10 Cegeka Arena, Genk Match Finished · 90'

Genk
vs
Standard Liege.

Quick answer

Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?

Final score: Genk 2–1 Standard Liege. Before kickoff, 6 of 10 AI models pick Genk to win (60%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Genk form Standard Liege form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Genk (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Jupiler Pro League table Where Genk and Standard Liege stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Genk win 60%

6 / 10 models

Draw 40%

4 / 10 models

Standard Liege win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Genk win
2–1
53%
Genk have the home advantage and stronger recent trend, with Durosinmi in excellent scoring form. Standard’s three straight losses and the recent low-scoring H2H meetings suggest a narrow rather than emphatic home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Genk win
2–1
48%
Genk home with Durosinmi in form, but Standard's attack (Eckert Ayensa, Abid) is productive too; recent H2H has been tight and low-scoring, so a narrow Genk edge fits best.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Genk win
2–1
51%
Standard Liege arrive on a three-match losing streak, while Genk's attack led by in-form Durosinmi should capitalize on home advantage at Cegeka Arena.
04
Grok 4.7
Genk win
2–1
50%
Genk’s home venue and Durosinmi’s scoring edge meet Standard’s three-loss slide; both still concede, so a narrow 2-1 home win fits better than a draw.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Genk win
2–1
48%
Genk's stronger recent form and home venue edge, but Standard Liege has won two of the last three H2H meetings. Genk's attack is more consistent, so a narrow home win fits best.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
28%
Genk's high draw rate (3/8) and last two H2H meetings ending 0-0 and 1-1 support a draw, despite Standard's poor recent form.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H tight (0-0, 1-1); both teams mid-table, balanced form, and similar goal tallies this season.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
45%
Evenly matched sides with similar records; recent H2H shows tight, low-scoring draws. Genk's home edge balanced by Standard's attacking threat.
09
GLM 5.3
Genk win
2–1
52%
Genk's stronger attack (16 goals in 8) and home venue edge out Standard's shaky form (three straight losses), but recent H2H draws and Genk's leaky defense keep it tight.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Genk's home edge is offset by Standard's three wins in the last four H2H meetings and Genk's mixed WDDLW form; both sides concede regularly (12 and 13 goals), pointing to a shared-score draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 1–1
    4 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Genk
J. Ito 27'
A. Bibout 77'
2–1
Standard Liege
A. Zeqiri 65'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.70 / 3.70 / 4.20
Genk Market 54% · AI 60%
Draw Market 24% · AI 40%
Standard Liege Market 22% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Genk vs Standard Liege

Genk

4-2-3-1
17 Rafiu Durosinmi
17 Durosinmi
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
32 Adedeji-Sternberg
38 Daan Heymans
38 Heymans
10 Junya Ito
10 Ito
8 Bryan Heynen
8 Heynen
4 Benjamin Tahirović
4 Tahirović
18 Joris Kayembe
18 Kayembe
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo
44 Kongolo
6 Matte Smets
6 Smets
20 Kevin Amaro
20 Amaro
28 Lucca Brughmans
28 Brughmans

Bench: Tobe Leysen, Yaimar Medina, Milan Roganović, Christiaan Ravych, Jeppe Erenbjerg, Ayumu Yokoyama, Ibrahima Sory Bangoura, August De Wannemacker, Aaron Bibout

Standard Liege

4-3-3
11 Adnane Abid
11 Abid
10 Dennis Eckert Ayensa
10 Ayensa
15 Salieu Drammeh
15 Drammeh
80 Ryan Fosso
80 Fosso
22 Alexis Trouillet
22 Trouillet
20 Ibrahim Karamoko
20 Karamoko
7 Tobias Mohr
7 Mohr
4 Dimitri Lavalėe
4 Lavalėe
25 Ibe Hautekiet
25 Hautekiet
13 Marlon Fossey
13 Fossey
1 Matthieu Epolo
1 Epolo

Bench: Lucas Pirard, Daan Dierckx, Gustav Mortensen, Henry Lawrence, Rayan Touzghar, Marco Ilaimaharitra, Sylvester Jasper, Bruny Nsimba, Andi Zeqiri

Season data

Jupiler Pro League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Genk

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-3-2
Goals
18-13
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Standard Liege

4-3-3
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
14-15
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
1
Best win run
3
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Genk

  • R. Durosinmi 6 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • J. Erenbjerg 0 G · 3 A · 9 apps

Key players · Standard Liege

  • D. Eckert Ayensa 4 G · 1 A · 9 apps
  • A. Abid 3 G · 2 A · 9 apps
  • C. Nielsen 2 G · 3 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Jupiler Pro League

  1. 1 N. Tresoldi Club Brugge KV 8
  2. 2 N. Bassette KVC Westerlo 7
  3. 3 R. Durosinmi Genk 6
  4. 4 R. Florucz Union St. Gilloise 5
  5. 5 M. Ubandoma RAAL La Louvière 5
Venue Cegeka Arena, Genk
Referee Jasper Vergoote
New at Genk M. Kone (San-Pédro), M. Roganović (FK Partizan), T. Leysen (OH Leuven)
New at Standard Liege A. Zeqiri (Widzew Łódź), R. Fosso (Sturm Graz), S. Jasper (Železničar Pančevo)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Genk

60% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.60 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Genk Standard Liege Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 6.5 4.4 10.9 Over 10.5 52% 11 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.5 1.3 2.8 Over 2.5 54% 3 hit Ask AI
Shots 17.4 11.6 29.0 Under 29.5 55% 30 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 6.3 4.3 10.6 Under 10.5 51% 7 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Genk win · AI Genk win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Genk
#6 · 15 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
L W W W L
8 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • KV Mechelen 1-0 L
  • Standard Liege 2-1 W
  • Excelsior Virton 0-2 W
  • Kortrijk 3-0 W
  • Fortuna Sittard 1-2 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Standard Liege
#9 · 11 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
D L W L L
5 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kortrijk 1-1 D
  • Genk 2-1 L
  • Dender 2-0 W
  • Charleroi 0-1 L
  • Gent 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

GEN 1 · D 2 · STA 2

GEN VS STA
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 25, 2026
STA VS GEN
0-0
DRAW
May 16, 2026
GEN VS STA
1-1
DRAW
Apr 25, 2026
GEN VS STA
0-3
AWAY WIN
Feb 22, 2026
STA VS GEN
2-1
HOME WIN
Aug 10, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 60% of models side with Genk, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 40% — tight Jupiler Pro League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Genk
~60%
implied lean
Draw
~40%
implied lean
Standard Liege
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Genk is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Genk win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Genk vs Standard Liege in Jupiler Pro League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Genk win, with vote shares roughly 60% / 40% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Genk vs Standard Liege, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.