FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes First Half · 10'

Estac Troyes
vs
Le Mans.

Quick answer

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

Live: Estac Troyes 0–0 Le Mans after 10'. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Le Mans to win (80%).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Estac Troyes form Le Mans form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Le Mans (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Estac Troyes and Le Mans stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Estac Troyes win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Le Mans win 80%

8 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
32%
Troyes have struggled to score and are 1-2-5, while Le Mans are more competitive but concede regularly. Venue offsets the away side’s stronger attack, making a low-scoring draw the best estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Le Mans win
1–2
48%
Troyes are in freefall (LLLLD, 5-16 goals) while Le Mans score more consistently and won the last meeting 2-0; recent H2H trend favors away side.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Le Mans win
0–2
52%
Troyes have struggled for goals, failing to score in 5 of 8 matches and losing four of five. Le Mans have reliable finishing via Mafouta and recently won 2-0 at this ground.
04
Grok 4.7
Le Mans win
0–1
42%
Troyes have 5-16 and five blanks in eight, last five LLLLD. Le Mans score more often; recent 0-2 at this venue supports a narrow away goal.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Le Mans win
0–1
38%
Troyes are bottom-form with five losses in five and failed to score five times; Le Mans have more attacking threat and won this fixture 2-0 in January, though their winless run tempers confidence.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Le Mans win
0–1
48%
Troyes failed to score in 5 of 8 games and sit last in form (LLLLD); Le Mans' superior attack (11 goals) should find one, but their own defensive frailty keeps it tight.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Le Mans win
0–1
47%
Troyes have 5 goals in 8 and failed to score 5 times; Le Mans score regularly via Mafouta and won 2-0 at Troyes in January.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Both sides struggle for wins: Troyes LLLLD with 5 blanks, Le Mans four draws but no clean sheets. Le Mans score consistently via Mafouta, so a tight 1-1 at Stade de l'Aube fits.
09
GLM 5.3
Le Mans win
1–2
46%
Troyes are struggling badly (1W in 8, 5-16 goals, LLLLD) while Le Mans score consistently and won 2-0 in January's meeting; a narrow away win fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Le Mans win
0–1
38%
Troyes have 5 blanks in 8 and lost 0-2 to Le Mans here in January; Le Mans score consistently (Mafouta, Bourabaa) but rarely keep clean sheets, so a narrow away win fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    5 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 1–2
    2 models
  • 0–2
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.15 / 3.50 / 3.30
Estac Troyes Market 44% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 18%
Le Mans Market 29% · AI 82%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Estac Troyes

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-2-5
Goals
5-16
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
5
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
W-D-L
1-4-3
Goals
11-16
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Estac Troyes

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Le Mans

  • L. Mafouta 4 G · 1 A · 8 apps
  • A. Bourabaa 3 G · 2 A · 5 apps

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 E. Wahi Nice 6
  3. 3 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  4. 4 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  5. 5 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
Venue Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Referee Azzedine Souifi
New at Estac Troyes T. Nkada (Standard Liege), J. Le Douaron (Palermo), D. Karim (Lommel United)
New at Le Mans João Vitor (Coritiba), H. Diallo (Metz), Enzo Vágner (Coritiba)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Le Mans

80% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.40 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Estac Troyes Le Mans Expected total Lean
Corners 5.5 4.9 10.4 Under 10.5 54% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.8 2.2 4.0 Over 3.5 56% Ask AI
Shots 14.6 11.0 25.6 Under 25.5 51% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.1 4.6 9.6 Under 9.5 51% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 285 graded matches, cards 59% of 286. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Le Mans win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Estac Troyes
#17 · 5 PTS · GD -11
Last 5
D L L D L
3 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Toulouse 0-0 D
  • Lens 1-3 L
  • Marseille 0-2 L
  • Dijon 2-2 D
  • Angers 2-0 L
Team news
Y. Kone — Knee Injury A. Ouzenadji — Knee Injury
Le Mans
#15 · 7 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
D L L L W
5 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Auxerre 1-1 D
  • Toulouse 0-3 L
  • Paris Saint Germain 3-1 L
  • Guingamp 2-1 L
  • Lorient 2-1 W
Team news
A. Bourabaa — Ankle Injury E. Colas — Injury D. Sidibe — Foot Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

EST 1 · D 1 · LEM 1

EST VS LEM
0-2
AWAY WIN
Jan 31, 2026
LEM VS EST
2-2
DRAW
Oct 3, 2025
EST VS LEM
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 18, 2019

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Estac Troyes, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Estac Troyes
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Le Mans
~80%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Estac Troyes is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Le Mans win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Estac Troyes vs Le Mans in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Le Mans win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 20% / 80% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.